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Three Contrarian DFS Plays for NFL Week 1: AJ Green, LeSean McCoy, and Ben Roethlisberger based on advanced stats and metrics player profiles.

Ben Roethlisberger finished No. 1 in the NFL with 327.8 yards per game in 2015 and faces a Washington defense that allowed +1.29 fantasy points per game above the mean to opposing quarterbacks last season.

The proliferation of PlayerProfiler.com afforded me a few expert fantasy football league invitations this year. In each one I implemented a pure Zero RB strategy.

Four drafts illustrate how Zero RB can be a viable strategy even against the experts.

Going into the 2015 season, a number of articles were written at PlayerProfiler that pointed drafters to the same general conclusion: that we should target big-bodied, athletic pass-catching tight ends in the later rounds of our fantasy football drafts. This idea brought about last year’s hit piece entitled Late Round TE Roulette.

Late Round TE Roulette can be played in a number of different ways. Part three of this three part series examines the advanced stats and metrics player profiles of tight ends with no listed ADPs that could make for great streaming candidates throughout the 2016 season.

Receivers are often the most and athletic players on the field, easier to project and safer in negative game scripts, and less likely to sustain a serious injury.

Perhaps the secret cause for some of the Zero RB pushback is that the strategy can be so effective, yet is so simple.

Last season, the fantasy running back world was turned upside down. The running back “bell cows” were put back in the barn, and the multi-dimensional pass catching running backs became more desirable.

The crux of Zero RB Theory is that running backs bust more frequently than quarterbacks, wide receivers, and tight ends. Use team backfield drafting as your guide to mid-late round RB value.

To join in on the fun (annoyance) of “bold prediction” articles, the following is a list of hot (read: crazy) quarterback predictions that will definitely (probably not) happen. In the very least, they will spice up late-August water cooler talk.

13) The desperate Eagles end up starting Carson Wentz by week 5, and he finishes the season with a 1:3 TD-INT ratio, leading Philadelphia GM Howie Roseman to cry himself to sleep for several weeks.

These bold fantasy football wide receiver predictions may be backed by advanced stats & metrics profiles but are still doomed to fail.

9. Alshon Jeffery leads the league in targets but outside the top-10 in touchdowns as Bears players are re-re-re-reminded of Jay Cutler’s insufferable inefficiency.

13 bold predictions that are both highly unlikely and highly possible…

2. Rob Gronkowski does not finish as a top-five tight end. With Jimmy Garoppolo starting for four games, off-season shenanigans, and Martellus Bennett’s arrival, this will lead to the inevitable drop in Gronk’s production.

After successfully claiming the Heisman award and declaring his intention to enter the 2015 NFL Draft, Derrick Henry became one of the most polarizing running back prospects in many years.

Derrick Henry is simply one of the most intriguing metrics and statistical running backs to come out in years. While he may have had a higher ceiling in other landing spots, after examination of the coaching staff in Tennessee, there are few places that have such a strong floor when given the opportunity.

Opportunity trumps all and Jeremy Langford is also the most talented RB in his backfield so there’s not much to worry about from a fantasy perspective, especially at his ADP.

Jeremy Langford struggled with inefficiency, but his advanced stats & metrics player profile indicates Langford is primed for a fantasy football breakout with top-5 RB potential available in the 6th round.