It’s time Derek Carr gets his flowers. Behind the disaster that is the Raiders, he is averaging 19.27 (No. 11) fantasy points per game and has thrown at least two touchdown passes in every game since week 9. What he lacks in efficiency, he makes up for with his aggression. He’s airing it out with 9.1 (No. 5) Air Yards per Attempt. With 30 (No. 3) Money Throws, we’re even seeing a clutch gene from Carr. He’s been automatic since week 9 and is a top-12 option against a Rams defense that has given up nearly 20 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks over the last four weeks.
The Titans allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to WRs entering Week 13. Their secondary has allowed three 100-yard receivers in their last two games. Starting slot corner Elijah Molden is hurt and has missed most of the season. So, Kirk is poised to see large volume against a weakened defense this week.
Neither George Pickens nor Diontae Johnson have scored over 20 fantasy points this season. Pickens has two top-12 finishes while Johnson has none. Pittsburgh has scored over 24 points in a game just once this season, while Pickett has thrown for over 200 yards once in his last five games.
This will be the last week I take a league-wide view of NFL backfields in this column. With the playoffs approaching and trade deadlines largely passed, the utility of analyzing players not already on your team, and not available on the waiver wire reduces significantly. That’s why, instead of focusing on usage shifts in backfields generally, I want to instead focus on the best opportunities for playoff running back stashes.
I have begged everyone to add James Cook for weeks now, and Cook SZN could finally be here. Well, maybe not SZN level, but Flex-worthy James Cook is here, which is still very exciting. This past week, Cook rushed for 64 yards but, more importantly, added six receptions for 41 yards.
This is the Infirmary Report: Post Week 13! The worst part of our beloved game is the frequency of injuries. It’s an unfortunate byproduct of such a fast-paced, contact-heavy sport. It’s something that is important to remember as we approach the first full week of the preseason. Luckily for the NFL players, they have access to some of the best doctors in the world and can usually return to form at least by the next season. Unfortunately for us fantasy players, it’s not always easy to know when a player will get hurt. To another degree, sometimes your roster isn’t big enough to plan ahead for an injury. This series, the Infirmary Report, will give you advice on the injuries that have happened every week during the season. Without further ado, here is the Infirmary Report: Post Week 13 of regular season action.
Chris Olave is the clear alpha wideout for the Saints. The rookie has stepped up big for the team, leading them in both Targets (50) and Receiving Yards (433). I like Olave’s ceiling on any given week as he’s cleared the 100-yard receiving mark three times already this season.
Godwin is the preferred option in this week’s matchup after shredding the Browns for 12/110/1. Godwin has been reliable, having seen double-digit Targets in five of his last six contests.
Welcome back to the AFC South Report! 12 weeks of regular season action have come and gone, and I’m here to tell you all about how the AFC has shaped up so far. Also, I will take a look at how my predictions for the season are stacking up so far as well as provide a few more predictions. A lot has happened since the last check-in on Week 8. The Colts brought Jeff Saturday in as their coach and he reinstated Matt Ryan as the starting QB. The Texans have somehow started to look worse. Malik Willis had his shot, but lost it for the rest of this season. And the Jaguars continue to steadily improve, especially Trevor Lawrence. Without further ado, let’s take a little bit deeper of a look into these teams now that there’s only a few weeks left.
The Fantasy Supermarket is a place where fantasy team builders can find deals. Discounted players that are poised for some big games ahead or talent profiles that are exciting, but the stats haven’t been there. But sometimes the supermarket has a player that is just so good that they are worth buying even at a high price. DK Metcalf is that dude. Despite ranking as WR 18 overall, Metcalf is WR 25 on a points-per-game basis. That difference is enough to potentially open the slightest of buy windows. It will not lower the price, but that is okay because if he was a top-10 wide receiver he wouldn’t even be available.
D’Andre Swift finds himself locked into a running back committee. Regardless of whether the Lions are managing his reps or prefer Williams as a primary ball carrier, Swift has disappointed in 2022. On the year, Swift is averaging 13.0 fppg (No. 20) with five TDs (No. 18). Williams has drastically cut into his production in the touchdown department with a league-leading 13 scores. While Swift has dealt with injuries in his young career, this current dip in value may be a solid opportunity to buy at a discount. After all, he has still produced an elite 1.22 (No. 2) Fantasy Points Per Opportunity with a True Yards Per Carry of 5.0 (No. 12). Still just 23 years old, Swift’s dynasty value loses 45.44 Lifetime Value points to slip two spots to RB5.
Justin Fields practiced in full on Thursday and is averaging 6.84 yards per carry this season. He has at least 47 rushing yards in every game since Week 3, at least 60 yards in every game since Week 6, and at least one rushing touchdown in every game since Week 7. David Montgomery ran for 122 yards at an 8.13 yards per carry clip against Green Bay in Week 2. Fields and Montgomery, heck even Darrynton Evans if he gets 10 touches again like he did last week, is set to smash against this Packers’ defense.