Three DFS Quarterback-Wide Receiver Stacks for Week 12

by Taylor Williams, November 25, 2020

This week against the Chiefs, Tom Brady will be forced to be prolific. Averaging 40.8 (No. 6) Team Pass Plays per Game, 50 pass attempts is squarely within the range of outcomes. The Bucs have three formidable WRs from which to choose for stacking. Our recommendation this week is Chris Godwin. This week is all about volume, and with Godwin’s 56.7-percent (No. 18 among qualified wide receivers) Slot Rate, he should be peppered with easy-to-convert targets in this projected shootout.

Deshaun Watson-Will Fuller Thanksgiving Day stacks are expensive and should be chalky. Be bold and ignore the matchup by going with Ben Roethlisberger and Chase Claypool. The Steelers have realized they don’t need a run game to beat teams anymore, so Roethlisberger is throwing a ton. Diontae Johnson is the most expensive Steelers WR, but Claypool has the most blowup potential with the elite athleticism to beat the imposing Ravens secondary.

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Gus Edwards and Other Week 12 Waiver Wire Targets

by Christopher Buonagura, November 24, 2020

Gus Edwards is the next man up for Baltimore going into a Primetime Thanksgiving matchup. Both J.K. Dobbins and Mark Ingram will sit due to COVID regulations. Edwards has a high chance of being a one week workhorse on the short week with few options behind him and Justice Hill being relegated to special teams.

Nelson Agholor is the WR1 for Derek Carr. It feels wrong to say that, but it has become the truth. In his first season with the Raiders, he has scored six total touchdowns and is averaging 19.3 Yards Per Reception. Agholor is the epitome of a boom or bust receiver, but you can toss him in your Flex and pray for the boom if you are desperate.

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Exploring Week 11’s Top Trending Players Via the Player Popularity Index

by Matthew M. Stevens, November 24, 2020

XFL aficionados kept a close eye on P.J. Walker’s first NFL start. The former Houston Roughneck led the XFL in passing with 1,338 yards and 15 TDs before the league folded midseason. While Walker led the Panthers to a 20-0 win against the flailing Lions, he didn’t do anything to jeopardize Teddy Bridgewater’s starting job. His weak fantasy outing (12 points) and Bridgewater’s potential Week 12 return make him a low-priority add for QB-needy teams in deep leagues.

Fantasy gamers should leave Ryan Finley on the waiver wire. He’s a desperation add in deep 2QB/superflex leagues. Tee Higgins’ redraft value plummets with Finley under center and his safe weekly floor disappears. Including Week 11, Higgins has recorded only two games with fewer than 10 fantasy points. He becomes tough to trust in redraft lineups. Meanwhile, his buy window opens a crack in dynasty leagues given the significance of Joe Burrow’s injury and his uncertain future.

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Week 11 Lessons Learned: Justin Herbert, Justin Jefferson ROY Push

by Tyler Strong, November 24, 2020

Justin Jefferson has thrived as the clear second option in the lowest volume pass offense in the league. He’s the WR11 through 11 weeks. It’s a wild contradiction and he’s done it through explosive speed after the catch (his 280 YAC rank top-10 in the league) and capitalizing on Kirk Cousins’ Deep Ball Attempts (his 482 Completed Air Yards is also a top-10 mark). Oh, and he’s sporting league-bests with 14.1 Yards per Target and 3.20 Yards per Route Run.

Justin Herbert has been a complete surprise since picking up in Week 2, and he set a new career-high with 366 passing yards against the hopeless Jets on Sunday. Herbert has become an elite DFS play every week, regardless of matchup. The matchup against the Bills, fresh off a bye, has the second-highest total on the slate so far at 54 points, and we should stack this game every way we can think of.

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The Infirmary- PlayerProfiler’s Week 11 Injury Report

by The “Mad Chatter” Ryan MK, November 22, 2020

Now on the injured reserve, Drew Brees will miss a minimum of three games to recover from his list of ailments. Taysom Hill has been announced the starter for this week, surprising many who assumed Jameis Winston would get the call. Coach Sean Payton has stated he views Hill in the same vein as Hall of Famer Steve Young. Do we actually get to see what Hill can do with an offense now? Either way, temper expectations for the Saints pass-catchers.

Not only is Drew Brees out, but multiple other starting quarterbacks may also miss Sunday’s action. Should Teddy Bridgewater sit, which seems likely, Carolina will turn to either P.J. Walker or Will Grier. The pair have split first-team reps this week. While Grier has some starting experience from last year, he wasn’t very good in those starts. Walker was the start of the brief XFL resurgence, and should get the nod. If so, he makes an intriguing DFS play based on his scrambling ability.

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Top DFS Flex Value Plays for Week 11

by Taylor Smith, November 21, 2020

Jakobi Meyers has emerged as the first, second, and third target for Cam Newton. He has seen 437 Air Yards over the last four weeks, which gives him a league-leading 43.3-percent Air Yards Share on the season. This week, he is in a game with a 49-point total, the third-highest on the slate. Houston also ranks dead-last in Defensive Rushing DVOA, meaning you can stack the run-savvy Newton with just Meyers as a nice pivot off of Deshaun Watson stacks.

Since putting up zero fantasy points in Week 4, Brandin Cooks has been on a tear. He’s seen 47 targets over the last five games, posting 411 yards and three touchdowns. He’s now seen a 23.4-percent (No. 16) Target Share on the season, which is actually ahead of Will Fuller’s 20.6-percent (No. 34) mark. Cooks is $1000 cheaper than Fuller on both sites, meaning you get a significant discount for the real WR1.

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NFL Monkey Knife Fight Props: Week 11

by Cody Carpentier, November 21, 2020

Since Week 6, the Eagles have averaged 6.05 Yards Per Carry, while averaging just 6.45 Yards Per Pass Attempt. Miles Sanders has over 80 yards in 5-of-6 games and over 95 in 3-of-6. Since returning from injury in Week 10, expect Sanders to take advantage of a Cleveland run defense that has ranked No. 25 over the last three games.

Not only did Miles Sanders return from injury in Week 10, but Nick Chubb also returned for Cleveland with 126 yards on the ground. Chubb has eclipsed 100 yards in his last three finished games. Cleveland and Philadelphia are known as strong run defenses, but the Eagles are No. 28, allowing 148 yards per game over their last three. 

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Air Yards DFS Value Index – Week 11

by Edward DeLauter, November 21, 2020

Adam Thielen is the official Air Yards value king! His presence in this section should be no surprise, having appeared here four times before. He is solidly within the top 10 at his position in both Air Yards and Air Yards Share. Coming off a week where he scored over 20 fantasy points, Thielen has a great matchup against a highly exploitable Cowboys secondary. Look for another 20-fantasy point game this week.

After a breakout performance in Week 9, and a top 35 finish at the position in Week 10, Jerry Jeudy’s $5,300 price on DraftKings has to be a glitch. Seeing almost 500 Air Yards over the past three games, Jeudy is the alpha wide receiver some predicted he would be around NFL Draft time. Despite a tough matchup against Miami, he can be deployed across all formats with confidence.

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Dynasty Market Movers: Week 10 Report

by Steve Smith, November 21, 2020

At 15.6 (No. 16 among qualified wide receivers) Fantasy Points per Game, Tee Higgins leads all rookie wide receivers. His 603 (No. 19) receiving yards place him second in receiving on the Bengals and second to Justin Jefferson in the rookie race. Over the last two games, Higgins has seen 18 targets, which is three more than Tyler Boyd and eight more than fading A.J. Green. With Green set to hit free agency in 2021, the Joe Burrow-Tee Higgins combination is an exciting one for dynasty owners.

Philadelphia’s sixth-round free agent sensation Travis Fulgham saw double digit targets from Weeks 5-7. In Week 10, Fulgham caught only one of his five targets for eight yards. Way to dampen the hype. He’s now seen his targets decrease in two consecutive games. During this time, Jalen Reagor, Dallas Goedert and Alshon Jeffery all returned to the lineup. Fulgham sees the biggest Lifetime Value drop for wide receivers, moving outside the Top 50 at the position.

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Upside Wide Receivers For Week 11 GPPs

by Alex Johnson, November 21, 2020

D.J. Chark holds a 33.8-percent (No.13) Air Yards Share, so as long as Jake Luton is looking downfield, Chark will benefit as we saw in his 146-yard outing in Week 9. While the Steelers feel like an intimidating matchup, they actually rank middle of the pack against the pass and are tied for the third-most touchdowns allowed to opposing wide receivers. We know Chark can produce the boom weeks and he will likely see low ownership because of the matchup despite the $5,700 price tag on DraftKings.

All three of Pittsburgh’s starting wideouts saw double-digit targets and found the end zone in Week 10. But it’s Diontae Johnson who has seen 10 or more targets in five of nine games this season, with 39 targets over the last four. This Steelers-Jaguars game features two high-volume passing offenses, so despite the low over/under, Johnson will still see plenty of opportunity to rack up fantasy points against one of the league’s worst pass defenses. You can’t go wrong at $5,900.

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