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Tomorrow’s Newspaper: Demetrius Harris and Waiver Wire Prescience for Week 3

The Cleveland offense has struggled through the season’s first two weeks. Still, that shouldn’t deter us from stashing a player with the raw athleticism that Demetrius Harris possesses. One who was efficient on limited usage playing behind Travis Kelce last year, averaging 13.7 yards on his 12 receptions.

With Kyler Murray locked into his starting role from day one, and Daniel Jones set to start his first game this week, it’s not hard to conclude that Dwayne Haskins’ time will come sooner rather than later. It will be easy to see Washington make the switch to the former Heisman finalist and Rose Bowl MVP if they’re blown out at home against the Bears on Monday Night Football.

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The Long Gain: Bargain running backs to target in week 3

With the only running back who was threatening Frank Gore for touches potentially being sidelined, and the Bills facing a Bengals defense that has allowed a league-leading +18.23 fantasy points above league average to opposing running backs.

Throwing Ty Johnson into your weekly lineups given his current price will create the ultimate upside for you should he manage to see a significant increase in touches. He’s an interesting Week 3 tournament play who brings high upside given his cost…

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3 Scorching Hot DFS Takes: Week 3

Winning a DFS tournament is going to require some hot takes to hit. What do the advanced metrics say about Miles Sanders or Kyle Allen hot takes this week?

Ekeler is stepping up as well. He is third among backs in Weighted Opportunities (which factors in the value of receptions relative to carries) with 18.9 per game.

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Cook(ing) With Kyler: Lock Button Plays For Week 3

Kyler Murray leads the league in pass attempts, air yards, and attempt distance. He is top-five in passing yards, red zone pass attempts, and deep attempts. He is just $5,800 on DraftKings and $7,200 on FanDuel, making him a lock play on both platforms.

Zach Ertz saw 16 targets in Week 2 with Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson, and Dallas Goedert all going down with injuries. While he is unlikely to reach that number again, Ertz is in line for double-digit targets with all three still sidelined. He is $1,100 cheaper than Travis Kelce on FanDuel and $1,400 less on DraftKings, locking him in as the best TE play of the week.

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Cheap DFS Lineup Makers for Week 3

Curtis Samiel is absolutely dominating opposing corners, averaging 3.12 (No. 3 among qualified wide receivers) yards of Target Separation. The Panthers are also trying to take advantage of his 4.31 (100th-percentile) 40-yard dash, feeding him five deep targets through two weeks.

Marvin Jones has a matchup with arguably the worst cornerback in the NFL, Ronald Darby. The Philly corner ranks outside the top 50 in yards per target allowed, yards per reception allowed, passer rating allowed, coverage rating… you get the picture.

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DraftKings Value Plays and GPP Targets for Week 3

Ezekiel Elliott’s opportunity grew in Week 2 as he re-acclimated to NFL game speed. Elliott’s touches soared from 15 to 25 with 23 rushing attempts on the ground. Even with a limited Week 1, Elliott ranks No.4 in carries (36) and No.2 in red zone carries (8).

Austin Hooper draws a positive matchup against the Indianapolis Colts. Last year, the Colts allowed the most yards to tight ends in the NFL (1,194). To start 2019, the Colts allowed Hunter Henry to notch 60 yards in Week 1.

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Leveraging the NFL’s most volatile quarterback play for fantasy football upside

No quarterback who played more than 10 games last season showed a higher degree of weekly volatility than Mitchell Trubisky. He posted five top-five fantasy finishes in 2018, including an overall QB1 performance. However, he also showed an extremely low floor by posting five games with 10 or fewer fantasy points.

Will Fuller is a ticking time bomb ready to explode fantasy points. He played 100-percent of the snaps in Week 1 and 96.6-percent in Week 2 while earning a modest target share (17.2-percent). Further increasing his chances for a blowup game, Fuller ranks No. 1 in average target distance (23.5) and No. 11 in completed air yards (243).

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Who were the biggest fantasy football busts last week?

Through two weeks, Mitchell Trubisky has 348 passing yards, zero touchdowns and 19 rushing yards. Even though he is 12th in attempts and 6th in deep attempts, Trubisky has a negative-49.3 (No. 31) Production Premium and a 50.4 (No. 31) True Passer Rating.

Without Cam Newton’s rushing ability, he has to create plays with his arm. And while his 572 (No. 12) passing yards and 391 (No. 5) Air Yards are both top-12, his 55.9 (No. 32) True Passer Rating, negative-50.5 (No. 33) Production Premium and zero (No. 33) passing touchdowns aren’t enough.

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Fantasy Football Trends to Watch – Week 3 Edition

Of all the breakout candidates in this Eagles offense, J.J. Arcega-Whiteside offers the most tantalizing upside after coming to the NFL with a 107.4 (87th-percentile among qualified wide receivers) Speed Score and a 42.7-percent (86th-percentile) College Dominator Rating.

Despite what film-grinders say, Josh Jacobs finished his Alabama career with a 4.3-percent (18th-percentile) College Target Share and never handled much of the pass game work. Oakland is likely to play from behind often in 2019, making Jacobs a strong sell candidate after his positive Week 1 performance.

Mason Rudolph Inflection Point and other Week 2 Waiver Targets

Pittsburgh’s offensive line entered Week 2 providing a 91.8-percent (No. 5) Protection Rate. JuJu Smith-Schuster, James Conner and McDonald make fantastic offensive weapons. Rudolph is at an inflection point in his career, but his weaponry makes him a priority waiver add.   

Last year in games without James Conner, Jaylen Samuels saw 66-percent of the rushing work, and his share of the team targets jumped from three-percent to ten-percent. Over those three games, Samuels averaged 16.93 PPR fantasy points. He also ended the year with a +24.7 (No. 9) Production Premium.