Articles

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Who are the biggest end-of-season movers in fantasy football dynasty leagues?

Nelson Agholor’s unsustainable touchdown rate has inflated his value across dynasty leagues, but trade value matters. With Super Bowl hero brand equity in tow, Agholor’s trade value rose instantaneously, which required an upstack of his dynasty ranking.

Jordan Reed fantasy football prospects dimmed when Washing acquired Alex Smith. While Smith heavily targeted Travis Kelce in recent years, Kelce’s 9.6 average target depth and fell well outside the top-10 NFL tight ends. Given Smith’s proclivity to throw short and run in the red zone, the loss of Kirk Cousins diminishes even a healthy Reed’s dynasty value.

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Why George Kittle is the tight end your fantasy team needs in the late rounds

Kittle’s measurables compare favorably to some of the most prominent players at his position. Kittle’s demonstrated speed, burst and agility at the NFL Scouting Combine, summarized by his 124.1 (88th-percentile) SPARQ-x Score, was superior to Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, and Zach Ertz.

Kittle enjoyed an understated rookie season. 260 of his 515 receiving yards came after contact, the 7th most at the tight end spot. The same was true for his Kittle’s 8.2 yards per target was equally impressive. Incidentally, Kelce managed 8.5, while Ertz trailed them both with 7.5.

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Michael Gallup is the most underrated receiver of the NFL Draft

Michael Gallup has very striking similarities to retired Falcons receiver, Roddy White. Both receivers finished their final college seasons with 1,400+ receiving yards each.

Remember the name, Michael Gallup, he should be the best receiver from the 2018 class. He runs crisp routes, secure the football in traffic, and run over, around, and away from defenders.

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Using Breakout Age to Identify Sleepers and Busts in the NFL Draft

Stefon Diggs is the most egregious recent example of Breakout Age oblivion, lasting until the 5th round in the 2015 NFL Draft. The Vikings finally selected Diggs with the No. 146 pick, the steal of the NFL Draft.

Alabama wide receiver Calvin Ridley is frequently mocked in the top-10, suggesting the industry has not learned much about the dangers of selecting players with a below-average Breakout Age in the early rounds. Ridley’s college performance metrics point to a player who will underperform his draft stock at the next level.

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Baker Mayfield: Best Quarterback Prospect Ever?

Russell Wilson’s 10.3 college YPA is the highest in the PlayerProfiler database, and Marcus Mariota’s 10.0 college YPA is No. 4 among current NFL quarterbacks. No quarterback on PlayerProfiler has reached a 10.5 college YPA until Baker Mayfield. He did it… twice.

Josh Allen perfectly meets that prototype, standing 6-5 at 234 pounds. Scouts love his strong arm, but all the physical tools shouldn’t matter when you throw just 16 touchdowns in your final season while playing in the Mountain West Conference.

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Trent Taylor and the Wes Welker Parallel

It may be difficult to overlook Trent Taylor’s uninspiring measurables. However, Wes Welker possesses a similar profile and sustained success in the not-too-distant past. Taylor and Welker may have had similar college careers and workout metrics, but Welker didn’t see 50 targets until year two at age 24.

Trent Taylor notched 60 targets as a rookie. If he continues to exceed Wes Welker’s production (as he has since college), there’s no reason Taylor can’t log 100-120 targets next season for 800-900 yards and 4-5 TDs. 

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Is Zero WR the new Zero RB?

The sheer volume of running backs that appear on the Win Rate leaderboard the past two seasons necessarily prompts a reconsideration of Zero RB strategy. For example, Todd Gurley posted a staggering 30.5-percent Win Rate in 2017, which was 10-percent higher than any wide receiver.

Over the past five years, running back involvement in the passing game has steadily increased. More offensive coordinators are looking towards the running back as a featured pass option, and not just on 3rd down.

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4 truly shocking predictions that the numbers suggest will come true in 2018

Friendly bounces propelled Deshaun Watson in 2017 who finished No. 1 in numerous efficiency metrics. Yet, his 64.0-percent True Completion Percentage, which factors out receiver drops and throwaways, ranked No. 32 among NFL quarterbacks. Watson was the luckiest quarterback in football.

As more NFL teams run 3 and 4-receiver sets and call plays featuring slot receivers in the read progression, a higher percentage of target share will funnel inside. Given this trend, half of the top-25 receivers should operate out of the slot in 2018.

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Finding the Next Robby Anderson: Unlocking Wide Receiver Athleticism

Lack of depth and/or injuries to the incumbent No. 1 WRs often allow under-the-radar athletic wide receivers to rise up the depth chart and become valuable starters. Which sophomore wide receivers are capable fo a Robby Anderson-like ascendence in 2018?

Unlike Josh Malone and Amara Darboh, Robert Davis’ WR prospect profile checks all of the requisite boxes. He is the top choice to be the 2018 Robby Anderson due to the lack of talent at the position in Washington.

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4 cornerstone players to target in fantasy football dynasty leagues

For those of you in a dynasty league, the offseason grants an opportunity to bolster your roster for next season. In doing so, one must take into account many components, such as age, skill level, durability, supporting cast and more. Here are four players you should consider as pillars of your team for years to come.

Stefon Diggs has managed to post a 114.7 QB Rating When Targeted (No. 7). But his most eye-popping statistic is his 81.2-percent Contested Catch Rate (No. 1). For a player that only has one workout metric above the 75th percentile, that is unparalleled success.