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Most in-season forecasts over-projected Stefon Diggs production after he suffered a groin injury. Analytical models too often assume full health week to week and rarely discount injured players properly.

Deshaun Watson shocked the football analytics community by becoming the first rookie quarterback in recent memory to finish No. 1 among NFL quarterbacks in fantasy points per game (24.3). Watson accomplished this astounding feat with truly uncommon (read: unsustainable?) efficiency.

Keelan Cole is the most “for real.” Cole was a small school mega-producer, and it’s exciting to watch him fill in seamlessly for Marqise Lee and Allen Hurns based on his advanced stats, metrics, and analytics player profile.

Damiere Byrd is the smallest receiver the NFL and was not productive at the college level. Don’t be surprised if last week’s two touchdowns are the last touchdowns Byrd ever scores.

If you needed a narrative to compel you to watch the Denver-Washington game, look no further than the Kapri Bibbs revenge game. Bibbs is a great starter in tournaments or needy PPR teams this week and becomes an instant cash play and streamer du jour if Samaje Perine is inactive this week.

Given that Cleveland has minimal worries about the Bears passing game, they can concentrate all their defensive efforts on bottling up Jordan Howard. Keep Howard on the bench and consider streaming free square RB du jour, Kapri Bipps in his stead.

Get past the idea that the thought of ever starting Drew Stanton, much less in a championship week, sounds crazy, and accept the fact that on paper he has one of the best matchups of any fantasy quarterback this week. If it were any other quarterback facing the Giants, you’d be eagerly awaiting your chance to start him.

Even with the inefficient play we’ve witnessed from Joe Flacco all season, Mike Wallace has still managed to turn in efficient performances when given the chance, posting a +20.9-percent Target Premium (No. 12) and a +9.0 Production Premium (No. 28).

In one of the most improbable developments, Blake Bortles has become one of the hottest quarterbacks in all of the NFL. Bortles has emerged as one of the biggest reasons that Jacksonville keeps winning. In the last three games, he has averaged over 300 yards per game while posting a sparkling 7-0 TD-INT ratio.

Martavis Bryant has been disappointing in his return from suspension this year, but he has a great chance to redeem himself in the final weeks of the season. With Antonio Brown out with a calf injury, Bryant becomes the teams most talented receiver.

Carson Wentz is the reason the Eagles are 11-2. He is No. 2 in total fantasy points behind only Russell Wilson, and Wentz was having the best season for a second-year quarterback since 2010. When his ACL went, the Eagles’ Super Bowl chances came and Wentz.

Fortunately for Zach Ertz, the Eagles have a super-friendly schedule for tight ends the rest of the way. Regardless, with Foles at the helm, his ceiling is now capped. Look for the target distribution to narrow.

Mike Davis has turned out to be the answer in Seattle’s backfield after a season of searching by the Seahawks. In three games of action this season, Davis has averaged a robust 4.7 yards per touch.

Mohamed Sanu is perhaps the most underrated No. 2 receiver in the NFL this season. Sanu has been great in his second year in Atlanta. Sanu has been very hot as of late, scoring 20+ points and cracking the top 15 receivers on the week in two of the past three weeks.

There’s not a running back on the Cardinals who is threatening Kerwynn Williams for touches as it stands right now, and his recent line of 36 carries for 170 yards (4.7 YPC) makes him a top start against Washington. Late season rises like Williams’ are exactly what Zero RB truthers thrive on this time of year, as he now looks to drive fantasy owners to their championship games.

Robert Woods has been one of the most efficient wide receivers in football this season, posting a +18.9 Production Premium (no. 12) and 10.0 Yards Per Target (no. 10), while his quarterback has enjoyed a 118.9 Passer Rating when targeting him. Pair Woods’ efficiency with Byron Maxwell’s inefficiency, and you have everything you want for a pending breakout in Week 15.

Evan Engram is the complete package for a dominant fantasy tight end. His workout metrics are exceptional with a 4.42 40-yard dash time (100th-percentile), a 120.4 Speed Score (96th-percentile), a 125.5 Burst Score, 11.15 Agility score (90th-percentile), and 10.29 (91st-percentile) Catch Radius.

When a back-up QB is thrust into a starting role, the target distribution often narrows. With Tom Savage at the helm, DeAndre Hopkins target share surged. Likewise, Davante Adams has scored more than fantasy points tethered to Brett Hundley than with Aaron Rodgers this season. Following this logic, primary receiver Alshon Jeffery should thrive with Nick Foles under center.

The Philadelphia Eagles stellar season hit a brick wall when Carson Wentz suffered a torn ACL in the third quarter of sundays game against the LA Rams. Now under center steps Nick Foles, who is two years removed from his last time as a starter.

Against Minnesota in week 11, Robert Woods suffered a knee sprain that ended what had been the hottest three week stretch of his career. In weeks 9-11, Woods produced a ridiculous 20 receptions for 322 yards and four touchdowns.