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With more NFL teams deploying three and four-receiver sets on any given play, the pool of fantasy-viable wide receivers is significantly deeper than other skill positions. In this context, solving the WR start/sit dilemma requires more analytical firepower.

Looking beyond subjective grades, the Xavien Howard perfectly illustrates the value of an evidence-based approach to the cornerback evaluation and WR-CB match-up analysis.

Aaron Jones is a perfect GPP running back, and Dede Westbrook is the ideal GPP play heading to Kansas City.

It’s wheels up for Taywan Taylor against Lafayette Pitts.

Michael Thomas currently has 38 receptions. That’s the most by any player all-time through the first three weeks of the season. Is he the best WR in the NFL?

Patrick Mahomes 13 passing touchdowns is the most by any quarterback through the first three weeks of the season. Will  Mahomes regress?

Andrew Luck is toast, and Julio Jones hates Calvin Ridley.

Patrick Mahomes’ unsustainable production may be sustainable.

While Allen Robinson’s ceiling is capped by Trubisky’s struggles, his volume gives him a steady floor as he continues to build confidence in his knee after a year away from football and rapport with Trubisky after missing all of training camp and preseason rehabilitating that knee. 

Corey Davis’ 30-percent Target Share ranks No. 9 among qualified wide receivers, and his Total Target Distance Share ranks among the top-15 NFL receivers. In 2017, every fantasy WR1 achieved a 20-plus-percent Target Share, and furthermore, only two receivers crested a 30-percent target share (Antonio Brown and DeAndre Hopkins), and each scored greater than 20.0 fantasy points per game last season. 

The NFL is BACK, #JamEmIn
 is DEAD, and football better off with less vicious defense and more scoring.

The Rams are the most under-the-radar consolidated target distribution.

A key to winning consistently in fantasy football is identifying potential breakouts before they happen. Stashing players that would become hot adds with a big game before any of your competitors have a chance to acquire them is a winning strategy in any format.

The time to stash players like Austin Carr is when they see spiked Opportunity Shares but fail to produce stats. If he continues to see playing time over Tre’Quan Smith, he’s going to have blow-up fantasy performances in 2018.

Mike Evans exploded in Week 1 of the 2018 season, catching all seven of his targets for 147 receiving yards and a touchdown, which will more than likely be a blip on the radar of another season where he will likely fail to live up to his lofty average draft position in fantasy football leagues.

Evans’ prolific week 1 performance will confirm the biases of the legions of efficiency-agnostic fantasy gamers who strongly believe Evans is elite. A zoomed out perspective shows that Evans was less efficient than league-average wide receivers (as well as the average Buccaneers receiver) in two of the last two seasons. Mike Evans is the most overrated wide receiver in the NFL.

Aaron Jones won week 1 after Jamaal Williams struggled.

Quincy Enunwa is the Jets No. 1 WR, not Robby Anderson, and it’s not particularly close.

A key to winning consistently in fantasy football is identifying potential breakouts before they happen. Stashing players that would become hot adds with a big game before any of your competitors have a chance to acquire them is a winning strategy in any format.

Given the nature of the Steelers offense, it makes sense to stash the player who profiles as a satellite back-plus in Jaylen Samuels. While he won’t be expected to have a large role in Week 1, he’s worth stashing for however long Le’Veon Bell continues to hold out.