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Being a truther requires a certain amount of valor.  Being a truther shouldn’t just mean that you like a player, or you think that a certain player is going to be value in drafts this coming season.  Rather, being a truther means that you believe, in your heart of hearts, that a player is destined for fantasy football greatness. 

Keelan Cole’s advanced stats and metrics profile suggests that he should have little difficulty finding himself at the top of the Jaguars’ target totem pole.  His production towards the end of 2017 shows that he has the ability to take over as the lead target monster.

If traded, San Francisco is the best place for Odell Beckham to land. What is stopping JuJu Smith-Schuster from achieving WR1 status in fantasy football?

James Washington will become a thing, but not before Vance McDonal. Jaylen Samuels somehow remains an afterthought in dynasty leagues.

In light of an underwhelming rookie RB class, several free agent RBs are likely to earn a nice pay raise heading into the 2019 season. Predicting the new teams for the top free agent running backs might seem like a fool’s errand, but by examining their advanced stats, metrics and analytics player profiles, we can at least make educated guesses on where they might best fit in.

Tevin Coleman is the quintessential boom/bust running back. His languishing career Juke Rate suggests he lacks wiggle, and yet, his Breakaway Run Rate is always among the league leaders. Meanwhile, the Saints have posted the best run blocking efficiency numbers over the last two seasons, and Drew Brees has shown an innate ability to set up his running backs to maximize splash plays.

Sean McVay may or may not be overrated. The reasons why Julian Edelman is not an NFL Hall of Famer.

Kareem Hunt is a bad fit on the Browns. Rashaad Penny is a strong buy in dynasty.

How is it possible that Jared Goff is actually a good quarterback while Sean McVay is overrated?

Tom Brady is the GOAT and it’s not even close. Julian Edelman is a Hall of Famer, because it is not a Hall of Stats.

Each season in the NFL a wide receiver explodes out of no where and enters the hearts of fantasy enthusiasts. Unfortunately, many of these receivers who pop, then regress in future seasons.

With the Eagles possessing two of the most inefficient receivers in football last season, targeting another pass catcher in the NFL Draft should remain one of the team’s top priorities.

LeSean McCoy finally showed signs of breaking down recording only 514 rushing yards in 14 games. Moving forward with young play-makers around Josh Allen, the Bills can move away from McCoy with only $2.6 million in dead cap money.

Since signing a $26 million dollar contract, Lamar Miller has largely disappointed, finishing with 973 yards in 2018. Entering the final year of his contract, the Texans can cut Miller with only $1 million in dead-cap.

Jared Goff is actually a good quarterback. Sean McVay is most certainly overrated.

Tom Brady is certainly the GOAT. Julian Edelman is certainly a Hall of Famer.

Damien Williams has the tools of workhorse back for the Kansas City Chiefs. He’s been a dominant pass catcher and runner for the Chief’s throughout the end of the regular season and playoffs. He figures to get a huge role for the Chief’s in 2019.

Damien Williams has an opportunity to return RB1 level value outside the first few rounds of redraft leagues. Williams would also be a must-buy in dynasty leagues assuming the Chiefs do not sign a top tier free agent running back or select a running back in the first couple rounds of the NFL Draft.

The best driver of fantasy football scoring is opportunity.  Calvin Ridley scoffed at that idea last season, as his 15.2-percent target share ranked No. 70 among WRs.  This is largely due to the presence of Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu, both of whom are under contract for 2019.  

Ridley was among the top five wideouts in PlayerProfiler’s signature efficiency metric, Production Premium.  His +25.6 Production Premium was easily best among rookies and was fourth-best among qualified receivers, but that number never carries over from year to year.