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While playing for the Chiefs in 2018, Williams a 10-percent Breakaway Run Rate. Kareem Hunt, in the same offense, posted a 6.1-percent (No. 15) Breakaway Run Rate. Williams posted 1.33 (No. 11) Fantasy Points per Opportunity, similar to James White and Duke Johnson, showing elite RB pass catching skill.

It’s only fair to mention the fact that Duke Johnson is Miami University’s all-time leading rusher. He outperformed other Miami U grads such as Frank Gore, Willis McGahee, and even Lamar Miller. Johnson will be filling the shoes of a player in Miller who was top 20 in Weighted Opportunity and red zone touches.

This Darwin Thompson hype train is out of control. The conductor is drunk, the film-grinding passengers are partying like its 1999 and they are all headed nowhere fast. This happens every offseason and yet it is still shocking to watch history repeat itself. Fantasy analysts build insane amounts of hype for a lesser prospect, the ADP skyrockets, owners get burned.

In the preseason and at Utah State, Thompson has shown elusiveness and an ability to make defenders miss in space. His 6.8 yards per carry in college, which was third among Darwin’s comparable player pool, is evidence that he can gain yards with elusiveness despite his low Speed Score. The question remains whether he can translate those skills when playing against superior competition in full-speed NFL games.

While James Washington’s athletic profile doesn’t boggle the mind, his 18.4 (98th-percentile among qualified receivers) Breakout Age and 20.2 (94th-percentile) College YPR offer a glimpse into his probable usage this year. With Brown gone, Washington will be split out at ‘Z’ for the Steelers, playing that downfield burner role.

With only Mike Evans and hype rocket Chris Godwin above him on the depth chart, Breshad Perriman is ready to make a day one impact. The Bucs ran three-receiver sets 60-percent of the time last year, a top-10 mark in the league. Couple this with the fact that the their run game and defense are still big question marks, he can accrue big target numbers in Bruce Arians’ pass-happy offense.

Reggie Bonnafon’s athleticism indicated that he could have been a productive player in college if he wasn’t living in the shadow of Jackson at Louisville. His 89th-percentile Burst Score and 70th-percentile Agility Score give him a clear advantage over anyone behind Christian McCaffrey in Carolina’s backfield. 

Damion Willis is drawing some attention because he finished his college career strong at Troy. He recorded a 42.1-percent College Dominator Rating while maintaining 15.6 yards per catch. One good season of beating Sun Belt corners doesn’t make Willis an interesting option, even late in drafts.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling will return several big weeks and several duds, which works out well because the computer sets your lineup for you retroactively. His 117.6 (97th-percentile among qualified receivers) Speed Score alone warrants taking him over Geronimo Allison, who has an 84.7 (23rd-percentile) Speed Score.

The most telling sign that Courtland Sutton is the proper best ball pick over Emmanuel Sanders is that he posted a 14.6 (No. 19) Average Target Distance compared to 10.0 (No. 72) for Sanders. If the target quality evens out between the two, Sutton should return better value in best ball formats.

If we compare Mike Williams to someone like Dez Bryant, who actually made a career of being a TD scorer, Williams falls further behind. Dez Bryant, in college, was an absolute red zone destroyer. He had a year wherein he scored 76 percent of his team’s receiving touchdowns.

Mike Williams is not what he’s being sold to be. He’s not the next Dez Bryant. He had one season of  incredible TD variance. Rounds and rounds later Donte Monciref is a bargain. He showed potential to be a red zone weapon on the college field.

What is Duke Johnson’s upside post-Lamar Miller injury. What if Alvin Kamara is a bell cow this year and Latavius Murray is just a handcuff?

How bullish should fantasy gamers be on Austin Ekeler? Nick Chubb is now a solid first round pick.

Ryan Fitzpatrick holds the key that can unlock the potential of Miami’s WRs in fantasy football: the deep ball. And with two speedsters who can stretch the field in Kenny Stills and Albert Wilson, plus the addition of rookie Preston Williams, Fitzpatrick has options.

The Dolphins deep threats are a match made in heaven for Fitzpatrick. He appeared in eight games for Tampa Bay in 2018 and his play elevated the Bucs receiving corps and produced massive fantasy performances. His 51.5 Deep Ball Completion Percentage and 6.2 air yards per attempt led the NFL, and his 8.3 adjusted yards per attempt ranked No. 3.

Without projecting for a 16-game pace, Dalvin Cook still put up incredible efficiency numbers as a runner and receiver. His 66 (No. 9) Evaded Tackles and 38.2-percent (No. 2) Juke Rate amounted to 273 (No. 22) Yards Created with a 1.58 (No. 17) Yards Created Per Touch. Bundling efficiency, production, and volume, Cook is a player you can’t afford to leave your draft without in 2019.

Hunter Henry’s 2017 season suggests that he became a large part of the Chargers receiving gameplan and he ascended with the increase in opportunity. Contrary to the thought that his TD efficiency was due to lack of usage in the red zone, he managed a 19.7-percent (No. 14) Red Zone Target Share as well as a 21.6-percent (No. 16) End Zone Target Share in 2017.

Is James Washington a bust? Are you ready for the Deebo Samuel show in San Francisco?

Is George Kittle the rightful No. 1 tight end in dynasty? How soon until Kyler Murray breaks into the top-5 dynasty quarterbacks?