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Fresh off a productive rookie season, Chris Herndon is among the most obvious breakout tight ends heading into 2019. It’s rare for rookie tight ends to be fantasy factors. Herndon went so far as playing runner-up to Robby Anderson in every important receiving category last year.

While Kliff Kingsbury has stocked the cupboard with several new weapons for Kyler Murray to play with, Ricky Seals-Jones sticks out as the biggest body for him to target. Whether it be in the middle of the field, down the seam or in the red zone.

Matt Ryan finished 2018 with a 79.5-percent (No. 25 among qualified players) Protection Rate. The Falcons rectified this, brigning in five free agent linemen and selected two more in the first round of the NFL Draft. His protection will bounce back, giving him more time to connect with his receivers deep.

Calvin Ridley’s touchdown total is bound to regress, being that he was only expected to score 3.6 based on his minimal usage in the red zone. The good news is that he will see a bump in volume as the Falcons phase out Mohammed Sanu in favor of the dynamic sophomore. The increase in target share will offset the touchdown regression, meaning a more productive second year is within his reach.

Fading James Conner because of Jaylen Samuels feels like bad process. With Gary Jennings looking like a bust, is David Moore percolating?

Alex Barnes deserves an opportunity. Packers – Darrin Hall finally found a home in Green Bay.

What we get in Derrick Henry is a size/speed specimen the likes of which the world has never seen. What he isn’t, is a receiver. This works if the running back is a Nick Chubb-level talent in an offense with top-five scoring potential. Sadly, the Titans haven’t shown us that. In 2018, Henry averaged a mere 9.9 (No. 45) Weighted Opportunities per game.

Lamar Miller received more touches than Melvin Gordon last year, and yet he only averaged 12.3 (No 23) Fantasy Points per game. Bill O’Brien offenses run at a quick pace and have a high volume of rushing plays. 76-percent of his 235 total touches were empty calorie touches. Despite the team lacking other pass-catching backs, he earned only 2.5 targets a game.

Antonio Brown’s frost bitten feet are a non-story. David Montgomery is having a wonderful preseason. Does it matter?

Tom Brady loves Jakobi Meyers. Does it matter? Donte Moncrief continues to receive camp buzz.

Miles Boykin saw more volume than expected in his first NFL action, but fantasy owners should not overrate this performance. Boykin only played three of 12 snaps with Lamar Jackson and was not used until the second unit took over. Baltimore wants to know what they have in the third-round rookie and thus peppered him with force-fed targets from Trace McSorley.

Irv Smith played 25 of the offense’s 29 first half snaps including three where he lined up in the slot. In that substantial action, he hauled in three of seven targets for 21 receiving yards. Smith was also running deep routes and barely missed a few big gains. Despite a good showing, Smith is falling because he continues to play behind Kyle Rudolph on the depth chart.

T.Y. Hilton in the second round feels aggressive, no? Why on earth is Le’Veon Bell being drafted as if he’s not a Jet?

Selecting Michael Thomas in the first round makes sense to get exposure to the Saints offense. George Kittle in the 2nd round makes more sense than Travis Kelce in the 1st round.

Austin Hooper’s ADP has been on the rise all summer and for good reason. This Atlanta passing attack is one that people want to have a piece of. Their tight end is the cheapest option, going in the 11th round, and he is not done progressing.

Lamar Jackson’s inability to move the ball vertically in year one has masked Mark Andrews’ true value. The narrative that he will not progress and that none of the Baltimore pass catchers have value is overblown. After a historically efficient rookie season, expect the snaps to rise and the production to follow.

Satellite backs are incredibly reliant on splash plays to make their fantasy points. This lack of consistent volume leads to unstable production, just like Tarik Cohen and his 9.6 Weekly Volatility, No. 9 among RBs. Undersized pass-catchers like Cohen and James White need to be devalued in drafts because of this.

On the opposite end of the spectrum is Jaylen Samuels. Samuels has featured back size at 6-0, 225 pounds. His 20.2 percent (97th-percentile) College Target Share hints that he is capable of doing immense damage through the air to complement his ground game. He will see touches at James Conner’s expense in 2019.

Kerryon Johnson vs. Marlon Mack: Which ascending bell cow is more valuable in dynasty leagues? Parris Campbell is predictably shredding in training camp.

Tyreek Hill’s reinstatement is bad news for Byron Pringle. Braxton Berrios is a very Patriots receiver.