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Calvin Ridley again appears in the Paying Up section, making it three weeks in a row. Last week against a tough Saints defense, Ridley finished as the WR24 on the week with five receptions for 108 yards. He out-gained Julio Jones in both yards and Air Yards, posting 186 Air Yards to Jones’ 109 Air Yards. With Jones ruled out for Week 14’s matchup against the Chargers, Ridley will look to dominate the targets and Air Yards in the Falcons passing attack. However, his ceiling is lowered without Jones on the field.

A.J. Green has been left off the value list for a while now despite scoring high in the model. However, after 14 weeks, Green is finally priced at the stone cold minimum on DraftKings. While he appears to be dust at this point, he is still seeing plenty of snaps and routes in the Bengals offense. For a minimum price, he is a masochistic play if you are looking to pay up elsewhere.

When going against top cornerbacks in the PlayerProfiler cornerback rankings, Mike Williams cannot be started. On the other side, when he goes against cornerbacks towards the bottom of the rankings, he has excellent games. A look at A.J. Terrell’s profile page shows that he has been a bad cornerback this season. It’s a guarantee that Williams and Justin Herbert connect on multiple 20-plus yard passes in this game.

Antonio Brown’s 18.6-percent (No. 4 among qualified wide receivers) Hog Rate on a team that averages 40.9 (No. 8) Team Pass Plays Per Game is a combination for fantasy points waiting for the right opposing defense to exploit. Kris Boyd’s 13.1 Yards Per Reception Allowed, when paired with his Catch Rate Allowed, is exactly what Brown needs to achieve his first breakout performance of the 2020 season.

Corey Davis has had a lot to prove this season after the Tennessee Titans declined his fifth-year option. He’s done just that. Other than a catchless Week 9 performance versus the Bears, Davis has recorded double-digit fantasy points in every game played. He’s averaging 15.7 Fantasy Points per Game, which currently ranks No. 16 among qualified wide receivers. The 2017 fifth overall pick gained 17.85 Lifetime Value points to move from WR48 to WR38 on PlayerProfiler’s dynasty rankings.

Rookie running backs have been breaking out on a weekly basis lately, while Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s dynasty stock has been sliding. Edwards-Helaire has produced at RB12 or better in only four games this season, averaging 13.9 (No. 18) Fantasy Points per Game. Being the first RB off the draft board last spring (in reality and often in fantasy), expectations were high. Dynasty managers have to be disappointed in what has largely been RB2 production.

With a higher Average Target Distance mark than his teammates, Michael Gallup is often deployed as the deep threat in the Dallas offense, logging 198 (No. 19 among qualified wide receivers) Unrealized Air Yards through 12 weeks. That deep threat role is a valuable one, but it’s not being capitalized on with sub-par QB play post-Prescott. Gallup’s 4.1 (No. 105) Target Quality Rating is far below Amari Cooper’s 5.4 (No. 60) and CeeDee Lamb’s 5.6 (No. 53) marks, more evidence that he’s doing a lot with a little.

It’s never good for a top-3 dynasty RB to lose a year due to an ACL tear. The silver lining is that Saquon Barkley’s injury happened in Week 2, giving him more than enough time to make a full recovery ahead of the 2021 season. Even better for our purposes, he and his explosive plays have been out of the public perception for a very long time. This presents a choice buying opportunity in fantasy football dynasty leagues.

Tyler Lockett is the most volatile fantasy football wide receiver in the league. He carries a Weekly Volatility mark of 14.4, showing extremely fantasy scoring oscillation. A true boom-or-bust archetype, Lockett looks primed for a breakout game against the Jets. And at a salary of $7,200 on DraftKings with low projected rostership, he’s a leverageable GPP asset.

Amari Cooper is being overlooked in a potential blowup spot with low projected rostership. The Andy Dalton revenge game narrative comes into play, with the quarterback facing his former team for the first time. If Dalton elevates his play against the Bengals, the Cowboys receivers benefit. And Cooper, who’s seen an increase in targets in each of his past four games, figures to be the biggest beneficiary and the lowest-rostered Cowboys receiver.

Ronald Darby’s combination of 13 (No. 2 among qualified cornerbacks) Pass Break-Ups, one (No. 3) TDs Allowed, and 55.6-percent (No. 11) Catch Rate Allowed has contributed to his +43.4 (No. 7) Coverage Rating this season. His 1.50 (No. 12) Fantasy Points Allowed Per Target spells trouble for Deebo Samuel this week, with Darby’s 87.3 (No. 24) Passer Rating Allowed paired up with Samuel’s 90.2 (No. 69) QB Rating When Targeted.

On top of predicted game flow not being in his favor, Amari Cooper’s 25.6-percent (No. 48) Air Yards Share is less than ideal for a player on a team expected to control the game on the ground. Cincinnati’s William Jackson is a tough matchup for the opposing team’s No. 1 options. His 54.3-percent (No. 8) Catch Rate Allowed is elite and it, along with his 7 (No. 21) Pass Break-Ups, has contributed to his +36.9 (No. 10) Coverage Rating.

Corey Davis ranks No. 4 among qualified wide receivers with 11.4 Yards Per Target, while averaging 2.88 (No. 2) Yards Per Route Run with a 33.1-percent (No. 19) Air Yards Share. This week’s game has the second-highest over/under of the week, providing plenty of opportunity for another trip to the end zone against a Jaguars team that has allowed the fifth-most Fantasy Points per Game to wide receivers. At just $5,700 we can’t pass up the upside.

Will Fuller’s suspension, coupled with Kenny Stills’ release and Randall Cobb’s absence due to a foot injury, unlocked third-year wide receiver Keke Coutee. He finished as the WR8 in Week 13 with eight receptions for a career-high 141 yards. The depleted Texans wide receiver corps ensures Coutee will continue to be the recipient of a high Target Share over the next few weeks. His knack for explosive plays makes him a great play at $5,000, even in a matchup with the Bears. 

Cole Kmet wasn’t a mind-bending prospect that was expected to take the league by storm as a rookie and he certainly didn’t. Up until Week 10, he hadn’t logged a game with more than two targets. However, since Week 10, Kmet has stolen the starting tight end job from Jimmy Graham. There’s been a changing of the guard for a team averaging 42.7 (No. 4) Team Pass Plays per Game, and that may translate to Kmet emerging as a viable streaming option in the fantasy playoffs.

It was fun while it lasted with Marquez Valdes-Scantling, but he’s been all but benched for Allen Lazard. Since Lazard returned in Week 11, Valdes-Scantling’s Routes Run and Snap Share have both fallen in consecutive weeks. He bottomed out at two targets and zero catches last week. MVS already had a comically low Target Rate, seeing a target on 15.4-percent of his routes run this season. That mark is No. 158 among qualified wide receivers.

While the 37.2 (No. 18) Team Pass Plays Per Game is good volume, Kyler Murray has failed to hit 6.5 Yards per Attempt in each of his last three. In two of these games, he threw for less than 175 yards. In a win or go home fantasy playoff matchup, we suggest making other plans at quarterback – or temper expectations with Murray, which can work depending on roster construction. The reign as fantasy’s QB1 is over.

In three games with Taysom Hill at quarterback, Alvin Kamara has commanded six targets – or two per game. He has managed two touchdowns in that span, but prior to last week, he posted back-to-back weekly finishes outside the top-24. Without the receptions, Kamara is more of a low-end RB2 than fantasy football’s RB1. He’s created a league-leading 220.8 Weighted Opportunities thus far, but we aren’t sure how many more he’ll create moving forward.

From a budget perspective, it takes effort to fit in both Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen at over $7K each, but Kirk Cousins offers salary relief at only $6.2K. Without a doubt, this is a volatile strategy. It requires the perfect game conditions, but in a GPP, you’re shooting for scenarios that lead to 95th-percentile outcomes, which this game presents. Be sure to run it back with a Buccaneer to capture the full-on shootout upside.

At a $5.1K price, outside the top 25 at QB, Jalen Hurts doesn’t need to be flawless to return tournament-winning upside. If he does hit, this is the week to be on him before any price or ownership spikes. Jalen Reagor unquestionably has the most upside in the Philadelphia WR corps. Last week, we got a taste of the explosive rookie’s dynamism and 140.4 (98th-percentile among qualified wide receivers) Burst Score with the punt return TD.