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A body mass index (BMI) of 30.6 (58th-percentile), College Dominator Rating of 33.0-percent (71st-percentile) at a major conference program, and a College Target Share in the 93rd-percentile demonstrate that Duke possesses both the stature and historical production indicators to become workhorse running back in the NFL.

Not only has Duke put up back to back seasons with over 500 rec yards, but he also posted a very healthy 4.9 YPC in 2016. Hue Jackson has said many times that he believes Duke Johnson can be an every down back in the NFL. I recommend buying low now in all dynasty formats before Crowell signs with another team.

It’s no secret that points matter in fantasy football just as much as they do in real football. We highlight the top-10 receivers who converted targets to touchdowns in 2016 with the hopes of identifying who could be the most red zone efficient receivers heading into the 2017 season.

Michael Thomas’ high-end athletic profile demonstrated by a 114.5 SPARQ-x Score (75th-percentile), 10.14 Catch Radius (73rd-percentile) and 99.9 Height-adjusted Speed Score (HaSS) (67th-percentile) helped to propel him to a +28.9 Production Premium (No. 4), was the highest among all rookie receivers in 2016.

Cam Newton’s anemic red zone and deep ball completion percentage both ranked outside the top-25 in 2016. A return to his dominance in 2015 is unlikely, but a moderate bounce back seems assured in 2017.

Allen Robinson ranked No. 9 among NFL wide receivers with 19 red zone targets last season. With his big body and physical play, Robinson’s touchdowns will increase back toward the mean in 2017.

Moncrief’s red zone proficiency paired with prolific quarterback play is reminiscent of Jordy Nelson. Natural talent development and situational forces project to lift the 23-year old Moncrief to new heights, making him an one of the best value wide receivers in fantasy drafts next season.

Donte Moncrief and Jordy Nelson share two important features of a dominant fantasy WR: an excellent quarterback and a below-average defense.

If the Jets release Brandon Marshall this offseason, the New England Patriots should sign Marshall based on his advanced stats and metrics profile.

Brandon Marshall and Randy Moss are similar in size and end zone prowess. Though Marshall has been better than Moss at converting red zone targets into touchdowns. Throughout his career, Marshall has turned 27-percent of his red zone targets into touchdowns, while Moss converted 24-percent of his career red zone targets into touchdowns.

Just as the NFL will ‘copycat’ successful trends, we as fantasy players need to open our minds to the possibility of another freak athlete switching positions in 2017.

Terrelle Pryor and Logan Thomas also boast upper percentile athleticism for their respective positions. After all, the one target that he had as a tight end with Virginia Tech came from none other than Tyrod Taylor for a touchdown.

Jordan Howard & Jay Ajayi advanced stats & metrics player profiles suggest they are overrated fantasy football assets after impressive rookie seasons.

Jordan Howard took advantage of a surprisingly effective Chicago offensive line, which ranked 5th in the league in total efficiency, receiving unexpected boosts from Josh Sitton, who was signed a week before the season started, and Ted Larsen, who did a nice job filling in for the injured Kyle Long.

If Kenny Stills, Alshon Jeffrey, and Terrelle Pryor leave in free agency intriguing fantasy options remain to take over targets and target shares. Devante Parker, Leonte Carroo, Cameron Meredith, Marquess Wilson, Ricardo Louis, and Rashard Higgins have the opportunity to set up and be great in fantasy.

Cameron Meredith has assumed the role of Bears No. 1 wide receiver. Already out targeting Alshon Jeffery, over the course of the season and on a per game basis, Meredith, and his 10.32 Catch Radius (95th-percentile), is set to inherit a potential monster workload which could allow him to see over 25-percent of the Bears targets in 2017.

Breakout running backs often have huge seasons due to injury, game flow and supporting cast. Jay Ajayi, Jordan Howard and Paul Perkins are three running backs to avoid in 2017 re-draft leagues.

All of Paul Perkins’ measurables hover around the 50th-percentile. He epitomizes the replacement-level playmaker.

Position changes in the NFL are commonplace, but the successes found in those changes are far less common. One of the best things about PlayerProfiler.com is that we can more accurately predict what players could make that transition a bit easier based on their physical attributes, athleticism, on-field efficiency, catch radius, and more.

Based on these advanced stats and metrics player profiles, Erik Swoope, Darren Waller & Logan Thomas are move tight ends on the rise in fantasy football in 2017.