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3 Scorching Hot DFS Takes: Week 5

With a large portion of his targets being directed at receivers who are adept at getting open, Joe Flacco will be able to find some success on Sunday. At $4,700 on DraftKings, he’s in play to be one of the best values of the entire week.

Andy Isabella has the profile of a prolific slot receiver. His 4.31 Forty-Yard Dash is in the 100th-percentile, while both his Agility Score and Burst Score are above-average. At 5-9, winning jump balls won’t be his strong suit. He’s best deployed across the shallow and middle regions of the field.

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Cheap DFS Lineup Makers for Week 5

Will Fuller is primed for a bounce-back game against Isaiah Oliver and the Atlanta Falcons secondary. Fuller has elite speed with a 4.32 (99th-percentile) 40-Yard Dash compared to Oliver’s 4.50 (58th-percentile) speed, meaning he will be tested deep early and often. His eight deep targets and his 17.1 Average Target Distance both rank top 10 among receivers.

James Conner was limited throughout Week 3 with a knee injury and also picked up an ankle injury in Week 4, putting his availability in question. Even if Conner suits up, Jaylen Samuels has carved out a significant role with his versatility. The Steelers will continue to feed their running backs to hide Mason Rudolph, giving Samuels a shot at crushing his $5000 salary.

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The 2019 Quarter Pole Rookie Report

Kyler Murray has a -12.23 (No. 29 among qualified quarterbacks) Supporting Cast Efficiency rating, and has suffered through 10 (No. 5) Dropped Passes. Still, he has gone some way towards meeting expectations as a runner. He is inside the top five in all of the key quarterback rushing categories, include Carries, Red Zone Carries and Rushing Yards per Game.

The 2019 rookie wide receivers were the talk of the NFL after Week 1, when Marquise Brown, Terry McLaurin and A.J. Brown all posted 100-yard debuts. McLaurin has established himself as a starter for Washington with a 93.5-percent (No. 9) Route Participation rate. His 35.2-percent Dominator Rating is No. 18 in the NFL.

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The Biggest Week 4 Fantasy Busts and Who to Trust Going Forward

Of all quarterbacks that played an entire game, Tom Brady was the lowest-scorer in Week 5. The Buffalo Bills, in an impressive effort, held him to 150 yards, zero touchdowns and one interception. Against a Washington team that allowed the dreadful Mitchell Trubisky to pass for three touchdowns in Week 3, Brady won’t repeat last week’s disaster.

Baker Mayfield and Odell Beckham were supposed to light the turf on fire in 2019, but they simply cannot connect. Beckham is seventh in wide receiver targets and Target Share, but 20th in Fantasy Points Per Game. Regardless, he is still a hold or buy based off of his current volume and career production

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Fantasy Football Trends to Watch – Week 5 Edition

After one of the most disappointing rookie seasons in memory, Ronald Jones continues to rehabilitate his image as his role in the offense grows. Last week, Jones recorded a breakout performance with 70 rushing yards on 19 attempts. He also added one reception for 18 yards out of the backfield. With raw statistics and efficiency metrics pointing to a Jones breakout, this is the time to buy.

Considered one of the final bell-cow backs to leave draft boards in late August, Devonta Freeman continues to share Atlanta’s backfield with Ito Smith. Efficiency metrics point to Smith being the more efficient runner in the Atlanta backfield, warranting a touch squeeze. For those looking to move on from Freeman, this is a solid sell high moment.

jaylen-samuels-fantasy-football

Jaylen Samuels Spontaneous Combustion and Other Week 4 Waiver Targets

Mason Rudolph’s love for all targets within ten yards of the line of scrimmage has rekindled the fantasy value of Jaylen Samuels, who was used on Monday Night Football in a way that was truly exciting. If this is the new look of the Pittsburgh Steelers offense, Samuels looks like a rocket ship that’s about to take off.

The connection between James Washington and Mason Rudolph was what people expected to see when Rudolph took over at quarterback in Pittsburgh. The connection between he and Diontae Johnson is what we are actually getting. For two weeks in a row, the young receiver has led the team in Target Distance. He was also the team’s most targeted wide receiver in Week 4.

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Leonard Fournette, Nick Chubb and Lessons Learned from NFL Week 4

Nick Chubb was third in the league in carries before this week and top 15 in targets for running backs, and he continues to contribute positively in both those categories. There really isn’t any red flag in sight for Chubb going forward, as the Browns are giving him a top-5 level opportunity share.

Leonard Fournette is seeing almost every single running back snap available on this Jaguars team. Scrappy Gardner Minshew is keeping Jacksonville in games and the defense is presenting short fields to work with at a decent clip. Fournette offers one of the safest usage profiles in fantasy, right up there with the first round bellcows.

david-johnson-fantasy-football

3 Scorching Hot DFS Takes: Week 4

David Johnson has dominated the work in Arizona. He’s played on 85-percent of the team’s snaps and has an 84.1-percent opportunity share. Both metrics are top-five among all backs. Johnson is going to control all of the running back work in the fastest-pace game on Sunday.

This game sets up for both teams to take turns scoring like a game of bad-defense HORSE. David Johnson has dominated the work in Arizona. He’s played on 85-percent of the team’s snaps and has an 84.1-percent opportunity share.

cj-prosise-fantasy-football

Tomorrow’s Newspaper: C.J. Prosise and Waiver Wire Prescience for Week 4

A key to the success of the Tomorrow’s Newspaper series is not being afraid to go to the same well more than once. It would’ve been easy to see Washington pulling the plug on Case Keenum after being blown out at home against the Bears on Monday Night Football. While that hasn’t yet happened, there […]

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Wide Receiver vs. Cornerback Matchups to Target: Week 4

Christian Kirk is the highlight of this week’s wide receiver matchup column. Logging 10 receptions for 59 rec yards for 15.9 (No. 24 among qualified wide receivers) fantasy points last week, he is in a smash spot for week four. Kirk faced a top passing defense in the Panthers last week, but draws a favorable matchup in Tre Flowers this Sunday.

From a fantasy perspective, Janoris Jenkins is as generous as cornerbacks come. His 23.7 (No. 72) Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game are staggering. However, it’s his 2.16 (No. 61) Fantasy Points Per Target that make Paul Richardson a strong play this week.