Summer Heat Index: Decoding Offseason NFL News for Fantasy Football (Pre-Training Camp Edition)

The good news for J.J. Arcega-Whiteside is that his best comparable player is Keny Golladay. The bad news is that, regardless of how much the Eagles like him, a season similar to Golladay’s rookie outing (28-477-3) is his most likely outcome.

Damien Williams’ lack of prior production is a concern. He was an undrafted free agent in Miami who has yet to breakout or even top 50 carries in the NFL. Dating back to 2,000, nine backs who went undrafted produced a 200-point fantasy season six years into their careers.


5 bell cows-in waiting who look like fantasy football league winners

Bell-cow running backs come at a high cost, usually picked in the first or second round of redraft leagues. But there are a handful of later-round players that could reach bell cow status due to injuries ahead of them or by winning the job outright.

As good as James Conner was in 2018, Jaylen Samuels had a better Production Premium and True Yards Per Carry than his teammate. He also had 26 receptions and never dropped the ball. Conner’s skills as a pass-catcher are limited, while Samuels’ skills are elite. Think of him as a bell cow-sized satellite back who has showed he can carry the load when called upon.


If Melvin Gordon holds out, draft Keenan Allen

In three games without Melvin Gordon in 2018, Keenan Allen’s Target Share jumped from 28-percent to 34-percent. His PPR points per game jumped over five points, reaching 21.93. His weekly finishes in that stretch included a 34.8-point week as the number one receiver in Week 13. If he gets a chance to play a full season without Gordon, he could be an absolute monster.

Hunter Henry has been a very effective tight end when on the field. His 406 Air Yards earned in 2017 placed him third among TEs. He was able to convert those yards into 9.3 (No. 4) Yards Per Target, and he logged eight end zone targets in only 12 games, good for No. 16 overall. Henry’s presence didn’t have a significant impact on Keenan Allen’s production when they’ve shared a field in the past.


4 bust candidates to AVOID in fantasy football this season

Dallas Goedert’s late-season breakout further lowered Ertz’s ceiling. Goedert was highly efficient while receiving a 54.7-percent snap share, evidenced by a 111.7 (No. 7) QB Rating When Targeted and a +21.5-percent (No. 6) Target Premium. Combined with Goedert’s breakout and Philly’s recent additions in the pass game, Ertz looks like a reach with his 25.6 ADP in early best-ball leagues.

Looking at PlayerProfiler efficiency metrics, Phillip Lindsay appears bound for regression. Despite recording 4.9 (No. 7) True Yards per Carry, Lindsay only notched 0.98 (No. 45) Yards Created per Carry. Coming off the board inside the top 50 picks, he remains a strong avoid in fantasy football.


Draft these 4 high-upside wide receivers in the late rounds of fantasy football drafts

The NFL has become a pass-happy league, and all of the sharp coaches are spasmodically calling for throws. Some secondary wideouts on pass-heavy offenses are still going way too late in fantasy drafts.

Donte Moncrief is an athletic freak that most have given up on after his first five pro seasons. But a case can be made that he’s in his best situation since gaining a starting role with Andrew Luck and the Colts.

kyler murray fantasy football

Kyler Murray: The Modern-Day Fantasy Football QB1

The criteria for becoming a top quarterback in both real and fantasy football is changing. It’s no coincidence that the top 12 QBs in fantasy are running the ball over 50 times a season. Looking for this trait is a great way to find upside in a late round redraft pick.

Kyler Murray is going outside of the top 100 picks in FFPC drafts and outside the top ten at his position. In the back half of round eight, the risk of a year one flop is outweighed by the more likely scenario of year one dividends.


The Absolute Sneakiest Dynasty League Waiver Wire Stashes

Despite 12 analysts selecting forty-eight rookies in the RotoUnderworld rookie mock draft, talented youngsters still remained as free agents. These deep sleepers are worth placing post-rookie draft waiver claims on due to their intriguing advanced stats and metrics profiles.

Mike Weber is clearly a handcuff, which makes him unappealing in season-long formats. But in dynasty, handcuffs can be stashed. Why not get the handcuff to the player who is always in and out of handcuffs off the field. Weber could be a league-winner behind the Dallas O-line if Zeke misses time, for whatever reason.


Three Sleeper Tight Ends Primed for Breakouts in 2019

Finding cheap breakout players is the ultimate edge in fantasy football. And if you aren’t paying up for stud tight ends, sleepers are where it’s at. The advanced stats, metrics, and analytics player profiles are pointing to three athletic tight ends as potential breakouts in 2019.

Gerald Everett has the athleticism, efficiency, and now the opportunity to produce in 2019 in a productive Rams offense. Darren Waller is stepping into a massive target void with the Raiders overhauling their pass catcher core. Jonnu Smith flashed production from Weeks 9-12 last season and deserves a shot at the starting job for the Titans.


The best-value Konami Code quarterbacks in fantasy football

The days of drafting pocket passers for fantasy football are long gone, and the mobile quarterback is taking over, both in real football and fake football. In order to gain an edge in fantasy drafts, coaches should generally employ a late-round quarterback approach and shoot for upside In order to gain a real edge at the quarterback position, coaches need to acquire a late-round QB who melts faces.

Josh Allen will likely remain a low-volume, inefficient passer in 2019, however, Allen’s rushing upside is undeniable. Allen ranked 2nd-best in carries per game and red zone carries per game in 2018, as well as finishing second in rushing yards and scoring 8 rushing touchdowns to lead the league.