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While Josh Allen has a cannon for an arm, evidenced by the highest Throw Velocity in the PlayerProfiler database, he also has an above-average 4.75 (77th-percentile among qualified quarterbacks) 40-yard dash, 118.1 (82nd-percentile) Burst Score and 11.30 (69th-percentile) Agility Score at 6-5, 237 pounds. Playing Allen without stacking any of his pass-catchers is an excellent contrarian strategy because he can be the QB1 on this slate without any of his receivers popping off.

With 10 games of at least 16 touches this season, Carlos Hyde is clearly the preferred option in the Houston backfield. The Texans are favored by three points over the Bills, so Hyde should see neutral to positive game script throughout the contest. Deshaun Watson may struggle to find production through the air, so expect Bill O’Brien to use Hyde more than usual to take advantage of that matchup. He can easily top 100 yards and hit pay dirt multiple times.

Anyone from Minnesota is most likely a one-week play because the Vikings are eight-point dogs this week. Because running back is so thin, Dalvin Cook has massive upside for one game after coming off three weeks of rest. The Vikings/Saints showdown has a 48-point total, highest of the first weekend. Cook has per-game marks of 17.9 (No. 6 among qualified running backs) carries, 17.8 (No. 7) Weighted Opportunites and 3.6 (No. 4) red zone touches.

Mark Ingram has said he’ll be playing in the Divisional Round but he’s unlikely to be at 100-percent health. His volume was also a bit fraudulent this season. Despite finishing with 201 (No. 18) carries, he only recorded 167.7 (No. 25) Weighted Opportunites because of his minor receiving role. The only edge in taking Ingram is if he vultures numerous touchdowns from Lamar Jackson. That can happen, and Ingram will be virtually unowned, so feel free to get chalky after taking him.

Although Allen Robinson is walking into this matchup as a target hog, it’s clear he won’t need a robust uptick in volume to have his way with Xavier Rhodes. Regardless, Robinson’s 33.5-percent (No. 11 among qualified wide receivers) Dominator Rating in a Chicago offense that averages 38.9 (No. 11) Team Pass Plays Per Game will be enough to push Rhodes to failure. Lock Robinson in as a top play for week 17.

Guarding Courtland Sutton is a tall task for any defender. Averaging 2.48 (No. 11) Yards Per Pass Route and 15.8 (No. 18) Yards Per Reception, he’s among the most efficient receivers in the league. Last time he saw Oakland, Sutton exploded for seven receptions and 120 receiving yards for 19 fantasy points. With Oakland allowing 269 passing yards and two passing TDs on a per game average, he’s in line for another boom week to end 2019 on a high note.

When healthy, Marlon Mack has been the unquestioned leader of the Colts’ backfield. Boasting a 63.3-percent (No. 18 among qualified running backs) Opportunity Share on the team averaging 29.6 (No. 6) rush attempts per game is no small accomplishment. Both the Colts and Jaguars are limping into the offseason, but that doesn’t mean Mack can’t go out in style against a league worst run defense.

Following the injury to Mark Ingram in Week 16 against the Browns, Justice Hill finally had a chance to shine, and finished the day with six touches for 51 yards and a touchdown. He now has a chance to split backfield touches with Gus Edwards against the Steelers in Week 17 with Ingram having already been declared out for the game. With rising opportunity heading his way, it’s time to embrace the bargain buy one more time, and slot Hill into our lineups this Week 17.

John Ross and his NFL-record 4.22 40-yard dash always present a mismatch. The only problem for him has been his health and a lack of opportunity. Ross put those concerns to bed in Week 16, running a season-high 46 routes and seeing 13 targets against the Dolphins. He only caught six of them, but he saw a ridiculous 283 Air Yards in that game.

Darius Slayton has yet to log a full practice this week, meaning Golden Tate will continue to operate as the primary option for the Giants. He’ll be running the majority of his routes in the slot on Rasul Douglas, who ranks No. 119 in PlayerProfiler’s CB rankings. This game also has a 45.5-point total, which is the second-highest on the slate. Tate’s low price makes him a bargain in this game environment.

In a highly competitive Week 16 match against the Patriots, the Bills played Devin Singletary on 98-percent of their offensive snaps. Conversely, Frank Gore played only two total snaps through the entire game. Singletary also touched the ball 16 times, while Gore failed to record a single touch. Already playing as Buffalo’s primary receiving back, Singletary appears to have asserted himself as Buffalo’s bell-cow back moving forward.

With LeSean McCoy late-scratched, Damien Williams stepped up to play 54.8-percent of Kansas City’s snaps in Week 17. Needing a win and a New England loss to change their position, it remains to be seen whether Kansas City will sit any players this week. However, with Spencer Ware also landing on injured reserve, the Chiefs appear comfortable with Williams leading this backfield moving forward.

Austin Ekeler needs 50 receiving yards to become the fourth running back to ever post 1,000 receiving yards in a season. His game versus the Chiefs could not set up more perfectly for him to get there. The 50 receiving yards he needs to reach 1,000 are a lock. Be on the lookout for 100 total yards and the all-time receiving yards record for a back.

Courtland Sutton faces Oakland this week and no one has been more friendly to opposing passing attacks than the Raiders. They are 32nd in the NFL in yards per attempt allowed at 7.9. Sutton has been targeted 10 times in each of the past two weeks and is top-10 with 24 deep targets. We’re getting one final explosion from him this week.

Julio Jones, a Hall-of-Fame caliber receiver that’s still been underrated, became the fastest player to reach 12,000 career receiving yards. He beat out Jerry Rice, which seems good. Jones has been a remarkably consistent player, and having Matt Ryan to play with over the years has certainly played a pivotal role in the pair’s success. Jones turns 31 in February and, approaching his tenth year in the league, has looked as good as ever. As long as his health and quarterback situation stay consistent, so too should he.

Kenyan Drake was a zero-RB target all summer long, but it was as an Arizona Cardinal that he led savvy fantasy players to a championship. After the four-TD performance in the semi-finals, Drake steamrolled the Seahawks for 166 yards and two scores, one being an untouched 80-yard line drive through the Seattle defense. He’s been fully reborn in Arizona’s up-tempo attack, while David Johnson has essentially been laid to rest. His stock is rising each passing week, so hold tight to the reborn asset.

With hopes of keeping the 49ers at bay and retaining the 1-seed in the NFC playoff race, Tyler Lockett and the Seahawks draw a great matchup against the Cardinals in Week 16. Even with a few bad games, his ceiling, as we saw against Carolina, makes him a weekly start regardless of the matchup. With that said, his date with Arizona’s Byron Murphy puts gamers in an extremely exploitable situation.

Philadelphia’s defense allows 261 passing yards and cedes just north of 35 pass attempts per game to opposing teams, which gives all Cowboys receivers an uptick in projection. Michael Gallup is the strongest play of the bunch. Over the last five games, he leads the receiving corps in targets, receptions, Air Yards, receiving yards and overall fantasy points. All of that aside, Gallup is set to face off against Ronald Darby, who’s been abysmal this season.

Mike Boone is sure to be among the chalkiest plays of the week. Likely heading into his first start of 2019, he couldn’t draw a better matchup. The Vikings a Packers team allowing +2.93 fantasy points above league average to opposing running backs this season (No. 8), and have allowed 24.3 fantasy points per game to running backs over the last five weeks.

After scoring 16.8 combined points in the previous two weeks, Kenyan Drake went off for 39.6 fantasy points against the Browns. It’s no secret that Drake has been the bellcow back for Arizona since joining them in Week 9 against the 49ers. It’s also no secret that the Seattle Seahawks aren’t the great defense they once were just a few years ago. Now we have a chance to see the two collide for a Week 16 divisional matchup.