While Josh Allen has a cannon for an arm, evidenced by the highest Throw Velocity in the PlayerProfiler database, he also has an above-average 4.75 (77th-percentile among qualified quarterbacks) 40-yard dash, 118.1 (82nd-percentile) Burst Score and 11.30 (69th-percentile) Agility Score at 6-5, 237 pounds. Playing Allen without stacking any of his pass-catchers is an excellent contrarian strategy because he can be the QB1 on this slate without any of his receivers popping off.
With 10 games of at least 16 touches this season, Carlos Hyde is clearly the preferred option in the Houston backfield. The Texans are favored by three points over the Bills, so Hyde should see neutral to positive game script throughout the contest. Deshaun Watson may struggle to find production through the air, so expect Bill O’Brien to use Hyde more than usual to take advantage of that matchup. He can easily top 100 yards and hit pay dirt multiple times.