The time is now to buy the 2018 free agent wide receiver class

In a year with a weak rookie wide receiver class by most accounts, NFL fans and the dynasty community were treated to an excellent free agent wide receiver crop, highlighted by Allen Robinson, Sammy Watkins and Jarvis Landry.

Jordan Matthews also scored eight touchdowns in each of his first two seasons. Matthews is an upper-percentile athlete by most metrics, and broke out at one of the youngest ages in the database while accounting for nearly 50-percent of Vanderbilt’s passing offense before turning pro.


3 Trades NFL General Managers Need to Make

Cleveland has 74 million dollars in cap room, while the New York Giants currently have just under 5 million. That’s a massive difference. The Browns can offer Odell Beckham exactly what he wants monetarily. They can also reunite him with Jarvis Landry.

If Jon Gruden views Jordy Nelson as having the “It” factor and Jay Gruden still views Dez Bryant as a top receiver in the league, there is a chance that Jon also believes in Bryant as elite. The Raiders trading for Bryant would make sense if red zone potential and scoring touchdowns is your main concern.


3 high-upside wide receiver prospects no one is talking about

Standing 6-2 and weighing in at 210-pounds, Jester Weah is one of the few 2018 wide receiver prospects to look the part of an NFL split end/X-receiver. Weah comes with some red flags and isn’t the perfect athlete. However, his strengths far outweigh his weaknesses.

Justin Watson’s best comparable on is Jordan Matthews. Both Matthews and Watson were dominant in college, both are fast and both have long arms and good hands. Matthews is more agile but Watson has more burst.

J’Mon Moore could be the next Cooper Kupp, who was a 3rd-round deal, and since Moore will not get drafted until later, he could be a late-round steal. If Moore can somehow land on a team that believes in his talent and gives him the opportunity, he could be dynasty gold.


Best Ball Strategy: Chasing 2018 Breakout Players

Projected to command significant volume in the NFL, Saquon Barkley came off the board at pick 1.09. Electrifying the combine, Barkley posted 96th-percentile or better across his 40-Yard Dash, Speed Score, Burst Score, and Bench Press, making his closest comparison David Johnson.

At this point, drafting running backs with a definite role, but room for growth in the event of an injury or breakout, provides upside for best ball lineups. In 2017 Burkhead posted a massive +59.6 Production Premium (No. 3) along with 5.5 yards per touch (No. 7). With Dion Lewis on his way to Tennessee, Burkhead appears to be the primary beneficiary in the Patriots backfield.


Jameis Winston vs Blake Bortles: Seeing through the narrative

Jameis Winston has shown intermittent flashes of fulfilling the promise that many have forecasted since he was drafted. But for all of his potential, the current price tag Winston carries in startups or dynasty trades outweighs his value.

Blake Bortles is not the terrible fantasy one-liner we have been led to believe he is. With the improvements made to the offense around him, Bortles can maintain his status as a low-end QB1/high-end QB2 in fantasy football.


Luke Willson just became a top fantasy football sleeper in NFL free agency

The Lions signed former Seahawk Luke Willson to a one year, $2.5 million contract. This signing has attracted very little fanfare, but fantasy owners should at least be aware of it happening.

The Lions lined up in 11 personnel, with a single tight end, 75-percent of the time in the last two seasons. That single tight end should be Luke Willson in 2018, who looks the part of a top sleeper in fantasy football leagues.


Deshaun Watson, Jimmy Garoppolo, and adjusting QBR based on the quarterback’s supporting cast

Deshaun Watson’s touchdown-dependent four-game stretch in 2017 did not help him with a quarterback rating that judges how well he threw the ball. Watson moves from No. 1 in Total QBR and No. 7 in True Passer rating, to No. 18 in the performance-focused adjusted QBR.

Adjusted QBR provides a clearer picture of how PlayerProfiler’s advanced stats, metrics, and analytics describe QB performances in 2017. While the predictive nature of this metrics is uncertain, even in a limit sample size, adjusted performance gives us a clear indication of how well a quarterback played, regardless of variance riddled stats like touchdowns and interceptions.


These 3 rookie running backs deserve more attention in mock drafts

Chase Edmonds’ best season, and best the indicator of his NFL upside, was his sophomore year, when he compiled 1,648 rushing yards and 20 touchdowns. The most important numbers from this season, though, were his 31 receptions for 383 yards and five touchdowns.

Jarvion Franklin is bigger than Carlos Hyde, showed better receiving ability and was more dominant in college. Most impressively, Franklin’s 11.24 Agility Score at 239-pounds illuminated exceptional size-adjusted lateral quickness.


Why dynasty leaguers must stash Austin Carr before he breaks out

Austin Carr posted a 46.8 percent College Dominator Rating, good for a place in the 92nd percentile, and after posting a 10.77 Agility Score (93rd percentile) this makes him an ideal option for the Saints in the slot.

The Saints need a quality slot wide receiver, and Austin Carr has the skills to be a target hog in New Orleans. With exceptional lateral quickness, a solid history of college production, and Drew Brees throwing him the ball, why can’t Carr be a fantasy WR2?


Mason Rudolph is the most underrated quarterback in the NFL Draft

It is mind-boggling how a quarterback as inefficient and inaccurate as Josh Allen can supersede Mason Rudolph and be considered a first round pick in this year’s rookie draft.  The production numbers don’t lie. Apart from Mayfield, Rudolph was by far and away the most dominant throwing quarterback in college, ahead of the other first-round graded quarterback prospects.

Many critics have accused Mason Rudolph as a system quarterback, meaning he was great in the system at Oklahoma State but would not be effective if he were to find himself out of that system.  This is a ludicrous accusation because when you also look at his air yards per attempt.

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