Featured Articles

Against Minnesota, Tyler Lockett put up a bagel. Even though he had an 86.5-percent Snap Share and ran 27 routes, he didn’t catch any of his three targets. After putting up 40.2 points in Week 9, Lockett has combined for nine targets, four catches, 64 receiving yards and 10.7 fantasy points in the three games since. Though he is in a slump, it’s difficult to bench a player that has games with 32.4 and 40.2 points this season.

Like a thorn in his side, Dallas Goedert continues to eat into Zach Ertz’ upside. Goedert out-targeted Ertz seven to six in Week 13, but totaled 42 more yards. Ertz still somehow managed to draw six targets. Even with Goedert’s precence, Ertz holds onto an 89.4-percent (No. 3 among qualified tight ends) Snap Share, a 24.2-percent (No. 2) Target Share and a 15.2-percent (No. 5) Hog Rate.

Following Arizona’s bye, Kenyan Drake’s workload remained a concern in Arizona. However, Drake remained the team’s work-horse, playing 85.5-percent of Arizona’s snaps in Week 13. He ranks ninth among running backs with 59 targets, even playing occasional snaps in the slot. With David Johnson showing little ability to create on his own, Arizona appears comfortable with riding Drake down the stretch in 2019.

Jack Doyle has quietly provided Jacoby Brissett a reliable target this season, aided by a 2.02 (No. 6 among qualified tight ends) Target Separation mark. Already providing Brissett easy pitch-and-catch opportunities, his +3.4 Production Premium also ranks No. 10 at the position. Now set to play a full-time role in the offense, Doyle is a candidate to lead the Colts in targets to close out 2019.

The next step in Mike Gesicki’s evolution is inevitable at this point. Despite the high number of routes he is running, Gesicki still owns a 12.9-percent (No. 16 among qualified tight ends) Hog Rate. He belongs in the top tier conversation with Austin Hooper and Darren Waller. His future is being the No. 1 pass catcher for his team in the same way that George Kittle leads the 49ers. Add him to every roster.

Objectively, Raheem Mostert has outplayed Matt Breida and Tevin Coleman to this point in the season. His +26.4 (No. 7) Production Premium should make Coleman and Breida, who are hovering around zero themselves, a little self-conscious. As unlikely of a late-season winner as Mostert may be, it’s hard to deny that he has been the most efficient player in the system and has now logged a successful week as the team’s bellcow. 

It’s hard to even consider match-up when evaluating one of the more freakish humans to enter the league in recent years, but Derrick Henry has been carpet-bombing defenses for almost a month straight. The quarterback switch to Ryan Tannehill certainly hasn’t hurt Henry’s productivity, with a more efficient Tennessee offense feeding into his grinder and touchdown-heavy role.

It was a November to remember for DeVante Parker, who has now seen four straight games with 10-plus targets. He draws the Jets, Giants and Bengals in the fantasy playoffs. When coupling that with Ryan Fitzpatrick’s willingness to feed him all up and down the field, Parker should find himself locked in as a WR3/4 for the playoffs. His DraftKings price has yet to reflect his upside.

Why you must go all-in on Rashaad Penny. Zach Ertz is the chalk king.

A truly mind bending DeSean Jackson stat. Miles Sanders should be your highest owned player next season.

It’s time to deploy this series first-ever 100-percent, full-proof lock button. And it belongs to Davante Adams. Adams is coming off a string of what some consider to be underwhelming fantasy performances but those people are liars. In his last three games, he’s logged 21 receptions on 33 targets for 202 receiving yards culminating in a 15.7 fantasy points per game average.

Before week 10, Cooper Kupp was averaging 10 targets, 100 rec yards, and 21 fantasy points per game. Since then, he’s posted nine receptions for 88 receiving yards on 17 targets in the last three games. That drastic of a production dip is abnormal and generally signals outlier performance.

Andy Dalton has shown a strong floor with at least 14 fantasy points in all but one start this season. He has also shown the ability to turn his 11.20 (77th-percentile among qualified quarterbacks) Agility Score into rushing production with three touchdowns on the ground. Dalton is the ideal cash game quarterback to build around this week.

This week Miles Sanders has been gifted the Dolphins, who rank 28th against running backs in fantasy points allowed on FanDuel. With upper-percentile athleticism across the board and a solid pass-catching floor, Sanders is a no-brainer in this matchup. With Jordan Howard still banged up and Jay Ajayi being a non-factor, Sanders should dominate.

D.J. Chark is experiencing a second-year breakout and he has done it with two different quarterbacks. In the two games since Nick Foles returned to the lineup, Chark has received 21 targets and a 22-percent Target Share while seeing a significant increase in Snap Share. Chark has utilized his 4.34 speed and 96th-percentile Speed Score to exploit defenses down the field.

With Christian McCaffrey’s price soaring to $10,500 on DraftKings and $11,000 on FanDuel, it’s important to reiterate that he remains a weekly must-play. That is especially true when he has a favorable matchup like Washington, who has allowed the fifth-most rushing yards and an average of 26.6 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs.

The signal beyond Miles Sanders’ raw totals without Jordan Howard is the volume he is seeing. His 23 carries account for 63.9-percent of the running back carries, and his nine targets include every single target thrown to a Philly back. This week will be his first start as a favorite and it comes against the Miami Dolphins.

The Jaguars face Tampa Bay this week in a game with a 47.5-point total. The line has also moved and Jacksonville is now an underdog, which we want to see for the sake of their receiving options. Tampa Bay has been notoriously crushed in the passing game this season, giving up per-game averages of 289.9 yards (No. 31), 2.4 touchdowns (No. 29) and 26.6 receptions (No. 31).

While it took Chris Carson fumbling ten times this season, Rashaad Penny finally recorded his breakout performance. His Snap Share also rose to a season-high 52.9-percent, while Carson’s fell to 58.8-percent. With Carson’s fumbling issues and Penny’s breakout performance, this backfield looks like a time-share moving forward.

Looking at efficiency metrics, Miles Sanders appears on the cusp of a breakout performance. His 26.2-percent Juke Rate ranks 17th among qualified runners, and his 6.1 yards per touch ranks fifth. His 337 receiving yards rank ninth at the position, showing his passing game chops. When adding that to his 103.8 (76th-percentile) Speed Score, Sanders profiles as a lead back in the NFL.