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After a few seasons with the Saints, Dan Arnold was waived and subsequently claimed by the Arizona Cardinals in December of last year. In Week 17, he saw meaningful snaps after Charles Clay went down. He capitalized by grabbing four balls on six targets for 76 yards and a touchdown. Clay is now a free agent, leaving Arnold to be the primary tight end option on a wide open depth chart at only 25 years old.

LSU’s Foster Moreau was an early Day 3 pick in the 2019 draft for the Raiders. This appears to be an unfavorable target situation, but Darren Waller’s contract features no dead cap after 2020 and Jason Witten is unlikely to command meaningful targets. There is a path to a prominent role for the 23 year old that possesses a 127 (93rd-percentile among qualifed tight ends) SPARQ-x score and athleticism metrics above the 80th-percentile across the board.

Levante Bellamy did not come to Western Michigan as a running back. According to 247Sports, he was the No. 13 wide receiver and No. 499 overall prospect in the 2015 class. Western Michigan listed him at wide receiver on their roster in 2015. With elite burst displayed at the NFL Scouting Combine and a football background as a receiver, he profiles as an under the radar running back set to succeed at the professional level.

Looking ahead at future opportunities, Bellamy has the skillset to allow the Broncos to move on from Phillip Lindsay instead of committing a multi-year, expensive contract to a backup running back whose 11.6-percent Drop Rate on 95 career targets will limit his role to early down work when Melvin Gordon needs a breather. Bellamy is the better back to partner with Gordon going forward in fantasy football.

It seems Allen Robinson will merely have to improve on his career-low 11.7 (No. 69 among qualified wide receivers) yards per reception to outproduce his 2019 season. Nick Foles had no problem launching the ball to Alshon Jefferey in Philadelphia, so he should see no reason to hold back from doing so to Robinson in Chicago. With his projected volume, Matt Nagy moving him all over the formation, and Foles under center, a top five fantasy season is in the range of outcomes.

The Rams moving to a much higher percentage of two TE sets falls in line with what Sean McVay previously did in Washington with Jordan Reed and Vernon Davis, while also helping a deteriorating offensive line. With Brandin Cooks traded, this shows that McVay intends to continue running two TE sets and solidifies the workloads for both Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp. While many will be quick to draft Kupp as a WR1, Woods has the same ceiling with a higher floor.

DeeJay Dallas has a chance to seize a role as a rookie. Buffalo had Gabriel Davis graded as a second round talent.

Lamical Perine slots in as a direct back-up and that gives him upside. Albert Okwuegbunam could be a thing sooner rather than later.

A stud running back is the Holy Grail of fantasy football, but how do we quantify their impact? According to ESPN, 78.1-percent of those who had Christian McCaffrey made the playoffs in PPR leagues in 2019. He was a cheat code in every sense. Those who drafted McCaffrey and weren’t plagued by injuries, more than likely made the playoffs. In comparison, only 61.5-percent of Michael Thomas owners made the playoffs.

Over the last three years, 72-percent of top 12 running backs in Fantasy Points per Game were picked in the top 36 of fantasy drafts. 2020 is the year for Robust RB. Punch your lottery ticket three times over in the first 36 picks by hammering RB-RB-RB. Take a swing at tight ends and quarterbacks in the late stages of your draft. Let your leaguemates take on the balanced approach in the early rounds while you take home the prize with your stable of high-end workhorses.

An early Breakout Age increases the chance that a wide receiver will have a successful NFL career. Of the wide receivers selected in 2014, 14 of them (41-percent) had a Breakout Age of 20 or younger. The 2020 class holds an edge with 18 prospects drafted (or 51-percent) meeting the same breakout threshold. Another notable trend for the 2020 class is that half of the players with early Breakout Ages were selected in Round 4 or later. In 2014, only two wide receivers selected on Day 3 of the draft had an early breakout.

Speed Score places a premium on 40-time, but also factors in body weight and length. The 2020 class has 17 players (49-percent) with a Speed Score of 100 or higher. A handful of rookies did not run the 40-yard dash at the 2020 Combine, so it is possible that this class more 100-plus Speed Score WRs. Even so, this represents the highest number of receivers with a Speed Score of 100-plus drafted in a class in over 10 years. In comparison, 14 players (41-percent) met this threshold for the 2014 group.

Will Dissly has the production and player profile that fantasy gamers love in their tight ends. He currently stands as the No. 3 target in a Russell Wilson-led offense with two years of rapport with both Wilson and the coaching staff. D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett form a nice 1A-1B tandem at receiver with a combined 13.1 targets per game in 2019; but Wilson averaged 32.2 passes per game in 2019 and put up 31 (No. 3 among qualified quarterbacks) passing touchdowns. There is plenty of meat on the bone for a third and even a fourth contributor in this passing game.

Dissly’s injury risk is real, but it is also baked into his ADP. He is essentially free in all formats. He can be picked as a team’s third tight end in the late teens and even after round 20 in all formats. His ceiling is top 12 tight end in 2020, with the opportunity to be the primary red zone weapon and touchdown scorer for Russell Wilson. Considering he is free in all formats, we should be more than willing to swallow that injury pill for a potential top 12 tight end producer.

D.J. Moore is the can’t-miss, slam-dunk fantasy pick of 2020. A lightning-quick offense that throws the ball at a high rate is the ideal formula for fantasy football production. At the young age of 23, Moore already has a breakout season under his belt and will see a massive improvement in his surrounding situation. After he records a Michael Thomas-level season in 2020, he’ll be planted in the elite tier of fantasy receivers for the next half-decade.

According to the Law of Conservation of Targets, Courtland Sutton didn’t have the best offseason. The Denver Broncos overhauled their offense, signing Melvin Gordon and drafting pass-catchers Jerry Jeudy, K.J. Hamler, and Albert Okwuegbunam. While that seems like a lot of players fighting over one ball, Sutton is the only one with any professional connection to Drew Lock. At 6-3, 218-pounds, he has the best size in this receiver room and profiles as a true alpha.

Jordan Love will re-prove the Developmental QB Myth. Jon Gruden is chasing the next Tyreek Hill in Henry Ruggs.

Packers drafted A.J. Dillon to get leverage on Aaron Jones. Miami had an underwhelming draft.

Jonnu Smith’s dynasty owners have watched his role with the Titans grow from his rookie season to this past season. His improvement from 2018 to 2019 was both from a statistical and efficiency standpoint. He’s an amazing football talent, and the Titans realized this halfway through the season. Fantasy football production is all about opportunity, and Corey Davis won’t prevent Smith from ascending in this offense and become the No. 2 passing option in a NFL offense in 2020.

Smith’s breakout season will not be a surprise, it should be expected. The analytics and trends throughout the 2019 season are foreshadowing his fantasy football ascent. Enjoy getting him at his ADP outside of the top 100 this season, because it won’t be this low again until he exits his prime. Securing a full-time role in the Titans offense with a quarterback upgrade in Ryan Tannehill, Smith is set to build on his TE1 numbers from Weeks 14-16.