Betting the Spread Week 15
by Shervon Fakhimi, December 17, 2022Week 15 is here, and it’s time to make some picks against the spread in the NFL! Which bets provide the most value this week? How can bettors find an edge?
NFL Draft Rumors are running wild! What are these rumors and how realistic are they? This is everything you need to know about the NFL Draft!
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READ MOREWeek 15 is here, and it’s time to make some picks against the spread in the NFL! Which bets provide the most value this week? How can bettors find an edge?
Prop betting is a marketplace where a lot of value can be found especially for fantasy gamers! Which pick ’em player prop bets provide the most value this week?
When making start/sit decisions, matchups are important to consider. With the fantasy playoffs on the way, which wide receivers are facing tougher coverage this week? Which wide receivers should we consider benching because of.a tough matchup?
Which offenses were operating at warp speed in Week 14? What offenses are crawling slowly along? All the answers are found here, in the Pace of Play Report!
It’s easy to get enamored by late-round rookie quarterbacks. They always have a certain fire, and when they deliver in the spotlight America falls in love. Brock Purdy is the next candidate to test the waters of “the Tom Brady trajectory.” He produced 15.3 and 21.7 fantasy points in his two games as the team’s signal caller. Completing 70.7-percent of his passes with a 90.9 True Passer Rating, he’s quickly settling into Kyle Shanahan’s system.
The notion that the highest priced player on the slate is a value sounds absurd on the surface. However, Davante Adams has crested 119 Air Yards in five out of his past six games and is averaging almost 150 Air Yards during this same time frame. Additionally, he has seen double digit targets in every game since week nine. This has resulted in four finishes as the WR6 or better. Adams is coming off a game in which he “disappointed” with only 10.1 fantasy points. This week he can very easily do what Justin Jefferson did to the Patriots in week 12 and finish as the WR1 in fantasy on the week.
Like a phoenix Drake London rises from the… ok I’ll pump the brakes on this one because the the Falcons are still projected to be a uber run heavy offense even with newly installed rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder. However it is exciting to get excited about London! He last saw 12 targets and 196 Air Yards in week 13. It’s fun to think that this was a preview of what his post bye week rookie bump is going to look like. While Arthur Smith has destroyed the souls of fantasy gamers all season, I would be interested in having lots of exposure to London in DFS this week in the hopes his rookie season rises from the ashes of Arthur Smith’s prior play calling.
The Jaguars entered Week 14 allowing the 8th-most passing fantasy points to QBs. They have allowed at least 27 points in three of their last four games. Dallas has a high-powered offense that has scored at least 28 in each of their last six games. Expect Prescott to wheel and deal against a mediocre Jaguars defense.
Etienne has not had a top-36 finish his last three games, with three receptions in that time, all in Week 13. Trevor Lawrence is leading the offense with his arm with the run game not of much use. Etienne has flashed great fantasy production, but his recent struggles combined with a bad matchup have him on fantasy benches to start the playoffs.
With the playoffs now in store, you will see a much briefer form of this column. In this version of the column, we will only use our streaming selections to help you lift that trophy. However, if you preferred the introspective, long-form version, not to worry. At the conclusion of the Regular Season, I will be back to offer a review of the best and worst takes from the column and lessons learned moving forward.
The teams you play every week now will have stronger rosters. The decisions you make are more important in a single-elimination format. Every point counts. Your bench is also less important. If you are rostering a player you would never start, like a Mack Hollins type, you are better off cutting them for a defense with a strong weekly matchup or even a handcuff RB, preferably behind a banged-up starter. We also want to roster our own handcuff RB whenever possible. We only want to roster one defense during the season, but it is perfectly acceptable to roster multiple defenses during the playoffs.
This is the Infirmary Report: Post Week 14! The worst part of our beloved game is the frequency of injuries. It’s an unfortunate byproduct of such a fast-paced, contact-heavy sport. It’s something that is important to remember as we approach the first full week of the preseason. Luckily for the NFL players, they have access to some of the best doctors in the world and can usually return to form at least by the next season. Unfortunately for us fantasy players, it’s not always easy to know when a player will get hurt. To another degree, sometimes your roster isn’t big enough to plan ahead for an injury. This series, the Infirmary Report, will give you advice on the injuries that have happened every week during the season. Without further ado, here is the Infirmary Report: Post Week 14 of regular season action.
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