Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Draft Strategy | What is EVERY 1st Round Rookie Pick Worth in Superflex Rookie Drafts?

by Seth Diewold · Dynasty Leagues

PlayerProfiler is home to award winning dynasty rankings and tools. Our Dynasty Deluxe package includes complete Dynasty Rankings, Rookie Rankings, Trade Analyzer, Draft Planner, Mock Drafts, and more. Check it out. As we head into draft season, it’s time to get some reps in on dynasty fantasy football rookie mock drafts. You might also have some real Dynasty rookie drafts coming up soon. This article outlines the trade value of each first round pick in a rookie mock draft. 

1.01

The first pick in your Superflex Dynasty rookie draft is extremely valuable. The 1.01 this offeason comes down to two players – Marvin Harrison, Jr. and Caleb Williams. Both players have been called generational talents by popular analysts and scouts alike. Both are going to be top-five picks in the NFL Draft. Williams will likely being the first overall player selected. The simple way to put it is the 1.01 is going to be worth A LOT. Dynasty gamers need to be extremely diligent when attempting to trade this pick.

Currently, I have Marvin Harrison, Jr. as the No. 14 overall player in my Dynasty Superflex rankings. I have Caleb Williams as the No. 17 player in those same rankings. Therefore, in order to trade this pick, a Dynasty gamer is going to need to get a player like Breece Hall or Bijan Robinson, plus a little extra. My guess is the 1.01 could go for even more than that.

An extremely reliable fantasy quarterback like Dak Prescott plus multiple other rookie picks could be on the table as well. The best advice would be to be patient with the pick. It’s wise to wait as long as possible before making a decision. Simply put, this pick is worth a ton, and if a Dynasty gamer decides to cash it in, they need to get a haul for it.

1.02

The 1.02 is likely either Caleb Williams or Marvin Harrison Jr. Therefore, it may be the best way to get exposure to one of those two players. However, the pick should be valued very similarly to the 1.01. It depends on the league, but these players are likely going to be flipped around in some leagues, depending on team need. Therefore, a similar haul is going to be required for me to move off of this pick.

Generally, if a Dynasty gamer holds either the 1.01 or the 1.02, their team is likely in need of a lot of pieces. This could be a tremendous opportunity to hold the pick as long as possible to ensure the best possible return. It is important to reiterate, there is no rush to make a move. Be patient.

1.03

The 1.03 is likely going to be Malik Nabers, Brock Bowers, Rome Odunze, Jayden Daniels, or Drake Maye. There is no doubt those players are going to be coveted by Dynasty gamers everywhere. The pick should be valued close to a third or fourth round startup pick. Last year, it wasn’t uncommon to see Bryce Young and C.J. Stroud come off the board in the third round of a Dynasty startup. Therefore, it is possible we see Nabers, Daniels, or Maye come off the board in that same area or even sooner.

In terms of players, the 1.03 will be closely valued to players such as Jaylen Waddle, A.J. Brown, Chris Olave, or Brandon Aiyuk. It’s possible the pick may be worth a little more, especially if a member of your league is desperate for a quarterback. In terms of rookie draft picks, it would likely require at least a 2024 late first rounder (1.09-1.12), plus a first rounder in 2025 and an additional second round rookie pick.

1.04

If a Dynasty gamer is in need of a quarterback, this is the part of the draft that is likely going to be the easiest to trade up to. With that being said, the 1.04 is still an extremely valuable pick that some Dynasty gamers are not going to value properly. With the 1.04, one of Jayden Daniels, Brock Bowers, Malik Nabers, Rome Odunze, or Drake Maye is still going to be on the board. Therefore, it is still going to require a player such as D.J. Moore, Kyren Williams, Devon Achane, or Justin Fields plus some extra rookie draft capital to move up to this spot.

This could be a nice opportunity to move off of a player like Kyren Williams or Justin Fields to move up in a rookie draft to select a quarterback or the best rookie wide receiver on the board. In terms of rookie draft capital, it is still going to require at least a late first (1.09-1.12) plus an additional first in 2025 to make this deal happen. Players such as Jaylen Waddle, Brandon Aiyuk, or Chris Olave could likely be traded for this pick straight up.

1.05

Again, this is a part of the draft I am personally going to be looking to trade up to. There will still likely be a nice quarterback in Drake Maye or Jayden Daniels or one of the top wide receivers in Rome Odunze, and it likely won’t cost as much to move up to the 1.05. However, it should. Players like D.J. Moore, Devon Achane, Kyren Williams, or Jonathan Taylor could be traded for this pick straight up. In some cases, it may not require that much depending on how the Dynasty managers in your leagues value the rookies this year.

This feels like a good spot to trade up to as it likely won’t cost as much as it would to move up to the 1.03 or even the 1.04. Dynasty gamers sometimes get hung up on the pick number instead of the player that can be selected with that pick. Simply put, the middle of the first round could be a nice opportunity to flip players who outperformed expectations in 2023 for some nice 2024 rookie assets.

1.06

I will reiterate that the mid-first round is a good spot in the rookie draft to trade up to, as likely Rome Odunze and one of Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, Malik Nabers, or Brock Bowers will be on the board at this point. Because of that fact, the 1.06 is going to be valued very similarly to the 1.05. The same player pool would likely still be in play for this pick: D.J. Moore, Devon Achane, Kyren Williams, Jonathan Taylor. Yet again, it may not require that much to move up to this pick. The 1.05-1.07 is a spot in the draft that is going to have a lot of value for Dynasty gamers.

1.07

The 1.07 is the last of Tier Two in my Superflex Rookie Rankings. Therefore, it’s the last place in the rookie draft that I personally would be willing to trade up to. This is the stage of the rookie draft where it might be possible to trade away a veteran like Saquon Barkley or Stefon Diggs to get the last wide receiver in a tier. Likely, it won’t cost even that much. If I can use a 1.11 plus my second round rookie pick to move up to this spot, that’s a move I’d make.

1.08

The consensus pick here, according to many analysts and Keep Trade Cut, is likely Brian Thomas Jr. However, Troy Franklin could also be in play. In terms of players, James Cook, Jayden Reed (if you want to roll the dice), George Pickens, or a player like Terry McLaurin are all valued around where Thomas is currently ranked according to Keep Trade Cut. Every league is different, so it’s important to use those negotiation skills!

This is a disclaimer for the rest of the picks in the first round. It’s very unpredictable how leagues are going to value these rookie picks. It might be possible to trade down from this spot and pick up multiple rookie picks in future drafts. The 1.08 is the spot in the draft where I am most likely going to look to move down. This pick could also net some veteran players if you are looking to compete now.

1.09

According to Keep Trade Cut, the 1.09 is J.J. McCarthy. It is possible that a member of your Dynasty league is willing to move heaven and earth to trade up for McCarthy. If that is the case, then this pick could be very valuable in a trade. It’s still a part of the draft where I’m looking to move down. It might be possible to move down a few spots and pick up multiple later rookie picks – multiple second round picks. That’s a move I would consider.

In terms of players, this is an excellent opportunity for a win now team to get some veterans. It might be possible to acquire a player like Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs, or Mike Evans plus some extra draft capital in exchange for this pick. A move like that is something I would definitely consider if my team is in win now mode.

1.10

Consensus would say the 1.10 is Troy Franklin. Franklin is my WR4 and my No. 8 overall rookie. So, if he is still on the board here, there is some value to be had by selecting him. However, I am still putting this pick on the trade block to see what I can get. If a Dynasty gamer has the 1.10, it means they finished just outside of the championship game. Trading the 1.10 for a veteran player plus an extra draft pick might be the perfect move especially in this draft that has a TON of depth. This is also the section of a rookie draft where it may be possible to acquire a 2025 first rounder plus something extra.

1.11

Again, this is the stage of the draft where it might be possible to get a 2025 first round pick. In general, that is a good move to make. If a 2025 first round pick can be acquired, go for it. However, that is not how I typically like to play Dynasty – especially if I just missed out on a championship last year. If you have the 1.11, then it’s more likely than not that your team is built to win now.

Trading the 1.11 for a veteran player or two is the way to go. A running back like David Montgomery or Rachaad White could be acquired. Or veteran players like Mike Evans, Davante Adams, or maybe even Stefon Diggs could be had for this pick. It might even be worth kicking the tires on George Pickens or Jaxon Smith-Njigba. It’s very likely that more can be had on top of those players. Every league values players differently, so you just never know!

1.12

It won’t hurt to see if it’s possible to get a 2025 first round pick in exchange for this selection. Again, every league is different. This pick could be a quarterback in Bo Nix or Michael Penix. Perhaps Keon Coleman rises up the rankings depending on when he gets selected. For me personally, this is a section of the draft I’m still looking to move out of. If I can secure a veteran to help my team, especially if I won the championship last year, that’s a move I’d be willing to make.

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See John Laub’s Top RB Prospects of the 2024 rookie class here.