PlayerProfiler Staff Present: NFL Offenses Set to Break Out in 2024

by Joel Ybarra · Featured
2024 NFL

PlayerProfiler is home to the award winning redraft rankings and tools. Our Player Rankings are second to none, and the World Famous Draft Kit contains detailed player write ups and cheat sheets to help You dominate fantasy drafts! Check it out. Below, the PlayerProfiler staff identify 2024 NFL offenses that are poised to break out. 

Washington Commanders | Matt Babich

In 2024, their second season under new ownership, the Washington Commanders will look quite different. Newly appointed offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury will usher in a new era of offense in DC. Historically, Kingsbury’s offenses are highly active and fantasy-friendly. During his tenure in Arizona, his offenses finished top-3 in pace of play in three of four seasons and were a top-15 scoring offense from 2019-2021. From 2020-2022, his offense produced three top-seven fantasy finishes at QB, two top-10 fantasy finishes at WR (four top-27 finishes), and two top-10 fantasy finishes at RB (four top-24 finishes).

Enter Jayden Daniels. The rookie QB will lead an RPO-based offense, and has the surrounding talent to elevate the other offensive weapons. Terry McLaurin, who’s finished top-17 in Yards Per Team Pass Attempt in four of five career seasons, fits well into the Alpha WR role we’ve seen commanded by aging Larry Fitzgerald and DeAndre Hopkins. Jahan Dotson has shown big-play ability and should slot into the Christian Kirk role from prior seasons in Arizona.

In the backfield, Brian Robinson has proven to be a force in both phases of the game. He’ll compete for a fantasy RB1 finish given his expected workload. Finally, the team spent Day 2 capital on Luke McCaffrey and Ben Sinnott to shore up the pass catching talent. With a historically productive offense and quality surrounding talent, the seventh-worst offense in 2023 is destined to break out.

Atlanta Falcons | Theo Gremminger

No franchise did more to address their QB needs this offseason than the Atlanta Falcons. They signed Kirk Cousins in free agency and then doubled down by selecting Michael Penix Jr. with the eighth overall pick in the NFL Draft. While the move caused head scratching across the league, one thing is apparent: there is a philosophical change in Atlanta on the offensive side of the ball. Gone is Arthur Smith, and in is Zac Robinson.

Robinson comes from the Sean McVay coaching tree. Expect the Falcons trio of former top-10 draft picks- Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Kyle Pitts– to thrive. These players should be featured early and often and weekly touches should be predictable. With Cousins behind center, London and Pitts should be in line for big time production in the passing game. Robinson could challenge for RB1 overall and put up a Todd Gurley-level season. Darnell Mooney signed as a free agent and will slot in across from London on the outside. This offense could easily ascend from the bottom 10 in scoring – right into the top 10.

Pittsburgh Steelers | Matty Kiwoom

Two glaring areas stand out when thinking about what held back the 2023 Pittsburgh Steelers offense. The first and most obvious would be Round 1 bust quarterback, Kenny Pickett. The other was the offensive scheme as a whole. Luckily, the Steelers will go into the 2024 season with a new quarterback and offensive coordinator. Russell Wilson (with Justin Fields as backup) will be under center and Arthur Smith will be the new offensive coordinator.

As the Titans’ OC (‘19-’20), Smith created a scheme that led to back-to-back top-10 seasons for the unit. Tennessee was 10th in total offensive points scored in 2019 and then fourth in 2020. In those years, Ryan Tannehill had some of the best years of his career. Wideout A.J. Brown and running back Derrick Henry were also fantasy studs. Despite being a train wreck for fantasy in Atlanta, Smith should excite the fantasy world now that he is in Pittsburgh.

Players to Target

Russell Wilson, Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren, George Pickens, Pat Freiermuth, Roman Wilson and even Justin Fields warrant interest in fantasy football heading into the 2024 campaign. Mr. Unlimited is looking like a projected value right now across the board. Both Steeler running backs averaged double-digit fantasy points last year and this year, both are appropriately valued. I am leaning heavily on Harris smashing in 2024.

The pass catchers should all see a bump in value due to the quarterback upgrade alone. Pickens is staring down the barrel of a third year breakout with the departure of Diontae Johnson. Rookie Roman Wilson should find a solid role immediately for the Steelers. Pat Freiermuth is an athletic tight end in an offense that projects to move the ball. That makes him a high end streamer on the low end and a weekly producer on the high end. The Steelers are poised to be the breakout offense in 2024 so make sure you target them in drafts.

Las Vegas Raiders | Jason Allwine

Not many people are identifying the Las Vegas Raiders as a potential breakout offense, but they are a sneaky team to target for fantasy football in 2024. Last year they were at the bottom of the league in most, if not all, offensive metrics. But that was last year where Josh McDaniels was the head coach for half the season and Jimmy Garoppolo and Aidan O’Connell were the QBs. O’Connell was a fun story, but only amassed 2,218 pass yards in his 11 games played and never passed 300 pass yards in a game. The good news is the Raiders looked solid when Antonio Pierce took over. They brought in Gardner Minshew to be their new QB.

Say what you want about Minshew. He is a starting caliber QB that has made his weapons fantasy viable. Michael Pittman had a career year in 2023. Josh Downs had over 700 yards in nine games as a rookie. The tight ends combined for over 800 yards and 11 TDs. Even the Colts run game was solid with both Jonathan Taylor and Zack Moss being solid options throughout the year. And if you check out Minshew’s player page, you will find that he finished at least top-20 in most important passing metrics as well, including No. 3 in pace of play.

Late 2023 Production

If you look at the last few weeks of the season for the Raiders (post-Week 13 Bye) you will see that they beat the Chargers, Chiefs and Broncos and found themselves in one score contests against the Vikings and Colts. Zamir White finished the year as the starting RB, taking 20-plus touches in all four games for at least 100 yards or a touchdown. Davante Adams had three games over 15 points, including a 126 yard, two-TD game. With the addition of Brock Bowers, a pass-catching back in Dylan Laube, an upgraded QB and o-line, the Raiders are primed to shock people.

Read the PlayerProfiler Staff’s rookie sleepers article here: Fantasy Sleepers – 5 Rookies to Draft in 2024 with the PlayerProfiler Staff