Strategy

Priced almost $1000 less than Patrick Mahomes, Kyler Murray gives daily fantasy gamers the QB1 upside at a discount relative to the rest of the top tier QBs. That savings can be used to pay up for his top target DeAndre Hopkins, who has faced an incredibly difficult slate of corners over the last few weeks in Stephon Gilmore, Jalen Ramsey, and James Bradberry. Darius Slay isn’t practicing this week, which gives Hopkins even more potential to smash.

Since returning to the lineup in Week 12, Mitchell Trubisky has posted two top 10 fantasy QB performances. Yet DraftKings refuses to price him up, even as they face an average Minnesota Vikings defense in a dome. Allen Robinson’s price is rising, but there is still plenty of upside value left, and pairing him with Trubisky at only $5.5K provides sufficient salary relief to not have to compromise at other positions.

From a budget perspective, it takes effort to fit in both Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen at over $7K each, but Kirk Cousins offers salary relief at only $6.2K. Without a doubt, this is a volatile strategy. It requires the perfect game conditions, but in a GPP, you’re shooting for scenarios that lead to 95th-percentile outcomes, which this game presents. Be sure to run it back with a Buccaneer to capture the full-on shootout upside.

At a $5.1K price, outside the top 25 at QB, Jalen Hurts doesn’t need to be flawless to return tournament-winning upside. If he does hit, this is the week to be on him before any price or ownership spikes. Jalen Reagor unquestionably has the most upside in the Philadelphia WR corps. Last week, we got a taste of the explosive rookie’s dynamism and 140.4 (98th-percentile among qualified wide receivers) Burst Score with the punt return TD.

After the murderer’s row of defenses to start the year, Deshaun Watson has been simply phenomenal. He should be a popular option this week without getting too chalky as players fear that imposing Colts defensive matchup. Instead of throwing darts at the backups with Keke Coutee, Isaiah Coulter, or the tight ends, go with Brandin Cooks. This game will be played in a dome with one of the only 50-plus point totals, and at only $5600, he will be among the cheapest WR1s available on the slate.

At only $5.4K, Mitchell Trubisky draws a matchup against a Lions team with a struggling defense that just fired their coach after getting torched by Deshaun Watson on Thanksgiving. The unquestioned alpha in the offense, Allen Robinson is the most sensible receiver to stack with Trubisky. Put it together and we have a stack featuring a running QB with his target magnet WR1 at discount prices in a dream matchup with low ownership due to brand.

This week against the Chiefs, Tom Brady will be forced to be prolific. Averaging 40.8 (No. 6) Team Pass Plays per Game, 50 pass attempts is squarely within the range of outcomes. The Bucs have three formidable WRs from which to choose for stacking. Our recommendation this week is Chris Godwin. This week is all about volume, and with Godwin’s 56.7-percent (No. 18 among qualified wide receivers) Slot Rate, he should be peppered with easy-to-convert targets in this projected shootout.

Deshaun Watson-Will Fuller Thanksgiving Day stacks are expensive and should be chalky. Be bold and ignore the matchup by going with Ben Roethlisberger and Chase Claypool. The Steelers have realized they don’t need a run game to beat teams anymore, so Roethlisberger is throwing a ton. Diontae Johnson is the most expensive Steelers WR, but Claypool has the most blowup potential with the elite athleticism to beat the imposing Ravens secondary.

Jalen Reagor, Miles Sanders and Alshon Jeffery are back in action. Those upgrades make a big difference for both Carson Wentz’s floor and ceiling. He’ll have viable pass-catchers to go along with his unheralded rushing production. So many rookie WRs have popped in this class, and after dealing with some injuries, it’s time for Reagor to do the same. Enjoy the cost savings of the $4,300 price tag to fill out the rest of your roster.

As one of the cheapest options on the slate, playing in a dome, against a not particularly threatening defense, it may not feel great, but there is a lot to like about Andy Dalton this week. Amari Cooper’s 8.5 (No. 84 among qualified wide receivers) Average Target Distance shows he’s getting easy targets near the line of scrimmage which he can take and turn up field, evidenced by his 220 (No. 18) Yards after the Catch. That presents a solid combination of floor and ceiling for the dollar.

Sifting through the high-end stacking options this week, there is one that may get lost based on matchup. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks face the intimidating Los Angeles Rams defense. In a game with the second highest projected total, ignore the difficult on-paper defensive matchup and get exposure to massive upside at what’s expected to be unusually low ownership from the Seahawks offense.

With projected negative Game Script and a healthy set of receivers, Drew Lock should see enough volume to make him a viable play at $5.5K on DraftKings. Jerry Jeudy has arrived. It took some time as a rookie, but he is now commanding an alpha-level Target Share and alpha-level Air Yards. He’s delivering on that opportunity as well. Yet DraftKings seems to think it’s still Week 7 by pricing him at $5.6K. Capitalize while you can.

We’re banking on a get-right game this week for Josh Allen against a porous Seahawks defense. At $7,000 on DraftKings, he has slate-breaking upside. Stefon Diggs is the queen chess piece of this Bills offense. DraftKings priced him up to $7,400 this week in anticipation of the matchup, but his underlying opportunity is still too good to pass up.

Typically a game manager, Teddy Bridgewater will be forced to come out firing this week in order to keep up with a Chiefs offense that will not have problems against the soft Panthers defense. Robby Anderson continues to be undervalued by DraftKings based on the opportunity he’s getting. Bank on the underlying opportunity for the high floor and hope the TDs start to come for the ceiling.

Russell Wilson has been a top 5 QB in four of his six games played and never outside the top ten. PlayerProfiler’s No. 2-ranked cornerback Jason Verrett is set to line up against D.K. Metcalf. Seahawks-49ers features a high point total (53) in what should be a game to stack. Banking on fantasy gamers being hesitant to chase the points from last week, Lockett should be relatively lower owned than his solid projection and lower price would naturally indicate.

Facing a barrage of sacks and pressures from his offensive line, Joe Burrow continues to look downfield, where his 347.3 Air Yards per Game rank No. 3 in the league. Those Air Yards are why Tee Higgins continues to be a strong play week in and week out. His 10 (No. 12) Deep Targets demonstrate his valuable role in the Bengals offense. Given the game state, feel free to go with a heavy game stack playing both Higgins and Tyler Boyd, running it back with one or two Titans players as well.

This week, Justin Herbert draws a Jacksonville passing defense that we’ve been targeted this year. He’ll have all day to throw, allowing him to continue to increase that Money Throw total and deliver fantasy points in bunches. Last we saw Keenan Allen, he left early in Week five with a back injury after scoring a touchdown. Using the bye week to get healthy, he is poised to step right back into his target magnet role as he lines up against burnable corners.

Julio Jones costs less than teammate Calvin Ridley this week. At $7100, Jones is outside the top 5 WRs. He suffered no reported setbacks last week in an absolutely dominant return. Matt Ryan, for his own part, has everything we look for when it comes to passing metrics for a QB. Some of it is Game Script-driven, but it’s not like that will be changing anytime soon. The issue has been efficiency, but we expect that to bounce back to historic norms with Julio back in the lineup against the Lions.

In a game where they led by multiple scores almost wire-to-wire, Lamar Jackson saw a huge increase in pass attempts. They are trying to get him going through the air. Marquise Brown is set to be the main beneficiary of this passing uptick. Last week, his routes and targets jumped to season highs. He is consistently targeted deep down the field, creating a volatile, splash play machine waiting for that blowup 150-plus yard, two-score game. This is the week.

This week in particular sets up to encourage plenty of passing action from the Jaguars against the Lions in the week’s most likely shootout. For the stack with Gardner Minshew, we’re going with Laviska Shenault. Similar to Marquise Brown, with the opportunity combined with the dynamism, it’s only a matter of time until he has a monster, slate breaking week. If you want to go all in on this game shooting out, throw D.J. Chark into the lineup and run it back with Kenny Golladay or T.J. Hockenson.