Dynasty Player Pulse: Buy/Sell/Hold Before Week 1

by Wolf Trelles-Heard · Featured
Buy Sell Hold

PlayerProfiler is home to award-winning dynasty rankings and tools. Our Dynasty Deluxe package includes complete Dynasty RankingsRookie RankingsTrade AnalyzerDraft PlannerMock Drafts, and more. Check it out! Below, Wolf Trelles-Heard touches on player values in a dynasty market report with a dynasty buy, sell, and hold. 

Less than a week away. Can you feel it, fantasy fans? The excitement is real. I’m sure a few of you still have redraft drafts left on the calendar, but don’t forget about your dynasty squads now that the point-scoring season is almost here.

If you’re looking for an edge or some guidance on which moves to make before kickoff, I’ve got you covered.

I’ve highlighted three players I think you should buy, sell, or hold, depending on your roster build. Check them out below—and go make some deals.

Buy

Michael Pittman Jr., WR – Indianapolis Colts

I want to play a game.” You read that in Jigsaw’s voice, didn’t you?

Here are three wide receivers and their stats over the past four seasons. Which would you rather have?

  • Player 1: 441 targets, 308 receptions for 4011 yards and 27 touchdowns
  • Player 2: 499 targets, 315 receptions for 4342 yards and 27 touchdowns
  • Player 3: 537 targets, 365 receptions for 3967 yards and 17 touchdowns

On paper, that output looks nearly identical, right? Sure, the 10 extra TDs from Players 1 and 2 stand out, but Player 3 bridges that gap with 50+ additional catches, especially if you are playing with full PPR scoring.

Player 1 is Devonta Smith. Player 2 is Terry McLaurin. Which means Player 3 is Michael Pittman Jr.

Michael Pittman Jr.’s Advanced Metrics

According to Fantasy Calc, here’s where they’re going in dynasty startups over the past two weeks: Smith is WR21, McLaurin is WR23… and you have to scroll all the way to WR53 to find Pittman Jr. That gap is staggering, practically Grand Canyon–sized. We’re talking multiple rounds of ADP separation for nearly indistinguishable production.

The dynasty market is fading Pittman after a down 2024, when his numbers dipped. He had WR17, WR20, and WR13 finishes from 2021–2023, but last year fell to WR41 with only 808 yards and three scores. The drop-off wasn’t purely performance-related, though: he played the entire season with a low-back fracture that clearly hampered him.

Because of that, there’s been almost zero buzz around Pittman Jr. this offseason in my leagues. That’s exactly when you buy. Strike up a conversation with his manager and see what it takes to get him. A 2nd round pick could work. Toss in a 4th or a bench flyer to sweeten the pot if you must. I’d also happily flip guys like Jaylen Warren, J.K. Dobbins, Jack Bech, Jaydon Blue, Mason Taylor—all being valued around Pittman Jr.’s range—for a wideout that should give you WR2/3 returns now that he’s healthy again.

Sell

Jacory Croskey-Merritt, RB – Washington Commanders

K-Pop Demon Hunters. Sydney Sweeney ad campaigns. Jacory Croskey-Merritt.

Like Hansel, these are all “so hot right now,” but in Croskey-Merritt’s case—or “Bill,” as he prefers—the hype train has left the tracks. I get that everyone is desperate to find the next Bucky Irving, but the buzz around this seventh-rounder is out of control.

A zero-star recruit out of high school, Croskey-Merritt slogged through three years at Alabama State, averaging under 4.0 yards per carry, before finally breaking out at New Mexico in 2023. He then moved to Arizona and rushed for 106 yards in the opening game before an eligibility issue wiped out the rest of his season.

He now enters the pros as a 24-year-old, Day 3 selection who produced just 34 receptions and a measly 18.4% College Dominator Rating. Why is everyone so excited about that profile? 

Jacory Croskey-Merritt’s Advanced Metrics

Yes, Washington jettisoned Brian Robinson Jr. from the team, but that doesn’t mean Croskey-Merritt is just going to inherit a large workload. Austin Ekeler is a trusted vet who’s likely not coming off the field on third downs, two-minute drills, or pass protection. Chris Rodriguez Jr. profiles as the bigger, short-yardage option at 225 pounds. So what’s left for “Bill”? A handful of between-the-20s carries and the occasional dump-off? Not exactly the stuff of fantasy relevance. 

Yet somehow, he’s now going in Round 7 of redrafts. That’s insane. Did people not learn from Zamir White last year? There are managers actually dealing future 1sts for Croskey-Merritt. I kid you not. In one of my leagues, I saw him moved for a 2026 2nd and 3rd. For a player you probably snagged in Round 4 of rookie drafts or off waivers? That’s a strong profit.

History isn’t kind to these late-round darlings. Remember James Robinson? Dameon Pierce after his rookie flash? They burn hot, then fade fast. If you can get a 2nd for Croskey-Merritt, take it and don’t look back. If you can squeeze more, even better. Just don’t be the one left holding the bag when the hoopla surrounding him dies down.

Hold

Chris Godwin, WR – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Things were starting to look grim there for Godwin managers. He didn’t practice at all during training camp, and the only real glimpse we got of him was in the Buccaneers’ 50th anniversary uniform reveal—where eagle-eyed fans noticed his surgically-repaired ankle still looked swollen.

Well, good news has arrived: Godwin passed his physical and was added to the Bucs’ 53-man roster instead of starting the season on the PUP list. General manager Jason Licht said in a radio interview that Godwin would miss the first month or so of the season but should be back after that.

They’ll likely need him back sooner rather than later. Fellow wideout Jalen McMillan is on injured reserve with a neck injury, and tight end Cade Otton is expected to miss some time with a leg issue.

Chris Godwin’s Advanced Metrics

Don’t forget: last year the only WR to outscore Godwin in PPR through Week 7 was triple crown winner Ja’Marr Chase—and it was by less than a single point. Godwin was sitting as the WR2 overall at 19.7 PPG when he went down.

For dynasty managers, this is a contender’s hold. Be patient and see what role he settles into when he’s back. Does he reclaim the slot, where he dominated last year, or shift outside while rookie Emeka Egbuka slides inside? Either way, you could be plugging a steady WR2 into lineups sooner than expected.

Unless someone comes knocking with an overpay, sit tight. Godwin’s value could climb once he’s back on the field.

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Wolf Trelles-Heard is a fantasy football contributor for PlayerProfiler. Find him on X at @DynastyFFWolf.