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John Ross Rebound and other Week 14 Waiver Targets

by Josh Crocker, December 10, 2019

The Bengals face off against the Patriots in Week 15, and finish their fantasy tour against the Miami Dolphins. A healthy John Ross, playing a full complement of snaps, represents home run ability with volume. In the season’s first two weeks, Ross ranked 11th in targets, first in receiving yards and second in fantasy points. He’s the definition of an upside add.

It is time for Ian Thomas to step forward and show that he is capable of contributing to the new identity of the Carolina Panthers. In dynasty leagues, Thomas is exactly the kind of tight end prospect that fantasy gamers can buy low on, or even just add. He was on the radar as a quality prospect leaving college. Greg Olsen’s return to the Panthers’ lineup has postponed the party, but it is no less inevitable.

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Week 14’s Lessons Learned: Ryan Tannehill stays hot

by Tyler Strong, December 9, 2019

Since naming Ryan Tannehill the starting quarterback, the Titans are second in the league in offensive touchdowns and points per game. He’s simply smashing. He’s been a better fit for this offense than Marcus Mariota and has changed the perception of a perennially middle-of-the-road team. Keep Tannehill locked into starting lineups, and look to game stack the crucial AFC South matchup in DFS next week.

Mitchell Trubisky’s resurgence tour runs into the Packers and Chiefs. The Bears mustered three points against Green Bay in Week 1, and Trubisky has averaged 233 yards and 0.8 TDs in four games against the Packers. This astounding Cinderella story might go full pumpkin as Green Bay angles for playoff seeding. Avoid the Bears in DFS and fire up Aaron Jones once more.

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The Long Gain: Bargain Running Backs to Target in Week 14

by Zach Krueger, December 7, 2019

Despite a tough matchup against a New York Jets team allowing -2.21 fantasy points above league average (No. 25) to opposing running backs, Patrick Laird has a legitimate path to success if the workload is there. He became the featured back against the Eagles after Kalen Ballage went down last week. If his growing workload is any indication, then Laird is ready for his bellcow debut in Week 14 against the Jets.

Duke Johnson averages 12.9 fantasy points per game in Houston wins, compared to 9.2 in Houston losses. It’s simple math, but it’s also no secret that he needs to be involved more. Over the last five weeks, the Broncos are giving up 22.3 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs, including 29.7 points to Chargers running backs Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler last week.

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DraftKings Value Plays and GPP Targets for Week 14

by Matthew Gajewski, December 7, 2019

Currently missing T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron, the Colts sorely miss a speed element. While Parris Campbell only has limited snaps on his NFL profile to date, his college profile makes him interesting this week. With this game also totaled at 47-points, both offenses project to feature their respective passing attacks. Priced at $3,200, Campbell provides intrigue as a complete punt in GPPs.

The Cardinals continue to involve their backs in the receiving game. Kenyan Drake’s 59 targets rank ninth in the NFL, creating a potential avenue for success. In recent weeks, the Steelers have shown slight vulnerability to enemy backs in the receiving game. Ultimately, Drake remains a solid GPP target based on volume and price.

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Derrick Henry And The Lock Button Plays For Week 14

by Alex Johnson, December 6, 2019

Two weeks ago, we declared it officially Derrick Henry season and he hasn’t disappointed. Henry has four-straight weeks of top-four finishes with 631 total yards and seven touchdowns over that span. He became just the fifth running back in NFL history to rush for at least 145 yards and a touchdown in three consecutive games. He will look to become the first to do it in four straight.

If there was any remaining doubt that DeVante Parker was a reliable fantasy play, it evaporated after his Week 13 performance. Parker beat up on the Eagles secondary, catching seven of his 10 targets for 159 yards and two touchdowns. He finished the week as the top scoring wide receiver. Parker has scored among the top-31 in nine straight games and in the top-10 in two of the last three.

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Cheap DFS Lineup Makers for Week 14

by Taylor Smith, December 6, 2019

Tyrell Williams has a great matchup with a Titans secondary sans Malcolm Butler. Former fifth-round pick Tye Smith will be in his place on the outside. Smith has an 88.3 (31st-percentile among qualified cornerbacks) Speed Score, meaning “The Gazelle” will burn right by him with his 104.1 (81st-percentile) Speed Score. Take advantage of this speed mismatch.

If Dalvin Cook were to miss Sunday’s game with his shoulder issue, Alexander Mattison would receive the lock button. He has a 123.0 (75th-percentile) Burst Score and excellent size for breaking tackles. He also has sneaky pass-catching upside, posting a 7.8 percent (56th-percentile) College Target Share at Boise State.

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Leveraging the NFL’s most volatile players for GPP upside in Week 14

by Matthew M. Stevens, December 6, 2019

One intriguing play stands out among the volatile field-stretchers this week: John Ross ($4,400). He hasn’t played since suffering a Week 4 shoulder injury that landed him on injured reserve, but the Bengals activated him on Tuesday and coach Zac Taylor expects him to play against Cleveland. He’s priced for optimal roster construction and possesses lid-lifting, 100th-percentile speed.

Robby Anderson’s price ($5,100) doesn’t reflect his recent spike in production. Facing the weakest defense in the league, his price still ranks below his high point this year ($5,500). If, by the grace of the fantasy gods, his ownership stays low, he’s a dream play in a crushable matchup against the Dolphins. Miami ranks last in defensive efficiency.

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3 Scorching Hot DFS Takes: Week 14

by Kyle Dvorchak, December 5, 2019

Hunter Henry has been nothing short of unstoppable since returning in short order from his knee injury. From Week 6 onward, no tight end has more total target depth than Henry and only two players have more targets. His +10.0 Production Premium and +24.4-percent Target Premium are both well within the top-10 among tight ends. He’s in a great spot to kick the Jaguars defense while they’re down this week.

With Kenyan Drake holding a firm grip over the backfield, he’ll be in line for more touches than most expect against Pittsburgh this week. The Cardinals are underdogs at home by less than a field goal. Drake has averaged 13.5 carries and 4.6 targets per game in Arizona and now he gets to play with the closest thing to neutral game script that he’ll be afforded this year.

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Tyler Lockett and the Other Week 13 Fantasy Busts

by Granola Jeremy, December 5, 2019

Against Minnesota, Tyler Lockett put up a bagel. Even though he had an 86.5-percent Snap Share and ran 27 routes, he didn’t catch any of his three targets. After putting up 40.2 points in Week 9, Lockett has combined for nine targets, four catches, 64 receiving yards and 10.7 fantasy points in the three games since. Though he is in a slump, it’s difficult to bench a player that has games with 32.4 and 40.2 points this season.

Like a thorn in his side, Dallas Goedert continues to eat into Zach Ertz’ upside. Goedert out-targeted Ertz seven to six in Week 13, but totaled 42 more yards. Ertz still somehow managed to draw six targets. Even with Goedert’s precence, Ertz holds onto an 89.4-percent (No. 3 among qualified tight ends) Snap Share, a 24.2-percent (No. 2) Target Share and a 15.2-percent (No. 5) Hog Rate.

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