Now that the Big Game is in the books, there’s nothing better than getting into the 2026 Pre-Draft Bestball streets. Since many of these never-too-early contests opened two weeks ago, much of the market has stabilized from early news and overreactions. This article examines six players whose average draft position (ADP) has shifted since contests opened in late January. Whether you are in the FastDraft streets, pounding contests in the FFPC, or swiping on Underdog, reading the best ball market trends is a necessary edge for winning these early contests.
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Best Ball Risers & Fallers
Riser: KC Concepcion | Incoming Rookie WR, Texas A&M
(+110.9 ADP spots, 46.2% increase)
Concepcion has climbed from a final-round afterthought to an 11th-round ADP, correcting what was clearly an early mispricing. In pre-combine 2026 rookie mock drafts, he is routinely selected in the late first to mid-second round, signaling growing confidence in his profile. That rising valuation has already pushed him ahead of Kayshon Boutte and Romeo Doubs in ADP, while still trailing Jayden Higgins and Matthew Golden. This alignment suggests that the market is rapidly recalibrating but may not yet be fully adjusted.
Riser: Jahmyr Gibbs | RB, Detroit Lions
(+2.1 ADP spots, 42% increase)
Gibbs has moved from the 1.05 range into a near-consensus top-three selection. While the numerical jump appears modest, the context matters: he has overtaken elite wide receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the top of draft boards. That shift reflects both confidence in Gibbs’ weekly ceiling and growing uncertainty elsewhere. Detroit is rumored to be preparing for life without David Montgomery, whose role steadily diminished during the 2025 season. Gibbs capitalized, handling 320 total touches and reinforcing his workhorse profile. With lingering questions surrounding Jonathan Taylor and Christian McCaffrey, Gibbs and Bijan Robinson now stand alone in a clear top tier among fantasy assets.
Riser: Trey Benson | RB, Arizona Cardinals
(+96.6 ADP spots, 40.2% increase)
Benson’s surge reflects renewed optimism around his long-term outlook. The former third-round pick is still just 23 years old and flashed impact in limited action during the 2025 season. Despite appearing in only four games, he averaged four targets per contest and consistently delivered Top-36 weekly RB finishes, even with James Conner active. A knee injury ultimately ended his season, but the market is looking ahead. Conner will be 31 when the 2026 season begins and is coming off a severe ankle injury, with a potential release carrying only a $2.25 million cap hit for Arizona. That combination has fueled Benson’s ADP climb. Still, there is risk baked into the profile: the Cardinals have been mocked selecting Jeremiyah Love in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft. Such a move would likely reverse Benson’s current ADP momentum.
Faller: Kyle Pitts | Free Agent TE, Atlanta Falcons
(–49.2 ADP spots, –120% change)
Pitts opened draft season with an ADP around 41st overall, a price that likely overreacted to his late-2025 surge. Those spike weeks came largely in the context of Drake London‘s injuries, which funneled additional targets Pitts’ way and inflated his short-term outlook. Since then, Atlanta has entered a period of transition. They brought in Kevin Stefanski and Matt Ryan to reshape the organization from both a coaching and leadership standpoint.
Quarterback uncertainty only adds to the volatility: Michael Penix is working back from a torn ACL, and the Falcons are expected to move on from Kirk Cousins, raising questions about whether a veteran stopgap will be added. With so many moving pieces, Pitts’ ADP correction feels less like a collapse and more like a recalibration, and should find a more stable range as the offseason unfolds. Adding to the ADP speculation is whether Pitts will be re-signed by Atlanta or wind up in a different-colored jersey in 2026.
Faller: Alec Pierce | Free Agent WR, Indianapolis Colts
(–27.3 ADP spots, –50.56% change)
Pierce’s slide reflects uncertainty more than a decline in performance. A pending free agent, he is a priority for Indianapolis to retain after a true breakout in 2025. Pierce posted career highs across the board—47 receptions, 1,003 receiving yards, 1,593 air yards, and 84 targets—while finishing as the WR23 in fantasy points per game despite appearing in just 15 contests. His underlying metrics were elite: a league-leading 51.8% air yards share, second in both yards per target and yards per reception, and third in deep targets. Even so, Pierce profiles as a volatile, boom-bust option best suited for best ball formats regardless of where he lands in 2026. The context driving his ADP drop and concern is clear. If a struggling team overpays for his downfield skill set without the infrastructure to support it, Pierce’s fantasy efficiency could take a significant hit.
Faller: Jerry Jeudy | WR, Cleveland Browns
(–39.4 ADP spots, –32.83% change)
Jeudy’s ADP decline is driven less by his individual play and more by the environment around him. Coming off a career year in 2024, he spent the 2025 season catching passes from three quarterbacks who ranked among the bottom eight in EPA per play: Joe Flacco, Shedeur Sanders, and Dillon Gabriel. Despite that, Jeudy still commanded 106 targets, converting them into 50 receptions for 602 yards and just two touchdowns. The efficiency lagged, but the opportunity profile remained encouraging. He finished WR22 in air yards, WR23 in air yards share, and WR33 in first-read target share versus man coverage. Toss in a 29.6% first-read target share overall that ranked 24th among wide receivers.
Looking ahead, tight end David Njoku is expected to leave Cleveland in 2026, which could free up additional volume. The lingering concern is quarterback play, as the Browns reportedly plan to pit Deshaun Watson against Shedeur Sanders for QB1. Watson’s last extended sample was historically inefficient, keeping Jeudy’s outlook capped. Still, after a season that already represented a near worst-case scenario, this ADP dip is likely to stabilize.
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