Dario Offstein

In an earlier article, we set out to understand the structural differences between ADP in Underdog best ball drafts and FFWC high stakes drafts. Today, we take the next step and look at players whose ADPs differ from these trends and create opportunities for arbitrage between the two sites.

When it comes to drafting on sites with differing settings, the ADPs on each site reflect the strategy differences needed to succeed. Additionally, these ADP variations affect values of individual players. In this article, we’ll examine how these differences can be leveraged in order to draft structurally strong teams in high-stakes leagues on FFWC and in best ball leagues on Underdog.

The best part about playing Fantasy Football is drafting your Fantasy Football team in the fall with all of your friends. But after that, a lot of leagues tend to lose their juice because some owners draft bad players. The goal with this must-draft list series is to assure you do NOT draft "Bad Players" or values, but instead draft the "Best Players" or the best values.

Consistency is highly sought after by many in the fantasy football community. Since it’s human nature to avoid risk, we feel more comfortable putting a player in our lineup if we know he’ll reliably score 12-15 points compared to a player ranging from 5-25 points. But is consistency a trait we can predict from year to year? Follow along as I use the power of statistics to better analyze the relationship between fantasy points and the consistency with which they’re scored.  Mike Williams in 2021 finished as the WR14 in PPG by averaging 15.4 PPR points per game, but conversations about his outlook in 2022 are centered on his inconsistent production. His six games with more than 20 PPR points and seven games with fewer than 10 PPR points are worrying many drafters, yet his CV only checked in at 0.687, on the slightly inconsistent end of our “average” bucket. History would suggest that Williams' CV will improve and he is likely to stay productive in fantasy.