Justin Herbert - Week 17 Outlook for Fantasy Football
After a rough Week 16 performance, Los Angeles Chargers ...
Justin Herbert
Overall rank
QB2
2021
- Height
- 6' 6"
- Weight
- 236
- Hand Size
- 10" (79th)
- Draft Pick
- 1.06 2020
- College
- Oregon
- Age
- 24.2
Workout Metrics
4.68
82nd
123.6
91st
11.52
47th
55 mph
50th
25
27th
40-Yard Dash
Burst Score
Agility Score
Throw Velocity
Wonderlic Score
High School Workouts
78
13th
40-Time
Speed Score
Vertical Jump
20 Yard Shuttle
Scouting Grade
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Justin Herbert Bio & Season Stats
| Year Year | Games Played Games | Pass Attempts Atts | Passing Yards Pass Yds | Completion Percentage Comp % | Yards Per Attempt YPA | Rushing Yards Rush Yds | Passing Touchdowns Pass TD | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | 672 | 5014 | 65.9% | 7.5 | 302 | 38 | 23.3 (#2) |
| 2020 | 15 | 595 | 4336 | 66.6% | 7.3 | 234 | 31 | 22.9 (#7) |
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College QBR77.4 (59th)
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College YPA8.9 (74th)
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Breakout Age18.5 (97th)
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SPARQ-x99.5 (79th)
Justin Herbert Advanced Stats & Metrics
Passing Opportunity
| Pass Attempts Pass Atts | Deep Ball Attempts Deep Ball Atts | Red Zone Attempts Red Zone Atts | Team Pass Plays Per Game Team Pass Plays P/G | Pace of Play | Game Script | Protection Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 672 (39.5 p/g) | 71 (4.2 p/g) | 112 (6.6 p/g) | 35.9 | 2.19 | +0.13 | 88.6% |
| #2 | #9 | #5 | #6 | #3 | #16 | #4 |
Passing Productivity
| Passing Yards | Air Yards | Money Throws | Pressured Throws | Danger Plays | Interceptable Passes | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5014 (294.9 p/g) | 5275 (310.3 p/g) | 30 | 104 | 33 | 29 | 38 (5.7% rate) |
| #2 | #3 | #13 | #12 | #12 | #9 | #3 |
Efficiency
| Yards Per Attempt YPA | Adjusted Yards Per Attempt (AY/A) AY/A | Air Yards Per Attempt | Best Ball Points Added Best Ball Pts Added | Fantasy Points Per Dropback Fantasy Points Per Dropback | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Points P/G | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Points P/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 101.5 (6.0 p/g) | 0.56 | 23.3 | 20.71 (+2.57 diff) |
| #11 | #11 | #16 | #3 | #8 | #2 | #8 |
Efficiency
| Accuracy Rating | True Completion Percentage True Comp % | Deep Ball Completion Percentage Deep Ball Comp % | Pressured Completion Percentage Pressure Comp % | Play-action Completion Percentage Play-action Comp % | Red Zone Completion Percentage Red Zone Comp % | Clean Pocket Completion Percentage Clean Pocket Comp % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.8 | 71.5% | 43.7% | 41.3% | 68.2% | 57.1% | 70.4% |
| #9 | #16 | #5 | #22 | #7 | #16 | #14 |
Efficiency
| True Passer Rating | QBR | Expected Points Added (EPA) EPA | Production Premium | Receiver Target Separation | Receiver Yards After Catch Per Target Receiver YAC Per Target | Dropped Passes Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.3 | 66.1 | +174.6 | +1.0 | 1.70 | 3.43 | 40 (2.35 p/g) |
| #10 | #3 | #4 | #18 | #43 | #37 | #4 |
Advanced Accuracy
| Red Zone Accuracy Rating Red Zone Accuracy Rating | Deep Ball Accuracy Rating Deep Ball Accuracy Rating | Under Pressure Accuracy Rating Pressured Accuracy Rating | Clean Pocket Accuracy Rating Clean Pocket Accuracy Rating | Deep Ball Catchable Pass Rate Deep Ball Catchable Pass Rate | Pressured Catchable Pass Rate Pressured Catchable Pass Rate | Catchable Pass Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | 6.1 | 5.5 | 8.0 | 64.8% | 56.6% | 80.2% |
| #15 | #15 | #28 | #7 | #8 | #25 | #8 |
Man vs Zone Coverage
| Man Coverage Throw Rate | Completion Percentage vs Man Comp % vs Man | Completion Percentage vs Zone Comp % vs Zone | Passer Rating vs Man | Passer Rating vs Zone | Accuracy Rating vs Man | Accuracy Rating vs Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.4% (40.6% vs zone) | 59.1% | 70.6% | 92.2 | 118.0 | 7.6 | 8.4 |
| #7 | #22 | #18 | #25 | #7 | #10 | #5 |
Advanced Rushing
| Carries | Carries Per Game | Red Zone Carries | RZ Carries Per Game RZ Carries P/G | Rushing Yards | Rush Yards Per Game Rush Yards P/G | Rush TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 3.7 | 23 | 1.4 | 302 | 17.8 | 3 |
| #9 | #17 | #3 | #5 | #10 | #19 | #9 |
Passing Opportunity
| Pass Attempts Pass Atts | Deep Ball Attempts Deep Ball Atts | Red Zone Attempts Red Zone Atts | Team Pass Plays Per Game Team Pass Plays P/G | Pace of Play | Game Script | Protection Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 595 | 65 (4.3 p/g) | 79 (5.3 p/g) | - | 2.15 | -0.96 | 77.2% |
| #4 | #8 | #10 | - | #8 | #38 | #33 |
Passing Productivity
| Passing Yards | Air Yards | Money Throws | Pressured Throws | Danger Plays | Interceptable Passes | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4336 (289.1 p/g) | 4368 (291.2 p/g) | 31 | - | 33 | 18 | 31 (5.2% rate) |
| #6 | #8 | #6 | - | #10 | #26 | #10 |
Efficiency
| Yards Per Attempt YPA | Adjusted Yards Per Attempt (AY/A) AY/A | Air Yards Per Attempt | Best Ball Points Added Best Ball Pts Added | Fantasy Points Per Dropback Fantasy Points Per Dropback | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Points P/G | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Points P/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.3 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 61.7 (4.1 p/g) | 0.55 | 22.9 | - |
| #20 | #15 | #26 | #8 | #14 | #7 | - |
Efficiency
| Accuracy Rating | True Completion Percentage True Comp % | Deep Ball Completion Percentage Deep Ball Comp % | Pressured Completion Percentage Pressure Comp % | Play-action Completion Percentage Play-action Comp % | Red Zone Completion Percentage Red Zone Comp % | Clean Pocket Completion Percentage Clean Pocket Comp % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2 | 71.9% | 38.5% | 46.8% | 72.5% | 55.7% | 74.5% |
| #24 | #18 | #21 | #-29 | #3 | #20 | #18 |
Efficiency
| True Passer Rating | QBR | Expected Points Added (EPA) EPA | Production Premium | Receiver Target Separation | Receiver Yards After Catch Per Target Receiver YAC Per Target | Dropped Passes Drops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99.9 | 74.4 | +184.1 | +6.7 | 1.36 | - | 28 (1.87 p/g) |
| #12 | #12 | #4 | #15 | #71 | - | #9 |
Advanced Accuracy
| Red Zone Accuracy Rating Red Zone Accuracy Rating | Deep Ball Accuracy Rating Deep Ball Accuracy Rating | Under Pressure Accuracy Rating Pressured Accuracy Rating | Clean Pocket Accuracy Rating Clean Pocket Accuracy Rating | Deep Ball Catchable Pass Rate Deep Ball Catchable Pass Rate | Pressured Catchable Pass Rate Pressured Catchable Pass Rate | Catchable Pass Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - | - | - | 73.9% |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | #36 |
Man vs Zone Coverage
| Man Coverage Throw Rate | Completion Percentage vs Man Comp % vs Man | Completion Percentage vs Zone Comp % vs Zone | Passer Rating vs Man | Passer Rating vs Zone | Accuracy Rating vs Man | Accuracy Rating vs Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Advanced Rushing
| Carries | Carries Per Game | Red Zone Carries | RZ Carries Per Game RZ Carries P/G | Rushing Yards | Rush Yards Per Game Rush Yards P/G | Rush TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 3.7 | 19 | 1.3 | 234 | - | 5 |
| #11 | #16 | #6 | #7 | #14 | #13 | #7 |
| Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Attempts Attempts | Completion Percentage Completion Percentage | Passing Yards Passing Yards | Yards Per Attempt Yards Per Attempt | Passing Touchdowns Passing Touchdowns | Rushing Yards Rushing Yards | Rushing Touchdowns Rushing Touchdowns | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | 47 | 66.0% | 337 (379 air) | 7.2 | 1 (1 int) | -1 | 0 | 14.4 (#26) |
| 2 | DAL | 41 | 75.6% | 338 (263 air) | 8.2 | 1 (2 int) | 12 | 0 | 16.7 (#21) |
| 3 | KC | 38 | 68.4% | 281 (246 air) | 7.4 | 4 (0 int) | 16 | 0 | 30.8 (#2) |
| 4 | LV | 38 | 65.8% | 222 (304 air) | 5.8 | 3 (0 int) | 4 | 0 | 21.3 (#12) |
| 5 | CLE | 43 | 60.5% | 398 (423 air) | 9.3 | 4 (0 int) | 29 | 1 | 42.8 (#1) |
| 6 | BAL | 39 | 56.4% | 195 (221 air) | 5.0 | 1 (1 int) | 12 | 0 | 12.0 (#22) |
| 8 | NE | 35 | 51.4% | 223 (325 air) | 6.4 | 2 (2 int) | 9 | 0 | 15.8 (#15) |
| 9 | PHI | 38 | 84.2% | 356 (215 air) | 9.4 | 2 (0 int) | 14 | 1 | 31.6 (#2) |
| 10 | MIN | 34 | 58.8% | 195 (192 air) | 5.7 | 1 (1 int) | 22 | 0 | 13.0 (#15) |
| 11 | PIT | 41 | 73.2% | 382 (315 air) | 9.3 | 3 (1 int) | 90 | 0 | 35.3 (#1) |
| 12 | DEN | 44 | 63.6% | 303 (304 air) | 6.9 | 2 (2 int) | 36 | 0 | 21.7 (#6) |
| 13 | CIN | 35 | 74.3% | 317 (376 air) | 9.1 | 3 (1 int) | 6 | 0 | 26.3 (#3) |
| 14 | NYG | 31 | 74.2% | 275 (288 air) | 8.9 | 3 (0 int) | 19 | 0 | 24.9 (#6) |
| 15 | KC | 38 | 57.9% | 236 (341 air) | 6.2 | 2 (1 int) | 16 | 1 | 24.0 (#5) |
| 16 | HOU | 35 | 77.1% | 336 (251 air) | 9.6 | 1 (2 int) | 15 | 0 | 18.9 (#9) |
| 17 | DEN | 31 | 71.0% | 237 (202 air) | 7.6 | 2 (0 int) | 2 | 0 | 17.7 (#12) |
| 18 | LV | 64 | 53.1% | 383 (630 air) | 6.0 | 3 (1 int) | 1 | 0 | 28.4 (#2) |
| Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Attempts Attempts | Completion Percentage Completion Percentage | Passing Yards Passing Yards | Yards Per Attempt Yards Per Attempt | Passing Touchdowns Passing Touchdowns | Rushing Yards Rushing Yards | Rushing Touchdowns Rushing Touchdowns | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | KC | 33 | 66.7% | 311 (294 air) | 9.4 | 1 (1 int) | 18 | 1 | 23.2 (#13) |
| 3 | CAR | 49 | 71.4% | 330 (301 air) | 6.7 | 1 (1 int) | 15 | 0 | 15.7 (#19) |
| 4 | TB | 25 | 80.0% | 290 (192 air) | 11.6 | 3 (1 int) | 14 | 0 | 24.0 (#7) |
| 5 | NO | 34 | 58.8% | 264 (379 air) | 7.8 | 4 (0 int) | 8 | 0 | 27.4 (#4) |
| 7 | JAX | 43 | 62.8% | 347 (348 air) | 8.1 | 3 (0 int) | 66 | 1 | 38.5 (#1) |
| 8 | DEN | 43 | 67.4% | 278 (309 air) | 6.5 | 3 (2 int) | 21 | 0 | 23.2 (#4) |
| 9 | LV | 42 | 66.7% | 326 (335 air) | 7.8 | 2 (0 int) | 24 | 0 | 23.4 (#11) |
| 10 | MIA | 32 | 62.5% | 187 (235 air) | 5.8 | 2 (1 int) | 10 | 1 | 21.5 (#9) |
| 11 | NYJ | 49 | 75.5% | 366 (311 air) | 7.5 | 3 (0 int) | 11 | 0 | 27.7 (#2) |
| 12 | BUF | 52 | 59.6% | 316 (316 air) | 6.1 | 1 (1 int) | -2 | 0 | 17.4 (#14) |
| 13 | NE | 53 | 49.1% | 209 (347 air) | 3.9 | 0 (2 int) | 0 | 0 | 6.4 (#30) |
| 14 | ATL | 44 | 81.8% | 243 (183 air) | 5.5 | 2 (1 int) | 0 | 0 | 16.7 (#17) |
| 15 | LV | 32 | 68.8% | 314 (359 air) | 9.8 | 2 (0 int) | 14 | 1 | 28.0 (#6) |
| 16 | DEN | 33 | 63.6% | 253 (208 air) | 7.7 | 1 (0 int) | 26 | 0 | 16.7 (#19) |
| 17 | KC | 31 | 71.0% | 302 (251 air) | 9.7 | 3 (0 int) | 9 | 1 | 33.0 (#3) |
2021
Passing Attempts
2021
Completion Percentage
2021
Fantasy Points
2021
Passing Attempts
2021
Completion Percentage
2021
Fantasy Points
Justin Herbert ADP
47.30
47.30
Average Draft Position (2022)
(-2.37)
Powered By
4.11
Pick
QB4
Rank
Value Over Stream
(VOS)+6.2
(#14)
Value Over Stream: Valuation scheme calculates a player’s fantasy pts/game over the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current season (or previous year during the offseason) and adjusts for positional bust rates. VOS rank in parenthesis spans all positions, enabling player comparisons across QB's, RB's, WR's, and TE's.
Justin Herbert Media
Justin Herbert News & Analysis
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Justin Herbert Injury History
No reported injuries
Justin Herbert College Stats
| Year Year | Games Games | Pass Attempts Pass Atts | Passing Yards Pass Yds | Yards Per Attempt YPA | Completion Percentage Comp % | Passing Touchdowns Pass TDs | Rushing Yards Rush Yds | Age Age | School School |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 8 (QB) | 255 | 1,936 | 7.6 | 63.5% | 19 (4 ints) | 161 | 19 | Oregon |
| 2017 | 8 (QB) | 206 | 1,983 | 9.6 | 67.50% | 15 (5 ints) | 183 | 20 | Oregon |
| 2018 | 13 (QB) | 404 | 3,151 | 7.8 | 59.40% | 29 (8 ints) | 166 | 21 | Oregon |
| 2019 | 14 (QB) | 428 | 3,471 | 8.1 | 66.80% | 32 (6 ints) | 50 | 22 | Oregon |
Who is Justin Herbert
With a solid 4.68 40 time, and a height of 6-foot-6, Justin Herbert surprised as a rookie with his strong arm and elite athleticism, on his way to winning 2020 Offensive Rookie of the Year. Heading into the 2021 season, there were some who thought that Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert was ready to lead the Bolts to an AFC West division title, and perhaps even the Super Bowl. At the very least, Herbert was going to get the Chargers into the playoffs. While the Chargers would miss the playoffs, Herbert had a statistically great season in year two, throwing for 5,014 yards, 38 touchdowns and 15 interceptions with a QBR of 66.1. He ranked third in the league in total air yards (5,275) and had a fantasy ranking of QB2 in points per game (23.3). Per the next gen stats, Herbert’s pass-catchers had the fourth most drops (40), but he still finished 16th in true completion percentage (71.5%).
Herbert was second amongst quarterbacks in both passing yards and pass attempts (672), which was likely aided by the fact that the Chargers were second in pace of play at 2.19 plays per minute. Herbert was one of the most impressive quarterbacks in several advanced metrics over on Player Profiler, ranking inside the top-10 in his completion of deep balls, play-action completion percentage, true passer rating, expected points added and catchable pass rate. He also brought some sneaky rushing upside to the quarterback position, ranking 10th amongst quarterbacks in rushing yards (302) and third in red zone carries with 23.
The Chargers have the offensive talent to put together one of the most lethal offenses in the league, which is a necessity when playing in the AFC West with Patrick Mahomes for at least the next 10 seasons. They scored 474 points in 2021 which was just six points behind the Chargers, but their defense surrendered 459 points on the season, which was the most allowed by any team in the AFC West and the fourth most allowed in the league overall.
Herbert should be in line for another elite season heading into his third year with the Chargers. Viewed by some as a player the Chargers reached on in the 2020 draft, there is a very strong argument for Herbert being the best quarterback of his draft class through their first two seasons. He has all of the tools to be an MVP in the league, and should provide fantasy managers many years of high-upside seasons. He will carry a top quarterback ADP in fantasy drafts next season.
