Nico Collins Scores A Touchdown In Week 16
Houston Texans rookie wide receiver Nico Collins was ...
Nico Collins
Overall rank
WR87
2021
- Height
- 6' 4"
- Weight
- 215 lbs
- Arm Length
- 34 1/8" (97th)
- Draft Pick
- 3.25 2021
- College
- Michigan
- Age
- 23.1
Workout Metrics
4.50
67th
Pro Day 4.45
109.2
90th
126.3
77th
11.11
65th
10.32
95th
40-Yard Dash
Speed Score
Burst Score
Agility Score
Catch Radius
High School Workouts
4.50
72nd
101.2
88th
82.0
61st
40-Time
Speed Score
Vertical Jump
20 Yard Shuttle
Scouting Grade
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Nico Collins Bio & Season Stats
| Year Year | Games Played Games | Targets Tgts | Receptions Rec | Receiving Yards Rec Yds | Yards Per Reception YPR | Air Yards Air Yds | Receiving TDs Rec TD | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 14 | 61 | 33 | 446 | 13.5 | 653 | 1 | 6.0 (#76) |
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College Dominator27.3% (44th)
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College YPR19.7 (93rd)
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College Target Share15.6% (30th)
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Breakout Age19.5 (78th)
Nico Collins Advanced Stats & Metrics
Opportunity
| Targets | Target Share | Target Rate | Snap Share | Slot Snaps | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 (4.4 p/g) | 13.6% (14.3% rz) | 17.8% | 61.9% | 62 (11.6% rate) | 342 (24.4 p/g) | 73.1% |
| #71 | #73 | #79 | #78 | #121 | #65 | #67 |
Opportunity
| Air Yards | Air Yards Share | Average Target Distance (ADOT) Target Depth (ADOT) | Deep Targets | Red Zone Targets Red Zone Tgts | Target Quality Rating | Hog Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 653 (46.6 p/g) | 19.9% | 10.7 | 7 (0.5 p/g) | 6 (1 rec) | 3.76 | 11.4% |
| #64 | #62 | #45 | #76 | #82 | #91 | #68 |
Productivity
| Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yards | Yards After Catch YAC | Unrealized Air Yards | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 (2.4 p/g) | 446 (31.9 p/g) | 130 (2.1 p/tgt) | 337 (5.5 p/tgt) | 1 (3.0% rate) | 6.0 | 7.5 (-1.53 diff) |
| #83 | #77 | #80 | #61 | #108 | #76 | #76 |
Efficiency
| Target Accuracy | Yards Per Route Run | Yards Per Target YPT | Yards Per Reception YPR | Catchable Target Rate | Catch Rate | True Catch Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.6 | 1.30 | 7.3 | 13.5 | 60.7% (37 tgts) | 54.1% | 89.2% |
| #87 | #84 | #67 | #35 | #94 | #92 | #31 |
Efficiency
| Target Separation | Average Cushion | Target Premium | Dominator Rating | Juke Rate | Drops | Contested Catch Rate Contested Catch % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | 4.65 | -19.7% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 2 (3.3%) | 36.8% (19 tgts) |
| #81 | #42 | #88 | #81 | #25 | #82 | #47 |
Efficiency
| Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) EPA | QB Rating Per Target QB Rating Per Target | Best Ball Points Added Best Ball Pts Added | Fantasy Points Per Route Run Fantasy Points Per Route | Fantasy Points Per Target Fantasy Points Per Target | Total Fantasy Points Total Fantasy Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -11.4 | +10.9 | 83.1 | 7.0 (0.5 p/g) | 0.24 | 1.37 | 83.60 |
| #86 | #100 | #90 | #123 | #88 | #86 | #87 |
Zone vs Man
| Total Route Wins | Route Win Rate | Routes vs Man | Win Rate vs Man | Target Rate vs Man | Target Separation vs Man Tgt Separation vs Man | Fantasy Points Per Target vs Man Fantasy Pts/Tgt vs Man |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 | 35.7% | 206 (128 zone) | 31.4% (40.2% zone) | 20.4% (14.1% zone) | 1.13 (2.33 zone) | 1.01 (2.29 zone) |
| #69 | #72 | #46 | #64 | #63 | #88 | #95 |
| Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Primary Corner Primary Corner | Snap Share Snap Share | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Receiving Yards Receiving Yards | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | C.J. Henderson | 54.7% | 25 | 3 (1 rz) | 1 | 7 (19 air) | 1.7 (#110) |
| 2 | CLE | Denzel Ward | 3.4% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 32 (11 air) | 4.2 (#79) |
| 6 | IND | Xavier Rhodes | 60.8% | 31 | 6 | 4 | 44 (41 air) | 8.4 (#54) |
| 7 | ARI | Robert Alford | 65.3% | 24 | 5 | 2 | 28 (64 air) | 4.8 (#55) |
| 8 | LAR | David Long | 66.1% | 31 | 4 | 4 | 55 (41 air) | 9.5 (#44) |
| 9 | MIA | Byron Jones | 68.7% | 36 | 3 | 3 | 25 (15 air) | 5.5 (#61) |
| 11 | TEN | Kristian Fulton | 58.7% | 15 | 2 (1 rz) | 1 | 9 (24 air) | 1.9 (#95) |
| 12 | NYJ | Bryce Hall | 67.3% | 22 | 5 | 2 | 28 (79 air) | 4.8 (#64) |
| 13 | IND | Xavier Rhodes | 62.0% | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 (8 air) | 0.0 (#106) |
| 14 | SEA | D.J. Reed | 75.0% | 40 | 10 (2 rz) | 5 | 69 (98 air) | 11.9 (#41) |
| 15 | JAX | Shaquill Griffin | 66.7% | 22 | 4 (1 rz) | 2 | 14 (42 air) | 3.4 (#80) |
| 16 | LAC | Davontae Harris | 81.0% | 20 | 4 (1 rz) | 3 (1 tds) | 33 (13 air) | 12.3 (#34) |
| 17 | SF | Ambry Thomas | 59.7% | 24 | 5 | 2 | 35 (49 air) | 5.5 (#68) |
| 18 | TEN | Kristian Fulton | 75.0% | 28 | 8 | 3 | 67 (149 air) | 9.7 (#50) |
2021
Snap Share
2021
Target Share
2021
Fantasy Points
2021
Snap Share
2021
Target Share
2021
Fantasy Points
Nico Collins ADP
200.40
200.40
Average Draft Position (2022)
(-26.32)
Powered By
17.08
Pick
WR89
Rank
Value Over Stream
(VOS)-2.0
(#260)
Value Over Stream: Valuation scheme calculates a player’s fantasy pts/game over the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current season (or previous year during the offseason) and adjusts for positional bust rates. VOS rank in parenthesis spans all positions, enabling player comparisons across QB's, RB's, WR's, and TE's.
Nico Collins Media
Nico Collins News & Analysis
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Nico Collins Injury History
Severity:
Low
Medium
High
Games Missed
Injury Reports
Hip strain
Week 11 (2021)
1
Nico Collins College Stats
| Year Year | Games Games | Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yds | Target Share Tgt Share | Catch Rate Catch Rate | Special Teams Yards Special Teams | Age Age | School School |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2 (WR) | 3 (7 tgts) | 27 (9.0 ypr) | 2.0% | 42.9% | 0 | 19 | Michigan |
| 2018 | 13 (WR) | 38 (48 tgts) | 632 (16.6 ypr) | 13.8% | 79.2% | 0 | 20 | Michigan |
| 2019 | 12 (WR) | 37 (59 tgts) | 729 (19.7 ypr) | 14.4% | 62.7% | 0 | 21 | Michigan |
| 2020 | 0 (WR) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0 | 22 | Michigan |
Who is Nico Collins
Nico Collins chose Michigan over Alabama and Georgia to get playing time earlier in his collegiate career. Doing so, he was able to break out at age 19.5, earning 48 targets and corralling 38 for 632 yards and six touchdowns in his sophomore season. Collins hauled in 37 receptions for 729 yards and seven touchdowns the following year before opting out of the 2020 season due to covid. He was set up to see a significant increase in his college stats if he played.
At 6’4, 215, Collins was able to run a 4.5 40—earning him a 109.2 Speed Score. His 126.3 Burst Score and 11.11 Agility Score raised Collin’s profile enough for the Texans to trade up and selected him 25th in the third round. Due to the Texans barren depth chart, he earned snaps early.
While Collins was healthy, he never saw less than a 50-percent snap share. However, the routes run rarely translated to production. A 3.74 target quality rating deeply hindered his 54.1-percent catch rate, but Collins also struggled to catch contested targets and come down with balls in the red zone. His best finish on the season was WR34.
Collins is a player who doesn’t create a lot of separation and struggles running precise routes. Similar to Gabriel Davis as a rookie, he failed to capitalize when given opportunities. However, improving the offensive play calling could lead to a similar jump in fantasy value for the third-round receiver in his second season. If the Texans decide to move on from Brandin Cooks and his contract, look for Nico Collins ADP to skyrocket.
