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3 Scorching Hot DFS Takes: Week 9

by Kyle Dvorchak, October 31, 2019

This week, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and the Bucs travel to Seattle to play in a game with the highest total of the slate at 51.5. The more pass iterations this team runs, the more chances Godwin has to capitalize on his efficiency advantage over Evans. Let other people chase Evans’ terrific performance from last week and roster the better player in Godwin.

The takeaway from Denver’s quarterback change should be to buy Brandon Allen at $4,100 on DraftKings, as well as his receiving options. Noah Fant, who led the team last week with eight targets, is only $3,000. The duo is a great cheap stack on a slate with little value elsewhere.

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Stay or Go: Who to hold and who to drop for Week 9

by Daniel Turner, October 31, 2019

Mark Walton has seen his carries increase for several weeks now, and the trade deadline was kind to him. The Dolphins shipped off Kenyan Drake to Arizona, making Walton the starter in Miami. He was able to consume a Snap Share above 90.0-percent in Week 8, putting him in feature back territory going forward. 

The prevailing theory was that Marquez Valdes-Scantling was expected to take over top receiving duties while Davante Adams has been hurt, but that has not come to pass. His 15.0-percent (No. 69 among qualified wide receivers) Target Share and 55.0-percent (No. 77) Catch Rate are abysmal.

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Fantasy Football Trends to Watch – Week 9 Edition

by Matthew Gajewski, October 30, 2019

While scoring opportunities remain limited, Mark Walton has room to grow within Miami’s offense. Kenyan Drake leaves behind a 51.3-percent (No. 28 among qualified running backs) Opportunity Share and 33 (No. 13) targets. Walton entered the NFL with an 8.9-percent (66th-percentile) College Target Share. He’s seen six targets in two of his last three games, elevating his floor for fantasy purposes.

Looking at efficiency metrics, Tyler Eifert clearly deserves an uptick in playing time. His 14.9-percent Hog Rate ranks ninth among tight ends, and his 50-percent Contested Catch Rate ranks number one. Despite the limited snap rate, he holds a 16.3-percent red zone target share. Once dominant in this area of the field, the Bengals appear willing to turn back the clock and dial up his opportunities.

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Zach Ertz and the Biggest Week 8 Fantasy Busts

by Granola Jeremy, October 30, 2019

After passing for 10 touchdowns in three weeks, Kirk Cousins threw for 285 scoreless yards against Washington. Not all hope is lost for him though, because the Vikings play the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 9. This season, Cousins ranks first in Supporting Cast Efficiency (+30.39), True Passer Rating (123.3) and Accuracy Rating (8.1). Look for him to torch Kansas City.

Against all predictions, Dallas Goedert has outscored Zach Ertz in three straight weeks. Goedert is better than Ertz in Production Premium, Target Premium, Dominator Rating, Quarterback Rating when Targeted, Target Accuracy, Fantasy Points Per Route Run and Fantasy Points Per Target.

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Jonnu Smith Justification and Other Week 8 Waiver Targets

by Josh Crocker, October 29, 2019

This was no three-target-and-a-touchdown, typical tight end streaming week. On seven targets, six of which he caught, Jonnu Smith led Tennessee in receiving yards in Week 8. Going forward, the Ryan Tannehill-led Titans will have a trio of three of the most exciting and productive wide receiver and tight end prospects to enter the league in recent history.

Chris Conley has operated in a medium depth role behind D.J. Chark, who is running routes and seeing targets closer to the line of scrimmage. Conley’s +5.3 (No. 31 among qualified wide receivers) Production Premium shows that he is returning value on his targets. If he continues to garner attention from Gardner Minshew, he will show us what an athletic Robert Woods would be able to do.  

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Week 8 Lessons Learned: Tevin Coleman in an RBBC We Love to See

by Tyler Strong, October 29, 2019

Fantasy players that waited out Tevin Coleman’s injury-addled first quarter of the season are being rewarded handsomely. He returned from injury to a monopoly on the valuable touches in this high-octane offense that leads the league with 39.0 run plays per game. Coleman, and Matt Breida if he is able to go, are smash plays against the Cardinals defense on a short week.

Kirk Cousins and his trio of studs have crushed since the public outcry about lack of passing volume, and that success has no sign of slowing down. The Vikings sport the No. 2 Protection Rate in the league per PlayerProfiler.com, and Cousins’ true passer rating through the midpoint of the season is 123.7, best in the league.

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RotoUnderworld Radio – Waiver Wired Podcast: Ronald Jones trust fall

by _tim______, October 29, 2019

Derrius Guice is the gem in the garbage water. Let someone else overpay for a small Dolphin named Mark Walton.

Brian Hill is a better all-around running back than Devonta Freeman. Jamison Crowder is a must-add as Sam Darnold is better than advertised, and the Jets schedule softens dramatically moving forward.

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Tomorrow’s Newspaper: DaeSean Hamilton and Waiver Wire Prescience for Week 8

by Ray Marzarella, October 27, 2019

The Broncos trading Emmanuel Sanders to San Francisco has opened the door for DaeSean Hamilton to become a fantasy football factor down the stretch. Despite being a low floor option, with one career game over 50 yards, he’s coming into a massive opportunity spike. Much like he did last year after Sanders went down with a torn Achilles.

With injuries mounting in the Philadelphia backfield, Boston Scott has seen his first work of the season over the last two games. One more injury would thrust him into a two-man committee with either Jordan Howard or Miles Sanders. He has the skill-set to be able to effectively replace either back.

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Wide Receiver vs. Cornerback Matchups to Target: Week 8

by Jesse Reeves, October 27, 2019

Corey Davis’ skillset was vastly hindered with Marcus Mariota under center. Last week’s fantasy outcome tells us that Davis is now being utilized to his potential, especially in the red-zone where he thrives. On an individual level, His matchup with Vernon Hargreaves bodes well for the breakout performance that gamers have waited for.

It’s incredibly easy to pin the upside of this matchup on Cooper Kupp’s massive opportunity share. However, B.W. Webb’s lack of cover skills from the slot drives this matchup to a top-five projected fantasy outcome. Webb is allowing opposing WRs 14.3 (No. 67) Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game on average, and has just one game where he’s held a WR to under 12 fantasy points.

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The Long Gain: Bargain Running Backs to Target in Week 8

by Zach Krueger, October 26, 2019

Marlon Mack has shown a propensity for big plays this season with five (No. 10 among qualified running backs) Breakaway Runs and a 4.2-percent (No. 22) Breakaway Run Rate. He draws a friendly home matchup against the 2-5 Denver Broncos and their 17th ranked defense against opposing running backs.

After Kerryon Johnson went down in Week 7 against the Vikings, it was rookie running back Ty Johnson who took over the workload. He failed to find the end zone but did manage to post 9.7 fantasy points, and is now being talked about as Detroit’s lead back heading into Week 8.

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