There’s a sale going on at THE FANTASY SUPERMARKET! Every week, there are players whose prices are either slashed due to recent performance or not yet as high as you should be willing to pay for them.
These players are all primed for value increases in the near future. Using advanced stats and metrics, I’ll be walking you through this week’s supermarket sales and highlighting players you should be looking to buy before the next slate of contests. Act now, because this sale isn’t going to last long.
I’ll start you off this week with a word of advice. We’re in the point of the season where bye-problems become more prevalent. During this time always remember, do not drop or trade someone solely because your team has bye issue. The point of transactions are to give your team its best possible chance of taking home a championship. In the end, one week won’t make much of a difference. Now, let’s get into the buys.
I know how it looks, but bear with me. We actually saw notable positive takeaways from Thursday’s performance for Miles Sanders. Teammate Kenny Gainwell received zero carries on a 25-percent Snap Share, while Sanders saw 9 carries and 4 targets on a 91.7-percent Snap Share. We witnessed Nick Sirianni finally attempt to establish a run game, and Sanders looked solid against the leagues toughest rush defense.
The big negatives are low-value touches and no touchdowns. He still commands a 63.5-percent (No. 17 among qualified running backs) Opportunity Share and an 11.4-percent (No. 14) Target Share. If this strategic change holds, we’re looking at Sanders seeing higher value touches against much softer rush defenses. This is an equation for success. Many managers may have already given up hope, so you can scoop him up at clearance prices.
Player’s who score touchdowns have value. Those who don’t, do not have value. If there’s anything we know about fantasy football, it’s that touchdowns are not a “sticky” (predictive/indicative) stat. They are random, for the most part. To paraphrase Jeff Goldblum in Jurassic Park: opportunity finds a way.
Jakobi Meyers is seeing a truck-load of opportunity. He’s earned 52 (No. 12) targets and a 16.3-percent (No. 23) Hog Rate on a 98.1-percent (No. 5) Route Participation. He’s had two touchdowns called back, and it feels like every week he gets closer and closer to finally finding pay-dirt for the first time. The connection between Mac Jones and Meyers is getting better and better. The breakout came is quickly approaching. Go get him now.
And now for this week’s certified, locked and loaded, Fantasy Supermarket BUY OF THE WEEK…
Rashod Bateman is here, people. We thought the Ravens would ease him in. We were wrong. Bateman, in his first game, tied Mark Andrews for the team target lead with 6 in a blowout win. He ran 19 routes in comparison to Marquise Brown‘s 26 routes, and saw a 63-percent Snap Share. He also earned a 31.6-percent Target Rate. Andrews, for comparison, is second on the team with a season-long 26.8-percent (No. 5) Target Rate. Yes, it’s one game. However, it’s clear that Bateman is going to be heavily involved in this offense. The Raven’s schedule is juicy from a pass defense perspective. You may think his value is too high for just one game, but I can assure it’s nowhere near what his value is going to be after he explodes. Get him on your roster quickly.
Did Marquise Brown do enough in Weeks 1-5 to hold off Rashod Bateman?
Week 6 was bad news for Brown
Marquise Brown: 80% snap share, 26 routes, 5 targets
Rashod Bateman: 63% snap share, 19 routes, 6 targets
Tiny sample size and a strange game environment, but still notable pic.twitter.com/a10EetBC8o
— Josh Larky ↗️ (@jlarkytweets) October 20, 2021
You don’t win fantasy leagues through the draft. You win by taking advantage of the waiver wire and trade market. This year’s early season shenanigans present ample opportunity to push your team to the next level. Start by targeting these players. If you can’t manage to strike a deal, then there’s always next week at the fantasy supermarket.