For the second consecutive season, RotoUnderworld is partnering up with Monkey Knife Fight to bring the best daily fantasy prop options to you on a weekly basis. MKF is unlike any other Daily Fantasy game in the industry. No million dollar tournaments with irrational odds, or outrageous bookie fees. Monkey Knife Fight offers NFL props anyone can wager on. From over/under fantasy points to creating a three-headed touchdown dance, MKF has it all. Follow along each week as we break down the Top-5 props in the NFL. Use PROMO CODE: UNDERWORLD when you deposit to receive a 100-percent Instant Match Bonus up to $50.
Throughout the 2020 NFL Season, I will dig through the five best props each week on MKF. I will preview the coming week, and review the results from the past. Starting Week 1 off with a $200 budget, and a $5-10 target per prop.
Week 1 Review
In Week 1, we experienced a mild win after Josh Jacobs, and Christian McCaffrey went over 4.5 touchdowns. When Jalen Reagor became healthy late in the week, confidence in DeSean Jackson having a boom week went out the window in the Go Long prop. The Podfather’s POTW missed narrowly after Green Bay jumped out early and Minnesota was unable to implement a run game with Dalvin Cook.
After missing on four of five props, we were able to net $45 on the week. Bringing the season budget to $245.
The first week of fantasy sports is always the most difficult. New coaches, rookie roles to be determined, and defensive upgrades. In Week 1, the process told us to chase the Over in most games. Sportsbooks assumed less efficient offenses with no preseason, making props favorable to the “Over” crowd. In the Week 2 main slate, three games are projected for a 49-plus point game total, up two from Week 1. This week, we head back to the well and chase two games that are destined to smash. Minnesota at Indianapolis, and Atlanta at Dallas. Both indoor games featuring four 0-1 teams reeling from big losses in Week 1.
No. 1) Atlanta @ Dallas: Reception Collection – Smash Prop of The Week
Prop: Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, and Amari Cooper OVER 25.5 Receptions.
The second-highest projected game total on Sunday features two underperforming, explosive offenses. In Week 1, Atlanta led the league in total yards with over 50. Both Calvin Ridley and Julio Jones amassed 12 targets. Look for Matt Ryan to target his guys often against a Cowboys defense that gave up 200 yards to Rams receivers in Week 1.
Starting the season hot, Amari Cooper totaled 10 receptions on 14 targets in Week 1 in LA against the Rams. In 2019, Cooper averaged six targets on the road and almost 13 in Dallas, a 116-percent increase. In Week 1, Atlanta finished No. 29 in the league against receivers, allowing 20 receptions for 222 yards. Not only do I think this prop wins this week, but it is also my “Smash” button pick of the week!
No. 2) Minnesota @ Indianapolis: Go Long
Prop: Adam Thielen, T.Y. Hilton, and Parris Campbell OVER 248.5 Receiving Yards.
In Week 1, Davante Adams smoked Minnesota’s young defensive backs for 156 yards on his own. The Packers receivers racked up 315 yards, second to only Atlanta’s 401 yards. Parris Campbell and T.Y. Hilton bring upper 90th-percentile 40-Yard-Dash scores into matchups with inexperienced slow corners. Minnesota’s lack of speed was evident on Sunday, giving up three receptions of over 38 yards.
The quiet Matchup of the Week. Adam Thielen draws Xavier Rhodes, who spent his first seven seasons with the Vikings before departing in March. Thielen practiced against Rhodes every day for six of those seven years in Minnesota, helping mold him into a top 10 Receiver. Now he will attempt to lock him down in Indianapolis. In Week 1, 78 of Thielen’s 110 yards came in the second half after a slow start on offense. He finished with 110 yards and two touchdowns after a late surge.
No. 3) Atlanta @ Dallas: Touchdown Dance
Prop: Ezekiel Elliott, Todd Gurley, and Michael Gallup OVER 3.5 Touchdowns.
In Week 1, Atlanta gave up three touchdowns to Seattle running backs, including two in the air to Chris Carson. Lucky for Dallas, that fits right into their system. Ezekiel Elliott turned three receptions into 31 yards and a touchdown in a loss to the Rams. While Dallas is great at using running backs, they are equally as bad at stopping them. The Cowboys gave up 124 rushing yards and two touchdowns to Los Angeles running backs.
If Elliott and Todd Gurley aren’t enough, we get to throw in Michael Gallup, who led the Cowboys with 16.8 (No. 10 among qualified wide receivers) Yards per Reception in 2019 and was second behind Amari Cooper with six (No. 22) touchdowns. We’re chasing running back usage with Elliott and Gurley, while running it back with Gallup who has been Dak Prescott‘s go-to deep threat in 2020.
No. 4) Minnesota @ Indianapolis: More or Less
Prop: Philip Rivers Over 266.5 Passing Yards, Kirk Cousins Over 252.5 Passing Yards
For the No. 4 Prop of the Week, we’re running it back with the No. 2 Prop. With Adam Thielen, T.Y. Hilton, and Parris Campbell eclipsing 248.5 yards, someone will have to throw the ball. Philip Rivers made a splash in his Colts debut, throwing for 363 yards in a Week 1 win over Jacksonville.
Kirk Cousins averaged 29 yards per game more on the road in 2019. Getting behind early Sunday can lead this game towards another shootout like Cousins experienced in Minnesota last week. With a young defensive backfield, Rivers looks to take advantage with speed threats Campbell and Hilton. This would force Cousins’ hand late to target wily veteran Thielen often as Minnesota struggles to climb back into the game.
The Podfathers Prop of The Week – Jacksonville @ Tennessee: Rush Hour
Prop: Derrick Henry and James Robinson Total Over 182.5 Rushing Yards
The Podfather’s Monkey Knife Fight Prop of The Week comes from Nashville, Tennessee. Derrick Henry has rushed for 100-plus yards in eight of Tennessee’s last 10 games, winning all eight. If that wasn’t enough, Henry has 397 yards on 36 carries in the last two home games against Jacksonville.
The Podfather sees Jacksonville leaning on James Robinson after he received all 16 running back carries for Jacksonville in Week 1. The only UDFA to ever start at RB in Week 1, Robinson averaged 3.9 yards per carry in his pro debut. Expect the Jags to continue their slow-paced offensive approach from Week 1, pounding the rock early to counter Henry.
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Follow along each week as I walk you through the top props of the week from Monkey Knife Fight. Use the Promo Code: UNDERWORLD when you join to receive a 100-percent Instant Match Bonus up to $50.