If you’re looking for an edge or some guidance on the best dynasty fantasy football trade to make before the majority of Week 16 kicks off, I’ve got you covered. I’ve highlighted some players I think you should buy, sell, or hold in Week 16, depending on your roster build. Check them out below — and go make some deals.
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Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Advice Week 16
Buy: QB Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
I hope people learned their lesson betting against Patrick Mahomes. Going into 2025, his value continuously went down, like a fighter against prime Mike Tyson. Managers remembered the QB11 finish in 2024 — easily the worst season of his illustrious career — plus the beatdown he took in the Super Bowl against Philadelphia, and they wanted nothing to do with him. He slipped to the late second round in several startups I was a part of (I started one with Josh Allen at the 1.01 and Mahomes at the 2.12) and was readily available in dynasty trades for the first time since his rookie season.
Mahomes proved the haters wrong and bounced back in a big way this season … then he shredded his knee last week. The fantasy gods giveth, and the fantasy gods taketh away.
Still, Mahomes finished the 2025 season as the QB2, averaging 21.1 fantasy points per game. He posted nine weekly QB1 finishes and returned to elite form, throwing for 3,587 yards and 22 touchdowns with 11 interceptions. He also raised his fantasy floor by using his legs more, rushing for 422 yards and five scores on the ground.
The two-time MVP wasted no time starting his recovery, already undergoing surgery Monday to repair both his LCL and ACL. Reports indicate he’s aiming to be ready for Week 1 of the 2026 season. That’s ambitious, but Mahomes is a competitive maniac, so it wouldn’t be surprising if he pushes to miss as little time as possible.
Now’s a great time to buy one of the best dynasty assets we’ve ever seen, and you should have a long window over the coming months to do so. Mahomes’ resurgence boosted his stock all the way back up to QB4 on KeepTradeCut in November. He’s already slipped to the QB6, and I wouldn’t be shocked if he settles somewhere in the QB9-10 range this offseason.
Patrick Mahomes‘ 2025 EPX Rating
Go get him. The efficiency wasn’t perfect this year, but Mahomes made up for it with volume and big plays. Going into Week 16, he ranked QB8 in PlayerProfiler’s Explosive Rating and was QB1 in both rushing and overall explosive plays. You’re also getting a stalwart signal caller who has never finished lower than QB11 in any season.
- 2018: QB1
- 2019: QB7
- 2020: QB4
- 2021: QB4
- 2022: QB1
- 2023: QB8
- 2024: QB11
- 2025: QB2 (at time of injury)
If you can snag him in a dynasty fantasy football trade for anything less than two first-round picks, it’s hard to argue that’s not a net positive. Or maybe you can flip a Jordan Love or Baker Mayfield to a contender who just lost Mahomes. You get the stud who’s still just 30 years old, and they get someone now who can help them push towards a title. Sounds like a win-win to me.
Sell: RB Tony Pollard, Tennessee Titans
All it takes is a couple of weeks to completely flip the narrative on a player. Over the past two games, Tony Pollard has looked like his 2022 self again. He’s been making defenders miss and busting long runs, something we really didn’t see from him earlier this season. The veteran back averaged 6.8 yards per carry over that span, while piling up 265 rushing yards and three scores. Notably, these were Pollard’s first two 100-yard games of the season.
Because of this sudden burst in production — and an apparent dip in the Fountain of Youth — some managers think Pollard could be a league-winner over the final two weeks of the fantasy season. I’m here to say we need to pump the brakes on that thought. Smart managers should use this opportunity to see if they can get out of the Tony Pollard business, whether they are chasing a championship or not.
Tony Pollard‘s Advanced Metrics
From Weeks 1-13, Pollard was an uninspiring fantasy asset. He looked washed and was even droppable in some redraft formats. Obviously, you’re not doing that in dynasty, but it just goes to show you rough things were. He had only 582 yards, two TDs, and averaged just 3.9 YPC. His 9.0 fantasy PPG average ranked RB32 — about as mediocre and replaceable as it gets.
As Loki once told Thor, “You must be truly desperate to come to me for help.” Same vibes if you’re considering Pollard for these final two weeks of the fantasy season.
In the fantasy semifinals, Pollard has a showdown against the Chiefs. Yes, Kansas City is eliminated and technically has nothing to play for. But they still have an elite run defense. The Chiefs are allowing just 16.7 fantasy PPG to ball carriers, the seventh-fewest in the league. Hard to trust him in your lineup with a trip to the fantasy finals on the line.
If you do advance, then Pollard plays the Saints in Week 17, which is a more palatable matchup. New Orleans is middle of the road in fantasy points allowed to RBs (14th), but they’ve tightened up against the run as of late. I just don’t see a world where you are excited to start Pollard with a title hanging in the balance, unless your RB room is being held together by duct tape and bubble gum.
Looking ahead, Pollard doesn’t exactly fit the youth movement the team is going through. The Titans will have a new coaching staff, and they may not want to be saddled with a 29-year-old RB next season. Pollard still has one more year left on his contract, but Tennessee can get out of it with just a $2 million dead cap hit. He’s likely gone and will be looking for a new job going into 2026.
All of that is to say: Get out now while you have this window open. I’d be happy taking any second-round pick or flipping Pollard for a younger skill position player like Tre Harris, Pat Bryant, or teammate Gunnar Helm. Better to reset than hold on for too long.
Hold: QB Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars
Fresh off a career-best outing with six total scores against the Jets, Lawrence is now up to the fantasy QB7. He is averaging 19.4 fantasy PPG for the season. He’s been even better since Jacksonville’s bye. From Week 9 on, Lawrence is the QB2 behind only Josh Allen, averaging a scorching 22.1 fantasy points per game.
He’s clearly enjoying the Liam Coen bump — the same one that helped Will Levis get drafted in Round 2 and powered Baker Mayfield to a top-five fantasy finish in 2024. The future is bright for the former No. 1 overall pick. And he’s finding this much success despite having the most dropped passes in the NFL with 33 and counting this season. Some more catches, and the stats would be even better for him.
So, what’s changed? For one, I think Sunshine just looks more comfortable in Coen’s offense. It takes some time to learn everything. Last year, Mayfield was awesome, but he really soared from Week 14 on, tossing 16 TDs and posting five QB1 finishes over the final five games. We’re seeing something similar play out with Lawrence right now:
Trevor Lawrence‘s Stats Weeks 9-15
Second, Jakobi Meyers has been an understated but massive addition. He’s not a sports car like Brian Thomas Jr. or Travis Hunter — he’s a technician. Meyers is an excellent route runner and is right where Lawrence needs him on every play. Since arriving in Jacksonville, Meyers is the WR13 overall, averaging 13.6 fantasy PPG. He’s been such a boon for Lawrence that the Jags gave him a contract extension, signing him to a three-year, $60-million deal this week.
After a few rocky seasons with coaching turnover, Lawrence is now set up for success going forward. He now has a playcaller with a proven track record, a trio of solid wideouts, and a contract that ties him to Jacksonville for several seasons to come.
At just 26 years old, Lawrence fits virtually every dynasty build. I’d be holding him unless someone blows me away with an offer. He’s young, trending up, and attached to an ascending offense. That’s about as good as it gets when constructing a long-term juggernaut.
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Wolf Trelles-Heard is a fantasy football contributor for PlayerProfiler. Find him on X at @DynastyFFWolf.
