July 4th has come and gone, and we are less than a month away from the Hall of Fame Game in Canton. Fantasy drafters are starting to pivot fully to redraft mode, and in high-stakes leagues, the money is already in action. New ADPs are starting to get established. Some players who were best ball values in May are settling into new summer prices.
In 2021, we saw promising quarterback play by some younger players. This offseason, we’ve seen some offenses add some talent that should help their quarterbacks. Without a doubt, there will be improvements in 2022 for some quarterbacks. Projecting quarterbacks to improve in 2022 by looking at the data will help fantasy gamers optimize their fantasy teams.
It’s time we voyage into the world of the NFL salary cap in order to make us better understand the business side of football. Why are we doing this? Well, we analyze college players in order to predict who will succeed and fail at the NFL level. We decipher advanced stats to determine which players are good and bad at our favorite pastime, fantasy football.
I do not think expensive ADPs should prohibit you from drafting profiles worth targeting. However, you should be limiting exposure to your preferred players to when they’re available at or near their ADP.
Last season, Ingram had double digit points in three out of four games with Kamara out last season, with a top-8 finish in week eight. He also had 19 targets in those four games without Kamara, almost taking on Kamara’s full role in his absence. Tony Jones and Abram Smith may pose a threat to Ingram’s workload, but Jones could not step forward last season and Smith is a UDFA rookie. Ingram is still the primary beneficiary of a Kamara suspension.
Fantasy analysis most often takes on a micro-perspective. We focus on which wide receiver or running back will finish number one overall at their position or which player will outdo another in a given positional tier. These ranking and tier discussions are helpful starting points, but to develop a robust draft plan we need to zoom out and take on a meta-perspective.
Not a lot needs to be said for Jalen Hurts in Fantasy Football. If you are a fan of the Eagles, the talent that Hurts possesses is apparent, but if you just listen to the Philadelphia media, you’d think otherwise. In 2021, Jalen Hurts finished Top 10 in Fantasy points in each of the first 7 weeks of the season, while racking up Twelve QB1 Weeks over the course of the season.
Has there been a player, heading into a fantasy football draft, where summoning the will to hit the draft button takes everything out of you? Any time he’s there for you to draft, you shrug and ignore him because you don’t really want him? I’ve felt that way about a myriad of players but especially so regarding Amari Cooper.
We like Jonathan Taylor because he is an outstanding player with previous success, runs behind one of the best offensive lines in football, and has an improved quarterback. He is a clear value in an extraordinary situation, and we also have previous success in a very similar situation. In this article, I examine what I call fantasy football arbitrage.
The best part about playing Fantasy Football is drafting your Fantasy Football team in the fall with all of your friends. But after that, a lot of leagues tend to lose their juice because a lot of owners draft bad players. The goal with this must-draft list series is to assure you do NOT draft “Bad Players” or values, but instead draft the “Best Players” or the best values. Reading an article about the best players to draft is only part of the job, you also have to draft the team, not show up drunk on draft night and let values fly by you, there is game theory to take into account. Don’t overlook draft night. The Podfather will not have all six players on every fantasy team nor should you but these will be his most rostered in 2022, and he believes you should jump on board. The following players are The Podfather’s Must-Draft targets for the 2022 Fantasy Football season.
