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DFS

Free Square DFS Running Backs for Week 6

by Taylor Smith, October 15, 2020

The Bears have a matchup with a Panthers defense that ranks No. 29 in Defensive Rushing DVOA through five weeks. Every RB not named Kenyan Drake has posted top-5 numbers against them. Even the dusty Todd Gurley managed 150 total yards and found the end zone on a long run last week against this unit. Given his usage and matchup, David Montgomery’s $5800-price tag is laughable. He projects as one of, if not the, best values this Sunday, making him the chalk in cash lineups.

Gaskin has been a high-floor asset all season thanks to his excellent receiving role. He ranks No. 6 or better in targets, Target Share, receptions, and receiving yards. He also ranks No. 3 among all RBs with 22 Red Zone Touches. That’s a massive number for someone that has only scored once. Howard was the only one stealing the coveted goal line carries, but those will belong to Gaskin now in the best spot of the season against the Jets.

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Upside Wide Receivers For Week 6 GPPs

by Alex Johnson, October 14, 2020

Justin Jefferson has been targeted down field and has been efficient with those targets. As is true with any rookie, he’ll be inconsistent and post some duds like we saw in Week 5, but he has shown us the ability to put up huge numbers in the right matchups. Week 6 has the makings of one of those weeks. The Falcons have allowed the seventh-most Fantasy Points per Game to opposing wide receivers and this game is expected to shoot out with a 54.5 projected point total.

A.J. Brown returned to Tennessee’s lineup with a strong performance in Tuesday night’s 42-16 win over the Bills. This week’s game against the Texans has a projected total of 54.5 points, among the highest of Week 6, so there should be plenty of opportunity for Brown to see targets and score again. It’s extremely rare to find a team’s alpha WR1 priced under $6,000 on Draftkings but that’s exactly what we have with Brown this week. Fire him up at a shockingly low $5,600.

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Three DFS Quarterback-Wide Receiver Stacks for Week 6

by Taylor Williams, October 14, 2020

In a game where they led by multiple scores almost wire-to-wire, Lamar Jackson saw a huge increase in pass attempts. They are trying to get him going through the air. Marquise Brown is set to be the main beneficiary of this passing uptick. Last week, his routes and targets jumped to season highs. He is consistently targeted deep down the field, creating a volatile, splash play machine waiting for that blowup 150-plus yard, two-score game. This is the week.

This week in particular sets up to encourage plenty of passing action from the Jaguars against the Lions in the week’s most likely shootout. For the stack with Gardner Minshew, we’re going with Laviska Shenault. Similar to Marquise Brown, with the opportunity combined with the dynamism, it’s only a matter of time until he has a monster, slate breaking week. If you want to go all in on this game shooting out, throw D.J. Chark into the lineup and run it back with Kenny Golladay or T.J. Hockenson.

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How We Almost Became Millionaires

by Jimmy Spark, October 11, 2020

Everyone wants to be better at daily fantasy, but most people do not have time to research every player in-depth, figure out which of the hundreds of DFS tools to utilize or iterate over the many Lineup Optimizers flooding the space. PlayerProfiler’s DFS Lineup Genius keeps it simple. In week 2, one of our featured […]

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Top DFS Flex Value Plays for Week 5

by Taylor Smith, October 10, 2020

While Darius Slayton’s 20.4-percent (No. 28 among qualified wide receivers) Target Share is modest, he ranks No. 4 with six Red Zone Targets and No. 11 with a 36.5-percent Air Yards Share. He is clearly their best player, and the Giants are trying to get the ball in his hands in high-leverage situations. This game against Dallas will be his best matchup of the season and he has the usage to post ridiculous numbers this week. He will be a popular cheap option for cash lineups.

Olamide Zaccheaus is also more than just a body running routes out there. While he stands 5-8, he has an above-average 40-yard dash, Burst Score, and Agility Score. He was also impressive in his college days at Virginia, posting a 36.5-percent (72nd-percentile) College Dominator Rating with a 34.1-percent (94th-percentile) College Target Share. After producing in a tough matchup with Kevin King last week, Zaccheaus is in a great spot against a Carolina secondary that ranks No. 26 in Defensive Passing DVOA.

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Air Yards DFS Value Index – Week 5

by Edward DeLauter, October 10, 2020

Calvin Ridley leads the entire league with 640 Air Yards, over 120 more than than the receiver who is second on the list. Additionally, Ridley is also near the top of the league with 362 (No. 2 among qualified wide receivers) Unrealized Air Yards, meaning that he should have even more production. Coming off a Week 4 goose egg, recency bias may contribute to fewer rostering him across the DraftKings platform. Don’t fall for this trap.

Damiere Byrd saw 150 Air Yards last week from likes of Brian Hoyer and Jared Stidham. His Snap Share in the Patriots offense has continued to grow each week, seeing 100-percent of the snaps in Week 4 against the Chiefs. Byrd has also posted at least 13.0 fantasy points in the weeks that he has drawn more than 10 Air Yards. While that stat may be somewhat deceiving, his role in the Patriots offense is not. He makes for an intriguing stone cold minimum Week 5 dart throw.

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NFL Monkey Knife Fight Props: Week 5

by Cody Carpentier, October 10, 2020

With over 90 total yards in each of the first four games and three total touchdowns, James Robinson sits No. 6 in total fantasy points among running backs while averaging 19.1 (No. 9) Fantasy Points per Game. Houston’s No. 32-ranked defense has allowed 162 rushing yards per game and six total touchdowns to opponents. Not only are we taking Robinson in the Touchdown Dance, but we’re taking him over 74.7 yards in The Podfather’s Prop of The Week. 

In two career games against the Chiefs, Josh Jacobs has 7.0 yards per carry on 29 attempts. Jacobs leads the league with 83 carries and has logged 30 (No. 3) Evaded Tackles. He hasn’t scored since Week 1 against Carolina when he finished with three touchdowns, and looks to get back in the scoring column against a Chiefs defense that is bottom-5 against running backs in total yards allowed.

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Upside Wide Receivers For Week 5 GPPs

by Alex Johnson, October 10, 2020

Robby Anderson has out-targeted D.J. Moore 35 to 32 through four weeks with the team using him in a more dynamic role than he ever saw with the Jets. He draws a Falcons defense in Week 5 that is dealing with injuries to Keanu Neal (hamstring), Ricardo Allen (elbow) and Darqueze Dennard (hamstring). Week 5 sets up perfectly for a massive outing and, get this, he’s still under $6,000 on Draftkings.

The Falcons are likely to find themselves in another shootout in Week 5 with a total points over/under of 54.5 against Carolina. Olamide Zaccheaus profiles as an effective slot guy who is best comparable to Jamison Crowder. The ceiling may not be as high in regards to explosive plays for what we like in GPPs. Still, the pieces are in place for him to far out-produce his $3,000 cost on Draftkings, which ultimately makes him a great play even in tournaments.

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Leveraging the NFL’s Most Volatile Receivers for GPP Upside in Week 5

by Matthew M. Stevens, October 9, 2020

Tee Higgins’ 7.3 (No. 37 among qualified wide receivers) Weekly Volatility score borders on extreme fantasy point scoring oscillation. Still, he averages over seven targets per game and offers tantalizing upside in Week 5. He ranks top-10 in Unrealized Air Yards with 234 (No. 10) and Deep Targets with seven (No. 8), smoke signals that a blowup game awaits. That his price on DraftKings ($4,900) and minimal projected rostership doesn’t reflect his upside makes exposure to Higgins a must this week.

A vulnerable asset, Michael Gallup’s 9.6 (No. 16) Weekly Volatility mark pinpoints his boom-or-bust nature. He’s notched one explosive performance with 25.8 (No. 7) fantasy points and three duds where he scored fewer than 10.0 fantasy points, but finds himself in a good spot against the Giants. His primary matchup against Isaac Yiadom, ranked No. 120 among cornerbacks, is his easiest to date this season, and the Cowboys should scheme to get him the ball.

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Free Square DFS Running Backs for Week 5

by Taylor Smith, October 8, 2020

On the surface, Antonio Gibson looks like a risky play this week. While the Rams defense has had strong showings, they concede bunches of fantasy points to RBs. They currently rank No. 28 in Defensive Rushing DVOA after Ezekiel Elliott, Miles Sanders, and Devin Singletary all topped 120 scrimmage yards against them. Given his usage, Gibson is a solid salary-saving RB option on this tightly-priced slate.

The Dolphins rank No. 28 and No. 31 in Defensive Passing and Rushing DVOA respectively, and have allowed Chris Carson and James Robinson to finish as top-5 PPR RBs over the last two weeks. They have also allowed the ninth-most adjusted line yards according to Football Outsiders, meaning Jerick McKinnon won’t be getting hit behind the line of scrimmage like he was all last game. Even if Raheem Mostert dresses for this game, McKinnon is set up for elite RB1 production.

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