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Tomorrow’s Newspaper: DaeSean Hamilton and Waiver Wire Prescience for Week 8

by Ray Marzarella, October 27, 2019

The Broncos trading Emmanuel Sanders to San Francisco has opened the door for DaeSean Hamilton to become a fantasy football factor down the stretch. Despite being a low floor option, with one career game over 50 yards, he’s coming into a massive opportunity spike. Much like he did last year after Sanders went down with a torn Achilles.

With injuries mounting in the Philadelphia backfield, Boston Scott has seen his first work of the season over the last two games. One more injury would thrust him into a two-man committee with either Jordan Howard or Miles Sanders. He has the skill-set to be able to effectively replace either back.

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Wide Receiver vs. Cornerback Matchups to Target: Week 8

by Jesse Reeves, October 27, 2019

Corey Davis’ skillset was vastly hindered with Marcus Mariota under center. Last week’s fantasy outcome tells us that Davis is now being utilized to his potential, especially in the red-zone where he thrives. On an individual level, His matchup with Vernon Hargreaves bodes well for the breakout performance that gamers have waited for.

It’s incredibly easy to pin the upside of this matchup on Cooper Kupp’s massive opportunity share. However, B.W. Webb’s lack of cover skills from the slot drives this matchup to a top-five projected fantasy outcome. Webb is allowing opposing WRs 14.3 (No. 67) Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game on average, and has just one game where he’s held a WR to under 12 fantasy points.

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The Long Gain: Bargain Running Backs to Target in Week 8

by Zach Krueger, October 26, 2019

Marlon Mack has shown a propensity for big plays this season with five (No. 10 among qualified running backs) Breakaway Runs and a 4.2-percent (No. 22) Breakaway Run Rate. He draws a friendly home matchup against the 2-5 Denver Broncos and their 17th ranked defense against opposing running backs.

After Kerryon Johnson went down in Week 7 against the Vikings, it was rookie running back Ty Johnson who took over the workload. He failed to find the end zone but did manage to post 9.7 fantasy points, and is now being talked about as Detroit’s lead back heading into Week 8.

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DraftKings Value Plays and GPP Targets for Week 8

by Matthew Gajewski, October 26, 2019

Coming off a brilliant 312-yard, two-score performance, Ryan Tannehill finds himself underpriced at $5,100. On top of the strong counting stats, Tannehill recorded an 81.8-percent True Completion Percentage and a 106.1 True Passer Rating. While the sample remains small, each would rank near the top of the league.

Continually underrated, DraftKings set Allen Robinson’s price absurdly low at $6,000. Robinson remains one of two receivers with at least a 40-percent air yards share and a 25-percent Target Share. He also stands out from an efficiency perspective with a 37.1-percent (No. 9 among qualified wide receivers) Dominator Rating in Chicago’s offense.

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Cheap DFS Lineup Makers for Week 8

by Taylor Smith, October 26, 2019

Ty Johnson is clearly Detroit’s lead back with an all-purpose skillset and has a plus matchup with the Giants this week. While J.D. McKissic may be a superior pass-catcher, Johnson has shown he can hold his own in that regard with nine catches on 10 targets. At $5200 as a home favorite, he’ll be the chalk in cash games.

Jonnu Smith finally has a chance at unleashing his 127.0 (93rd-percentile) SPARQ-x score. With Delanie Walker out of the picture, Smith’s Snap Share and routes run skyrocketed to season-highs last week. He is another solid punt play at a tight end position that has no real values this week.

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Chris Carson and the Lock Button Plays for Week 8

by Alex Johnson, October 26, 2019

Even with Rashaad Penny returning from a hamstring injury last week, Chris Carson saw a season-high 91-percent of the snaps. He has carried the ball at least 21 times in four straight games. His 139 carries on the season trails only Leonard Fournette. He has been efficient with his carries, evidenced by a 29.8-percent (No. 11) Juke Rate and 48 (No. 4) evaded tackles.

Now in the role that saw Will Fuller average eight targets per game, Kenny Stills is in line to smash for fantasy gamers. He is a complete steal on both FanDuel ($5,700) and DraftKings ($4,700) despite a matchup with the Raiders, who have allowed 16 passing touchdowns and 43 fantasy points per game to wide receivers.

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Fantasy football’s most volatile players at the season’s midway point

by Matthew M. Stevens, October 25, 2019

Several key metrics and other factors indicate why Aaron Rodgers, despite his volatility, doesn’t make for a sell-high candidate after his recent explosion. He holds a 111.9 (No. 4 among qualified quarterbacks) True Passer Rating and averages 8.4 (No. 4) Adjusted Yards Per Attempt, a testament to his efficiency.

No backs have higher marks than Christian McCaffrey’s 47.0-percent Dominator Rating and 146.9 Weighted Opportunities, but it’s his eye-popping efficiency that makes what he does so incredible. His 268 Yards Created ranks No. 3, and he uses his elusive shiftiness to rank fifth with 45 evaded tackles and second with seven Breakaway Runs.

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3 Scorching Hot DFS Takes: Week 8

by Kyle Dvorchak, October 24, 2019

A.J. Brown is the option to stack with Ryan Tannehill because he’s been a better player than Corey Davis this season. Brown has a +26.5 (No. 12 among qualified wide receivers) Production Premium, 122.6 (No. 15) QB Rating when Targeted and 0.57 (No. 12) fantasy points per route run. Davis has been good, but not excellent in any of those metrics. He is outside the top-20 in all three.

The Noah Fant breakout is coming, it’s just a matter of figuring out when. This week sets up well to be the time with the Broncos being six-point underdogs against the Colts, which should keep them passing from behind throughout the game. Fant’s breakout will be a 15 DraftKings points game, and he’ll be among the best values on the slate at $2,900.

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Stay or Go: Who to hold and who to drop for Week 8

by Daniel Turner, October 24, 2019

Aaron Rodgers has faith in Allen Lazard, and that is huge for a young receiver. His 77.8-percent Catch Rate is impressive, especially given the limited number of snaps he’s seen so far this year. If he continues playing at this level, the risk of him becoming an afterthought when the Green Bay receivers return to health should be reduced.  

The Chiefs will have to deal with the reality that their star quarterback will miss some time. This will have an avalanche effect on the value of the team’s pass catchers, no one more so than Mecole Hardman. He has a low 11.9-percent (No. 94 among qualified wide receivers) Target Share to begin with, and now his 59.4-percent (No. 80) Route Participation mark should go down even more.

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Fantasy Football Trends to Watch – Week 8 Edition

by Matthew Gajewski, October 23, 2019

While the public continues to rightfully hammer Los Angeles for playing Melvin Gordon over Austin Ekeler, playing both remains their optimal player personnel configuration. Ekeler excels primarily as a receiver in this offense. Alos bringing a +59.6 (No. 3 among qualified running backs) Production Premium, the Chargers need to keep him on the field.

Robby Anderson continues to command volume in this Jets offense. Against the Patriots, he saw eight targets and 120 Air Yards despite the tough matchup. Looking at his last two games with Sam Darnold, the peripheral numbers increase to 19 targets and 311 Air Yards. With the Patriots out of the way, the Jets schedule opens considerably in the near future.

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