One of the more interesting things about dynasty is the fact that player values can swing in the offseason without any football being played. We get so starved for news during this time of year that even a little nugget about a player gets amplified into a huge talking point, even when it’s often a nothingburger.
Recently, we’ve seen some movers within the dynasty market — some risers, and some fallers. Whether it’s injuries, contract disputes, or off-field issues, these guys have seen their worth shift in a hurry. Here are five such players whose dynasty value has been on the move lately.
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Josh Jacobs | RB, Green Bay Packers
The swift decline in Josh Jacobs‘ market value has everything to do with the legal cloud hanging over him. He was arrested in late May on domestic violence allegations. While he was later released, prosecutors say the investigation is still ongoing. The news and uncertainty surrounding Jacobs have dropped his dynasty stock. He’s currently the biggest 30-day value faller over at KeepTradeCut, where he’s slipped from RB18 in late April to RB24.
Josh Jacobs booking photo (Courtesy: Brown County Sheriff’s Office via WLUK-TV)
Off-field concerns aside, it’s fair to wonder if this isn’t the right range for Jacobs now. He failed to top 1,000 rushing yards last season, and his efficiency waned as well. He averaged just 4.0 yards per carry, while his yards per touch (4.5) ranked 39th and his EPA (0.0) ranked 49th among all running backs. Jacobs also dealt with injury issues after sustaining a knee contusion in November.
Could this be the beginning of the end for the 28-year-old? Maybe not in the NFL, but it might be in Green Bay. After this season, he’ll carry only a $3.125 million dead cap hit if the Packers decide they want to move on. If that happens, he’ll hit the market at 29 with well over 2,000 touches throughout his career. That’s not the profile NFL teams — or dynasty managers, for that matter — tend to get excited about.
At this juncture, it’s probably best to consider Jacobs a one-year asset. Contenders who aren’t risk-averse could take a shot on the six-year veteran if his current manager no longer values him highly due to the uncertainty. If you get any substantial production out of him beyond 2026, consider that a bonus.
Rashee Rice | WR, Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City’s yards-after-catch demon is practically the poster child for value swings. Some view Rashee Rice as a top-10 receiver; others want nothing to do with him. Hard to blame the latter group, considering he just got out of a 30-day jail stint while simultaneously rehabbing a knee that required surgery. There’s always something going on with this guy, and most of it is negative.
When he’s on the field, though, Rice smashes for fantasy managers. He’s talented, but no one is going to mistake him for being a nuanced route-runner. Where he wins is underneath on manufactured touches. Rice is a PPR dream in this offense, which peppers him on slants, screens, and mesh concepts.
The problem has been the “staying on the field” part for Rice. He missed 13 games in 2024 after tearing his LCL. Last year, he only played eight games after starting the season with a six-game suspension and ending it early due to a Week 15 concussion.
Rashee Rice’s Injury History
Because of all the missed time, we haven’t seen a full season of dominance out of Rice. Only small spurts. But his 17-game pace over the past two years leaves fantasy managers chasing the immense upside. Last year, he was on track for 113 receptions, 1,213 yards, and 11 touchdowns. In 2024, he was pacing for even better: 136 catches for 1,632 and 11 scores.
Heading into 2026, Rice finds himself in a precarious situation. He’s going into the final year of his rookie deal, and it doesn’t appear the Chiefs are in any hurry to re-sign him, given all his off-field antics.
Rice’s value will vary greatly from league to league, but it’ll spike in the unlikely event he gets a long-term deal with Kansas City. Until then, proceed with caution.
Bucky Irving | RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
It hasn’t been a great offseason for Bucky Irving or his dynasty stock. He’s coming off a rough Year 2, one where he dealt with multiple injuries and failed to even crack 900 total yards in 10 games played. Fantasy managers also learned that he underwent shoulder surgery in the offseason, which kept him out of OTAs (organized team activities) until recently.
Baker Mayfield is working with versatile and electric playmaker RB Kenny Gainwell on Day 1 of OTAs.
Gainwell will play a key role in the offense alongside RB Bucky Irving. #GoBucs pic.twitter.com/vk5KPnA2vI
— Kyle Burger (@kyle_burger) May 26, 2026
As if that weren’t bad enough, Irving also has to deal with the arrival of Kenneth Gainwell, who signed a two-year deal with Tampa Bay. Gainwell has garnered plenty of praise this offseason, with head coach Todd Bowles recently saying Gainwell is the 1b to Irving’s 1a. That is not what you want to hear if you’re an Irving manager.
I’d expect a tighter split in touches than what we saw last year with Irving and Rachaad White, with Gainwell seeing most of the high-value passing-down work. Last year in Pittsburgh, the receiving game was where he crushed it, reeling in 73 receptions, totaling over 1,000 yards, and scoring eight touchdowns.
Not only that, but Sean Tucker may also be a thorn in Irving’s side. Last year, Irving had zero carries inside the five-yard line after having 14 as a rookie. Meanwhile, Tucker had nine such carries and scored eight total touchdowns in 2025. If the scoring opportunities and catches dwindle, Irving will be in for a disappointing season.
All of this has factored into Irving’s fall in the rankings. In January, he was RB9 on KeepTradeCut. Now, he’s RB18 on PlayerProfiler and RB19 on KeepTradeCut, which is right where I have him in my own personal rankings.
On one hand, Irving looks like a clear buy-low candidate. On the other hand, he feels like a falling knife after he averaged a measly 3.4 yards per carry last year. He could be a buy or sell depending on your roster construction.
Josh Downs | WR, Indianapolis Colts
It’s been all doom and gloom with fallers to this point, so let’s bring some positivity to the party and talk about a riser: Josh Downs. The diminutive wideout has jumped from WR53 on KeepTradeCut back in April to WR37 currently. The rise in value has a lot to do with the fact that $114-million-man Alec Pierce had ankle surgery this offseason and could miss time in training camp — or even early in the season.
However, it’s not just Pierce’s absence that is fueling his rise. Downs is looking at an expanded role going into Year 4 now that Michael Pittman is no longer in town, which is something fantasy managers have been daydreaming about for quite some time.
After a mini-breakout in 2024 with 72 catches for 803 yards and five scores, the expectation was that Downs would get a bump in playing time in 2025. Instead, his snap share fell from 65.9% in 2024 to 63.2% last year. For a guy who depends on short, low aDOT targets, that’s not nearly enough playing time.
Josh Downs’ Advanced Metrics
But this year? Downs should finally see more action, especially with guys like Ashton Dulin, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, and seventh-round rookie Deion Burks behind him on the depth chart. It’s a paper-thin receiver room, which should allow Downs to stay on the field a lot more.
Another positive for Downs is head coach Shane Steichen’s offense, which ranked near the top in RPO usage last year. Pittman was often the target of those quick-hitters. In the future, it will likely be Downs getting those looks. He and tight end Tyler Warren are better equipped to take those short passes and rack up yardage over someone like Pierce, who’s typically the deep threat.
There are 111 targets up for grabs after Pittman’s departure. If Downs can soak up a decent chunk of those, a career year awaits him. At the very least, he should top what he did in 2024, when he averaged 13.1 fantasy points per game and finished as the WR28.
Carson Beck | QB, Arizona Cardinals
We’ve already talked about KeepTradeCut’s biggest 30-day faller in Josh Jacobs; now let’s discuss the biggest 30-day riser. He’s the only rookie on this list: Carson Beck. He’s up 10 spots over the last month and now sits at QB39.
The reasoning is simple: dynasty managers are starting to realize there’s a high probability that Beck will start multiple games this year, and there’s a handful of reasons why that may happen.
For one, Jacoby Brissett is slated to make only $4.9 million this year and wants a new deal more in line with the current market. However, the longer he stays away, the more the door cracks open for Beck, who has plenty of experience after making 43 starts across his time with Georgia and Miami.
Carson Beck’s College Stats
The other issue is that Arizona figures to be pretty putrid this season. They aren’t favored in a single game and have a new coaching staff in place, led by first-time head coach Mike LeFleur. It could be a rough 2026 as the team works its way through a rebuild. So even if Brissett does start the year, there’s a small chance he makes it through all 17 games. Once the team is inevitably out of playoff contention, LeFleur may decide it’s best to see what he has in the No. 65 overall pick.
Any dynasty manager who needs quarterback help should be putting out feelers to see if they can still get Beck at a reasonable price. Maybe he only starts a few games and is relegated to the bench after Arizona drafts its franchise quarterback in 2027. But there’s also a non-zero chance he plays well enough to make the Cardinals consider him as a future starter.
Wolf Trelles-Heard is a fantasy football analyst for PlayerProfiler.
Follow @DynastyFFWolf
