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Ryquell Armstead vs. Devine Ozigbo: Who is Leonard Fournette’s real handcuff?

by Granola Jeremy, September 5, 2019

In college, Devine Ozigbo logged 49 total receptions for 10.0 yards per reception. With the NFL evolving, pass-catching running backs are top priority for teams. His preseason highlights show that he’s quickly put his receiving abilities to use, with his agility and hands being highlights for preseason viewers.

Ignoring his eighth-percentile Burst Score, Ryquell Armstead didn’t disappoint at the NFL Combine. At 5-11, 220-pounds, he logged a 4.45 (92nd-percentile) 40-yard dash and a 112.2 (94th-percentile) Speed Score. His strength in those metrics is kin to the lead-back in front of him, Leonard Fournette.

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Fade brand name veterans: Buy Duke Johnson and Damien Williams

by Josh Crocker, September 5, 2019

While playing for the Chiefs in 2018, Williams a 10-percent Breakaway Run Rate. Kareem Hunt, in the same offense, posted a 6.1-percent (No. 15) Breakaway Run Rate. Williams posted 1.33 (No. 11) Fantasy Points per Opportunity, similar to James White and Duke Johnson, showing elite RB pass catching skill.

It’s only fair to mention the fact that Duke Johnson is Miami University’s all-time leading rusher. He outperformed other Miami U grads such as Frank Gore, Willis McGahee, and even Lamar Miller. Johnson will be filling the shoes of a player in Miller who was top 20 in Weighted Opportunity and red zone touches.

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Why Darwin Thompson was never going to be a thing

by Sean McClure, September 4, 2019

This Darwin Thompson hype train is out of control. The conductor is drunk, the film-grinding passengers are partying like its 1999 and they are all headed nowhere fast. This happens every offseason and yet it is still shocking to watch history repeat itself. Fantasy analysts build insane amounts of hype for a lesser prospect, the ADP skyrockets, owners get burned.

In the preseason and at Utah State, Thompson has shown elusiveness and an ability to make defenders miss in space. His 6.8 yards per carry in college, which was third among Darwin’s comparable player pool, is evidence that he can gain yards with elusiveness despite his low Speed Score. The question remains whether he can translate those skills when playing against superior competition in full-speed NFL games.

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Target these ascending No. 3 WRs on pass-heavy offenses

by Tyler Strong, September 4, 2019

While James Washington’s athletic profile doesn’t boggle the mind, his 18.4 (98th-percentile among qualified receivers) Breakout Age and 20.2 (94th-percentile) College YPR offer a glimpse into his probable usage this year. With Brown gone, Washington will be split out at ‘Z’ for the Steelers, playing that downfield burner role.

With only Mike Evans and hype rocket Chris Godwin above him on the depth chart, Breshad Perriman is ready to make a day one impact. The Bucs ran three-receiver sets 60-percent of the time last year, a top-10 mark in the league. Couple this with the fact that the their run game and defense are still big question marks, he can accrue big target numbers in Bruce Arians’ pass-happy offense.

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Summer Heat Index: Decoding Preseason NFL News for Fantasy Football

by Kyle Dvorchak, September 3, 2019

Reggie Bonnafon’s athleticism indicated that he could have been a productive player in college if he wasn’t living in the shadow of Jackson at Louisville. His 89th-percentile Burst Score and 70th-percentile Agility Score give him a clear advantage over anyone behind Christian McCaffrey in Carolina’s backfield. 

Damion Willis is drawing some attention because he finished his college career strong at Troy. He recorded a 42.1-percent College Dominator Rating while maintaining 15.6 yards per catch. One good season of beating Sun Belt corners doesn’t make Willis an interesting option, even late in drafts.

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Let’s all agree to stop drafting possession receivers in best ball leagues

by Mark Leipold, September 3, 2019

Marquez Valdes-Scantling will return several big weeks and several duds, which works out well because the computer sets your lineup for you retroactively. His 117.6 (97th-percentile among qualified receivers) Speed Score alone warrants taking him over Geronimo Allison, who has an 84.7 (23rd-percentile) Speed Score.

The most telling sign that Courtland Sutton is the proper best ball pick over Emmanuel Sanders is that he posted a 14.6 (No. 19) Average Target Distance compared to 10.0 (No. 72) for Sanders. If the target quality evens out between the two, Sutton should return better value in best ball formats.

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Is Donte Moncrief a discount Mike Williams?

by Josh Crocker, August 30, 2019

If we compare Mike Williams to someone like Dez Bryant, who actually made a career of being a TD scorer, Williams falls further behind. Dez Bryant, in college, was an absolute red zone destroyer. He had a year wherein he scored 76 percent of his team’s receiving touchdowns.

Mike Williams is not what he’s being sold to be. He’s not the next Dez Bryant. He had one season of  incredible TD variance. Rounds and rounds later Donte Monciref is a bargain. He showed potential to be a red zone weapon on the college field.

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Why Miami must play Ryan Fitzpatrick to unlock skill position talent

by Matthew M. Stevens, August 29, 2019

Ryan Fitzpatrick holds the key that can unlock the potential of Miami’s WRs in fantasy football: the deep ball. And with two speedsters who can stretch the field in Kenny Stills and Albert Wilson, plus the addition of rookie Preston Williams, Fitzpatrick has options.

The Dolphins deep threats are a match made in heaven for Fitzpatrick. He appeared in eight games for Tampa Bay in 2018 and his play elevated the Bucs receiving corps and produced massive fantasy performances. His 51.5 Deep Ball Completion Percentage and 6.2 air yards per attempt led the NFL, and his 8.3 adjusted yards per attempt ranked No. 3.

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3 players you cannot leave your fantasy football draft without

by Jesse Reeves, August 28, 2019

Without projecting for a 16-game pace, Dalvin Cook still put up incredible efficiency numbers as a runner and receiver. His 66 (No. 9) Evaded Tackles and 38.2-percent (No. 2) Juke Rate amounted to 273 (No. 22) Yards Created with a 1.58 (No. 17) Yards Created Per Touch. Bundling efficiency, production, and volume, Cook is a player you can’t afford to leave your draft without in 2019.

Hunter Henry’s 2017 season suggests that he became a large part of the Chargers receiving gameplan and he ascended with the increase in opportunity. Contrary to the thought that his TD efficiency was due to lack of usage in the red zone, he managed a 19.7-percent (No. 14) Red Zone Target Share as well as a 21.6-percent (No. 16) End Zone Target Share in 2017.

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