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Gabriel Davis Rookie Profile and Fantasy Outlook

by Miguel Chapeton, March 28, 2020

Gabriel Davis is the most under the radar wide receiver in the 2020 draft class. An early declare junior who started 38 games during his time at UCF, catching 152 passes for 2,552 yards and 23 touchdowns. His final season 17.2 yards per reception puts him in the 81st-percentile among qualified wide receivers and highlights that he’s not simply a possession receiver, but an explosive play-maker with the ball in hands at the next level.

Davis fits the profile of a wide receiver who is more than capable of delivering a surprise Top 24 finish in his career. His best comparable player is Zach Pascal, but being a slightly less agile Courtland Sutton is also in his range of outcomes. Currently, he has an ADP outside of the first five rounds according to Dynasty League Football’s rookie pick probability tool. Remember his name for your rookie drafts as a third round or later dart throw.

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Mining for Cheap Wide Receiver Dynasty Breakouts – Part 3

by James Vitucci, March 28, 2020

Wide receiver production is the most difficult to find on waivers during the season. Those who held on to Tajae Sharpe in deeper leagues were rewarded with a potential multi-week, early-season starter in Minnesota. Players like he and Rashard Higgins, late-round picks who have managed to hang around the league for a few years, should be held on to through free agency in lieu of a less essential backup running back, quarterback or tight end.

Entering his fourth season, the likelihood of Kendrick Bourne’s breakout has grown increasingly elusive. Still, he is worth touting, performing well enough in the highlighted metrics and showing enough on the field this year. Emmanuel Sanders’ departure from San Francisco opens up increased Opportunity Share, and the team’s likely regression from its 31st-ranked early down pass rate in neutral game script opens up additional raw volume.

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JaMycal Hasty Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Matthew M. Stevens, March 27, 2020

JaMycal Hasty possesses certain qualities that make him an appealing prospect. For example, his receiving skill-set stands out. Hasty recorded at least 25 receptions and 100-plus receiving yards in three of his four seasons at Baylor. He also showcased his athleticism on special teams, returning 16 kicks for 233 yards and taking his lone punt return 33 yards to the house as a junior. This versatility makes him a more appealing NFL prospect.

Hasty projects to be a bit player with upside in the NFL. A satellite back who, in the right situation, can handle 10-12 carries a game in addition to catching passes out of the backfield. That would make him a viable fantasy football asset. Taking on a specialist role similar to James White falls within Hasty’s range of outcomes. However, that would be his ceiling/best-case scenario. He’s going undrafted in rookie drafts and startups, but is well worth a flyer.

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Jerry Jeudy Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Taylor Smith, March 26, 2020

Jerry Jeudy dominated the work in Alabama’s offense as a sophomore, seeing a 20.8-percent Target Share and posting 1,315 yards with 14 scores. That stellar season gave him a 19.4 (82nd-percentile among qualified wide receivers) Breakout Age and secured him the Biletnikoff Award, the highest honor for a wide receiver. He also averaged an impressive 19.3 yards per reception that season, showing he has the ability to stretch the field with his speed.

While Jeudy certainly didn’t hurt his stock at the NFL Combine, his performance was somewhat lackluster. He measured 6-1, 193-pounds for a slender 25.5 Body Mass Index. He also ran a modest 4.45 (80th-percentile) 40-yard dash when some people projected him to hit the 4.3’s. Those numbers make him look shockingly comparable to his former teammate Calvin Ridley, but Jeudy has a far better profile based on his overall production and Breakout Age.

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Denzel Mims Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Ray Marzarella, March 25, 2020

Baylor has a history of recruiting athletes to play the wide receiver position, and Denzel Mims is no exception. He was a successful multi-sport athlete in the Texas high school system, winning the 2015 Class 3A 200-meter state championship in track and field. More importantly, his high school football career saw him play quarterback, running back, wide receiver, cornerback and safety at various points. Despite a sexual assault scandal leaving the program for dead in 2017, Mims posted 1,087 receiving yards and eight touchdowns in his first season as a starter.

Mims is a prototypical flanker at the NFL level, with the ability and athleticism to be a successful X-receiver. His Best Comparable Player is Chris Godwin, as if we needed more reason to be excited. Among the 21 rookie receivers with recorded Athleticism Scores, Mims ranks No. 4 with a 108.3 mark. He accounted for 38.9-percent of Baylor’s overall receiving production in his three seasons starting. He’s a locked-in Top 10 prospect, and the reason those with late first-round rookie draft picks can sleep easy at night.

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Joe Burrow Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Kyle Dvorchak, March 25, 2020

Joe Burrow is the presumed first overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. Burrow to the Bengals is all but a done deal and Washington might as well be on the clock with the second pick. Burrow posted the best season ever for a college quarterback. He isn’t an athletic specimen but he does have the tools to evade defenders, make off-script plays, and scramble for bonus yardage relative to a stationary passer.

A blip on Burrow’s profile is his late Breakout Age. He did not get the chance to start a whole campaign until his age-21 season. Losing the starting gig at Ohio State to a sub-NFL passer in J.T. Barrett is either an indictment of Burrow’s skills or a crime by Urban Meyer and his coaching staff. Burrow’s late-career explosion at LSU points to the latter. Most successful pro passers start early in their college careers and graduate seamlessly to the NFL. Burrow took a different path but his production and assumed draft capital outweigh the concerns.

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Antonio Gibson Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Kyle Dvorchak, March 24, 2020

Antonio Gibson was a JUCO transfer to Memphis and didn’t have a definite role until his second and final year in college. He only caught six passes in 2018, but he exploded in 2019, averaging 19.3 yards per reception on 38 catches. Not to be outdone by his receiving chops, Gibson’s rushing efficiency was otherworldly as well. According to the Data Analysis Tool, his 11.2 (99th-percentile among qualified running backs) yards per carry are the second-most for a running back prospect in the database.

Gibson’s path to fantasy success isn’t clear, but we know he’s going to be efficient in every facet of the game he’s used in. His success will come down to how creative the team that drafts him is. A smart NFL team will feature him as a position-less weapon and let fantasy sites worry about what position he plays. Everything he’s done indicates that, whatever position he plays, his ceiling is sky-high. The only problem now is getting him to one of the league’s few intelligent teams.

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Which Incumbents Benefited Most from Free Agency?

by Matthew Gajewski, March 24, 2020

Strapped for cash, the Los Angeles Rams cut Todd Gurley after signing him to a mega-deal two seasons ago. Through repeated roster mismanagement, the team sits with just over $13 million in available cap space and only six selections in the upcoming 2020 NFL Draft, none until pick No. 52. With little competition on the roster and a small chance they add a running back of consequence, Darrell Henderson is a major offseason winner heading into 2020.

Blooming late in his rookie season, Miles Sanders showed he could shoulder a full workload after Jordan Howard suffered a multi-week shoulder injury. With Howard signing in Miami, Sanders again should receive a full workload in Philadelphia’s backfield. While he ceded work to Boston Scott, he still averaged 23.3 touches per game from Week 12 on. When looking at the entire NFL, only four running backs averaged more touches over that timeframe.

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