This is the Dynasty Market Movers Report 2! Debuting after Week 3 for the 2023 season, the Dynasty Market Movers Report monitors the NFL’s events and uses PlayerProfiler’s advanced stats and metrics to highlight players moving on the dynasty rankings.
Report 2 covers notable dynasty risers and fallers over the last two weeks. Let’s get to it.
Stock Trending Up
Brock Purdy – QB San Francisco 49ers
Selected with the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft (No. 262 overall), Brock Purdy earned the title of 2022’s Mr. Irrelevant. He’s been far from it. Perhaps the nickname “Mr. Efficient” is more fitting. The 49ers rank No. 32 in Team Pass Plays Per Game (27.4) and No. 31 in Pace of Play (1.88), yet Purdy is producing an impressive 19.8 Fantasy Points Per Game (FPPG) (QB8) this season.
Touchdown George Kittle!
Brock Purdy already dealing 🔥 pic.twitter.com/iAZuFrk8IB
— PlayerProfiler NFL (@Profiler_NFL) October 9, 2023
Through five games, Purdy owns the league’s top True Passer Rating (119.1) with a 75.4-percent True Completion Percentage (No. 7). His Adjusted Yards Per Attempt mark is also a league-best (10.1, No. 1). He has committed just seven Danger Plays (No. 22) and thrown just three Interceptable Passes (No. 1). Purdy gains a position-leading 27.06 Lifetime Value points and jumps six slots to move to QB12 in dynasty. Look to buy him from a manager who might not realize that “Mr. Irrelevant” has finished as QB14 or higher in all but one of his last 10 games.
Isiah Pacheco – RB Kansas City Chiefs
Isiah Pacheco has found his groove over the last three games posting RB12, RB6, and RB14 fantasy outings. Despite playing only 52.8-percent of Snaps (No. 26), Pacheco is dominating the Kansas City backfield touches by a wide margin. Through Week 5, the sophomore runner has 71 carries (No. 12) with 18 of those carries coming in the Red Zone (No. 9).
At 14.3 FPPG, Pacheco is nearly doubling his output from a year ago. The 23-year-old gains a healthy 25.80 Lifetime Value points to rise nine spots to RB17. Fantasy managers should expect Pacheco’s good results to continue with favorable rushing match-ups leading up to the Chiefs Week 10 bye.
D.J. Moore – WR Chicago Bears
The D.J. Moore – Justin Fields connection has been clicking of late. Moore has scored double-digit fantasy points in four consecutive games and reached the end zone in three straight. This has resulted in 27 receptions (No. 13) for 531 yards (No. 5) and five touchdowns (No. 1) or a solid 22.0 FPPG (WR5).
A focal point of the Bears’ aerial attack, Moore is enjoying a 24.3-percent Target Share (No. 24) and a 37.6-percent Air Yards Share (No. 14). Chicago’s receiving leader has a strong Production Premium of +27.6 (No. 4). Named the NFC Offensive Player of the Week for Week 5, Moore gains 17.79 Lifetime Value points to climb five spots to WR22 in the dynasty rankings. A plus match-up with the Minnesota Vikings awaits.
Logan Thomas – TE Washington Commanders
Working through injury for the majority of the pre-season, Logan Thomas has turned out to be an outstanding value for those who held or acquired him at value. Through four games, the veteran tight end has 18 catches (No. 12) for 183 yards (No.14) and a pair of touchdowns (No. 7). He has delivered a top 12 TE performance in three of four contests, peaking at 20.7 fantasy points (TE4) against the Bears in Week 5.
Thomas gains 6.95 Lifetime Value points to vault 19 spots to TE28. His average of 11.6 Fantasy Points Per Game (TE6) is reminiscent of his most productive season in 2020. Thomas makes for a great value addition to contenders needing help at tight end, especially when his friendly schedule is factored in.
More notable players with stocks trending up:
C.J. Stroud – QB Houston Texans: +15.76 Lifetime Value points and +1 spot to QB10
David Montgomery – RB Detroit Lions: +22.13 Lifetime Value points and +6 spots to RB16
Brandon Aiyuk – WR San Francisco 49ers: +22.54 Lifetime Value points and +9 spots to WR16
Cole Kmet – TE Chicago Bears: +9.86 Lifetime Value points and +5 spot to TE11
Stock Trending Down
Mac Jones – QB New England Patriots
After a promising Week 1 start, it’s been a steady decline for Patriots signal-caller Mac Jones. Benched in back-to-back contests, he ended Week 4 against the Saints with a career-worst fantasy outing (0.4 fantasy points, QB32). Jones will get another opportunity to turn it around in Week 6, but the former No. 15 overall pick could be running out of chances.
The Patriots’ anemic offense hasn’t helped. However, Jones hasn’t helped himself either. On the season, he has thrown six interceptions and committed 15 Danger Plays (No. 2). He has faced 43 Pressured Throws (No. 9) having completed just 51.2-percent of those passes (No. 25). Jones has a mediocre True Completion Percentage of 65.2-percent (No. 30). He loses 10.13 Lifetime Value points and slips three spots to QB30. Jones’ poor performance and low fantasy value tend to limit current options. Fantasy managers can’t buy with confidence and can’t sell for much, so they have to hope for any sign of improvement.
Rhamondre Stevenson – RB New England Patriots
We are sticking with the struggling Patriots offense theme here. Rhamondre Stevenson loses 22.27 Lifetime Value points and drops four spots to slip to RB20. He’s averaging 9.1 FPPG (RB33) through five contests, which is a huge drop from his 2022 average of 14.1 (RB10).
The Patriots offense isn't getting better anytime soon🤒
— PlayerProfiler (@rotounderworld) October 11, 2023
Unsurprisingly, Stevenson’s metrics are also down from 2022. He has a 2.34 Yards Created Per Touch mark (No. 50) and is generating a pedestrian 2.8 True Yards Per Carry (No. 63). In addition to a -9.02 Game Script (No. 31), the Patriots Run Blocking Rating of 14.8 (No. 48) is concerning. Stevenson has faced 17 Stuffed Runs (No. 3). It’s tough sledding in New England these days.
Jerry Jeudy – WR Denver Broncos
Many fantasy gamers had high expectations for Jerry Jeudy and Sean Payton’s Broncos offense heading into the 2023 season. Fast-forward five weeks and Denver sits last in the AFC West, with Jeudy averaging just 9.5 Fantasy Points Per Game (WR51). His Yards Per Route Run mark of 1.63 (No. 47) is down from the last two seasons.
On the season, Jeudy is seeing a Snap Share of 74.6-percent (WR52). In four games played, he has just 208 (No. 51) scoreless yards. His first 1,000-yard season as a professional appears out of sight for 2023. In all fairness, a Catchable Target Rate of 75-percent (No. 39) and a 7.1 Target Accuracy Rating (No. 65) aren’t helping matters. Jeudy loses 20.25 Lifetime Value points and slides five spots to WR31. A subject of trade rumors, a change of scenery might help ignite the former Alabama wideout. However, those looking to buy the dip may want to temper expectations with Jeudy.
Darren Waller – TE New York Giants
It’s been a rollercoaster ride with Darren Waller. He’s produced two solid performances (TE4 and TE7) but has delivered duds in the other weeks. The veteran has been a fixture on the injury report, which adds to the fun. When he’s active, most managers will feel obliged to start him. There’s a silver lining though. The metrics look promising.
.@Fantasy_Mansion breaks down 3 players you need to Buy LOW on before their value catches up to their production💰
Find out why📺⤵️ pic.twitter.com/LFyuG1LpLN
— PlayerProfiler (@rotounderworld) October 11, 2023
Waller has 34 Targets (No. 4) and a 21.7-percent Target Share (No. 4) to go along with an Air Yards Share of 30.4-percent (No. 2). The veteran also has a Target Depth (ADOT) of 9.2 (No. 4). He has run 177 routes (No. 2). However, it’s performance matters and the 31-year-old drops 7.10 Lifetime Value points to slip one spot to TE13. Waller looks like a nice buy-low option, but managers wanting to get off the rollercoaster can’t be blamed especially when factoring in age and injuries. Lean on the metrics and look for a strong fantasy day to get a good return so you won’t regret selling when the boom weeks come.
More notable players with stocks trending down:
Dak Prescott – QB Dallas Cowboys: -16.73 Lifetime Value points and -5 spots to QB17
Dalvin Cook – RB New York Jets: -50.81 Lifetime Value points and -14 spots to RB4
Justin Jefferson – WR Minnesota Vikings: -27.89 Lifetime Value points and -1 spot to WR2