Best Pick ‘Em Player Props: Week 16
by Ahaan Rungta, December 24, 2022Prop betting is one of the best ways to give yourself an edge! What prop bets should you make this week? What bet slips will give bettors an edge in Week 16?
Prop betting is one of the best ways to give yourself an edge! What prop bets should you make this week? What bet slips will give bettors an edge in Week 16?
Week 16 of the NFL season is upon us! Hopefully, you are still alive in the semi-final round of the fantasy football playoffs! What bets should we be making this week? Who should we be starting in our fantasy football matchups to secure a spot in the fantasy football championship game?!
When Taylor Heinicke first took over at quarterback, Terry McLaurin responded with four straight games finishing inside the top-30 at his position. Since then, he’s finished top-30 once in his last four games. What’s scarier than Terry? Charvarius Ward matching up with your favorite team’s No. 1 WR.
When entering DFS tournaments knowing which players are receiving the most Air Yards is a crucial metric. Which players could command the most volume on the slate this week and turn your DFS entries into cash?!
The Packers are allowing a mouth-watering 24.7/123.6/.77 stat line on average to opposing backs. I’m taking a stand with Akers this week to post season-high numbers in a dream matchup against the Pack.
Watson has been the hot-hand lately, stringing together four straight games with a touchdown reception. Watson remains in play here as a ceiling WR2/3 given his recent touchdown outbursts. Since Week 10, Watson’s impressive 26-percent Target Share leads the team.
Prop betting is a marketplace where a lot of value can be found especially for fantasy gamers! Which pick ’em player prop bets provide the most value this week?
When making start/sit decisions, matchups are important to consider. With the fantasy playoffs on the way, which wide receivers are facing tougher coverage this week? Which wide receivers should we consider benching because of.a tough matchup?
The notion that the highest priced player on the slate is a value sounds absurd on the surface. However, Davante Adams has crested 119 Air Yards in five out of his past six games and is averaging almost 150 Air Yards during this same time frame. Additionally, he has seen double digit targets in every game since week nine. This has resulted in four finishes as the WR6 or better. Adams is coming off a game in which he “disappointed” with only 10.1 fantasy points. This week he can very easily do what Justin Jefferson did to the Patriots in week 12 and finish as the WR1 in fantasy on the week.
Like a phoenix Drake London rises from the… ok I’ll pump the brakes on this one because the the Falcons are still projected to be a uber run heavy offense even with newly installed rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder. However it is exciting to get excited about London! He last saw 12 targets and 196 Air Yards in week 13. It’s fun to think that this was a preview of what his post bye week rookie bump is going to look like. While Arthur Smith has destroyed the souls of fantasy gamers all season, I would be interested in having lots of exposure to London in DFS this week in the hopes his rookie season rises from the ashes of Arthur Smith’s prior play calling.
The Jaguars entered Week 14 allowing the 8th-most passing fantasy points to QBs. They have allowed at least 27 points in three of their last four games. Dallas has a high-powered offense that has scored at least 28 in each of their last six games. Expect Prescott to wheel and deal against a mediocre Jaguars defense.
Etienne has not had a top-36 finish his last three games, with three receptions in that time, all in Week 13. Trevor Lawrence is leading the offense with his arm with the run game not of much use. Etienne has flashed great fantasy production, but his recent struggles combined with a bad matchup have him on fantasy benches to start the playoffs.
With Damien Harris doubtful (thigh) to play, Rhamondre Stevenson looks like a smash. In the three games without Harris, Stevenson has averaged a sizable 85-percent Snap Share. He converted those opportunities into RB2, RB9 and RB18 finishes. His season-long 23.5-percent Target Share (team-high) is second only to Christian McCaffery amongst qualified running backs. I like Stevenson as a top-10 play against a Cardinals defense that has been sliced up by pass-catching backs (No. 8 most passing yards to running backs).
James Conner’s 97-percent Snap Share was unmatched in Week 12 at his position. He was able to turn the workhorse opportunity into a massive 25/120/2 statline. Conner has been solid lately, turning in two top three RB finishes in his last three weeks of action. While the matchup with New England is challenging (No. 2 in fantasy points allowed to RB), Conner remains a volume-secure RB2.