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Summer Heat Index: Decoding Offseason NFL News for Fantasy Football (Early July Edition)

by Kyle Dvorchak, July 5, 2019

Donte Moncrief has proven time and time again that doesn’t have the talent necessary to compete at a fantasy-relevant level. His ADP climbed a round in the last month while Washington fell one spot. Just because Moncrief is cheap, doesn’t make him a better value than Washington.

The last time we saw Devonta Freeman, he totaled 1,182 yards from scrimmage and added eight scores. He narrowly slipped into the RB1 echelon in points per game (14.4). That was 2017. In 2018, he missed all but a few snaps of his first game. The rest of his season was lost to foot and knee injuries.

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These 6 teams can support multiple top-24 wide receivers in fantasy football leagues

by Josh Crocker, July 4, 2019

Jacob Rickrode has done work that shows us that 17-18 teams on average will support one Top 24 receiver in fantasy football. It also shows that at least four of these teams, but as many as seven, are likely to support two such pass catchers.

Last season, Will Fuller recorded a remarkable 100-percent True Catch Rate, 11.2 (No. 3) yards per target and a 137.5 (No. 2) QB Rating when targeted. And he did it in only seven games played. Even if his 20.2-percent (No. 32) Target Share dips, he can crack the Top 24 with that kind of efficiency if he stays healthy.

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The Fantasy Football DO NOT DRAFT List

by Akash Bhatia, July 3, 2019

Even once Emmanuel Sanders is healthy, he’s not walking into a great situation. Joe Flacco hasn’t been “elite” in forever. DaeSean Hamilton demonstrated down the stretch that he deserves targets. And while he cost DFS grinders money down the stretch, Courtland Sutton is still an exciting prospect who can be expected to develop in year two.

Eric Ebron proponents will point to his Fantasy Points per Game while Jack Doyle was also in the lineup. But those fantasy points were fueled by a sky high touchdown rare in a small sample size. What’s more predictive is the target share that he saw when Doyle played, which paints a less favorable picture.

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Opportunity Squeeze: 3 players set up to miss expectations in fantasy football

by Neil Dutton, July 2, 2019

Unless you play in auction leagues, you very rarely get the opportunities to pick all of your favorite players when drafting fantasy football teams. Therefore, drafts are all about finding the right players for your team at the right price.

Eric Ebron was No. 1 among all tight ends touchdowns scored and led his position in Hog Rate with 18.6 percent, and end zone target share with 35.6-percent. He certainly benefited from the absence of fellow tight end Jack Doyle. Ebron scored more fantasy points in games in which Doyle played, rather than those he missed.

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5 breakout wide receivers to target in fantasy football best ball leagues

by Matthew Gajewski, July 1, 2019

Best ball leagues give fantasy enthusiasts an outlet for their madness even in the dead part of the summer. Paying attention to offseason news to identify potential 2019 breakouts is paramount to achieving success. Specifically, finding breakout wide receivers with the upside to deliver huge weeks sets the stage for a profitable season.

Tre’Quan Smith is the favorite to play in two wide receiver sets in New Orleans as he enters his second season. His upper-percentile athleticism gives him the opportunity to replace Ted Ginn, creating the ultimate breakout situation.

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These players are coming back from major injuries shrouded in uncertainty

by Neil Dutton, June 28, 2019

Every single player injured during the last season of NFL football is “ahead of schedule” in their recovery. Whether they could actually “play tomorrow if needed” or they (or their team) are merely indulging in some blue sky thinking, only they can say for certain.

With this in mind, we’ll take a closer look at three players who all saw their 2018 campaigns cut short. In one case that players absence nearly brought his team and quarterback grinding to a halt. We shall also look at their present ADPs. A terrific bargain could be in store.

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RotoUnderworld 2019 Dynasty Mock Rookie Draft – Round 4

by Ray Marzarella, June 26, 2019

The RotoUnderworld Team is conducting its rookie mock draft. We will be splitting up each of the four rounds into four separate pieces outlining the advanced stats and metrics that justify each selection.

It seems weird on the surface to see the No. 6 pick in the NFL Draft fall to the fourth round of a rookie mock. But Daniel Jones is more likely to return value early on than anyone is willing to admit. The right play might be to stash and trade him once he has a breakout game.

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