Finding Value with 2022 NFL Win Totals
by Brandon Clarke, June 19, 2022I built a regression model to help project and find edges in the world of football. The results were exceedingly profitable.
I built a regression model to help project and find edges in the world of football. The results were exceedingly profitable.
The 2022 Chiefs Backfield Breakdown is part of an offseason series in which I take a deep dive into one NFL team’s backfield and examine the respective rushing performances of the players in it. In doing so, I hope to gain insights into key players from a talent evaluation standpoint, and using that evaluation as a baseline, from a dynasty valuation standpoint.
I will discuss the evolution of strategic levers in best ball tournaments, and outline the principles undergirding my 2022 draft plan. To be clear, this is not a guide in which I tell you what the best construction is, who the best players are, or any other definitive solution to unknowable question befitting a ‘Here’s How’ thread. I wish to discuss an inexhausutive variety of strategic levers you may wish to pull with different force than I will, and build a broader, humility-based strategy applicable to nearly every structure of team or player stance.
This article will cover running backs who look nice but in actuality are masquerading uninvited to the RB1 party. These are RB fool’s gold candidates. They are either declining in production, or they don’t come close to meeting the requirements of a running back who has exceeded expectations according to their current ADP.
It’s fun to hypothesize who the next late-round breakout running back candidate is going to be. One running back who could be this year’s Mitchell-level late-round breakout is a blast from the past: Kansas City Chiefs veteran running back Jerick McKinnon.
The 2022 Panthers Backfield Breakdown is part of an offseason series in which I take a deep dive into one NFL team’s backfield and examine the respective rushing performances of the players in it. In doing so, I hope to gain insights into key players from a talent evaluation standpoint and use that evaluation as a baseline from a dynasty valuation standpoint.
Darwin Núñez has been the talk of the town recently. With both Liverpool and Manchester United interested in him, he seems to be the real deal. The Uruguayan international is 22 years old, 187 centimeters tall, right-footed, and plays as a center-forward for the Portuguese club, SL Benfica.
From 2016 to 2021, receivers from these ambiguous situations hit as top-24 WRs 53.8-percent of the time. To gain an even greater edge, let’s home in on some specific receivers who are best positioned to ascend from ambiguity in 2022.
The 2022 Vikings Backfield Breakdown is part of an offseason series in which I take a deep dive into one NFL team’s backfield and examine the respective rushing performances of the players in it.
Marquise Brown and Kenny Golladay fooled about every fantasy football manager in 2021. For the sake of being honest with ourselves and trying to improve our process, we’re taking a look at these two receivers – one stud and one dud – to determine what went wrong.