by Samwise · Featured
2026 fantasy football busts

Nobody builds a dynasty team trying to lose, but plenty of managers do so by paying market value for players the market has completely mispriced. Every offseason, there’s a group of names, some of which are coming off big years, or some riding hype built on one good month.

Some dynasty players are propped up by a reputation that the underlying numbers have already started to contradict, too quietly. Those players are being priced in dynasty markets at a level that sets you up for disappointment before the first snap of the season.

The ten players on this list are not bad football players. Some of them are legitimately talented. What they are right now is overvalued, and in dynasty, overpaying is how you fall behind. These are the names that have the potential to tank your dynasty teams in 2026.

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Emeka Egbuka | Tampa Bay

Emeka Egbuka‘s rookie season was the tale of two different stories. In Weeks 1 through 5, he finished as a top 25 wide receiver four times. But for the rest of the year, Egbuka only hit that mark once. His underlying metrics are also good, not great, so to value Egbuka as a bona fide top -t0 wideout seems premature. 

Luther Burden III | Chicago Bears

Luther Burden III can get open. His 2.63 target separation ranked 14th among all wide receivers, which is legitimate, but getting open and getting the ball are two different things in Chicago. His 12.8 percent target share ranked 77th at the position, which will improve with DJ Moore gone to Buffalo, but how much can it really increase due to all the weapons still in this offense?

It is easy to see Burden having a better sophomore season. Still, a top-20 wide receiver season isn’t a guarantee, and markets shouldn’t value Burden there with all the unanswered questions surrounding him. 

Marvin Harrison Jr. | Arizona Cardinals

Since arriving with generational receiver hype, Marvin Harrison Jr. hasn’t really lived up to it. Injuries in 2026 aside, Harrison has barely cracked the top 40 in fantasy points per game in his career. His analytical profile doesn’t show metrics suggesting a big-time breakout is imminent. An underwhelming statistical profile, legit target competition in Michael Wilson and Trey McBride, plus a less-than-stellar quarterback room, equals a massive bust candidate in 2026.

Bhayshul Tuten | Jacksonville Jaguars

Five rushing touchdowns on 83 carries is the entire bull case for Bhayshul Tuten as an RB2 in fantasy, and touchdowns on that volume are the single least repeatable stat in fantasy football. That means the market is pricing a back whose True Yards Per Carry ranked 84th and whose yards per carry of 3.70 ranked 86th at the position like a featured workhorse because the touchdown column happened to run hot.

Chris Rodriguez is in the same Jacksonville backfield, posting better efficiency numbers on more carries, and there is nothing in the underlying metrics to suggest Tuten holds that touchdown rate over a full 2026 season.

De’Von Achane | Miami Dolphins

This is the hardest name on this list to put here because last season’s production was genuinely elite. Achane was fifth in rushing yards, sixth in weighted opportunities, and second in RB target share, but De’Von Achane at RB5 in dynasty with all the major changes to his offense is a recipe for disaster. 

Tetairoa McMillan | Carolina Panthers

Tetairoa McMillan is being sought after as if he’s a lock to be a top-10 wide receiver in fantasy. The talent is genuinely there, but the situation still has enough holes that could lead to massive shortcomings for fantasy managers. Finishing as WR16 again wouldn’t be the end of the world, but given his current market value and slight sophomore slump, it would create big-time problems for fantasy teams in 2026. 

Jaxson Dart | New York Giants

Catching the interest of the fantasy world thanks to his rushing floor, Jaxson Dart finished with nine touchdowns and 487 yards on the ground, which was third among all quarterbacks. But the passing numbers for Dart were not as exciting. His 28th-ranked pass EPA, 25th-ranked catchable pass rate, and 15 danger plays against only eight money throws are not the passing profile of a top-10 dynasty quarterback. Rather, it’s the profile of a mobile rookie who is still making too many bad decisions in the pocket to earn the price tag his legs have bought him.

Dynasty managers are paying for the ceiling, which is legitimate, but the floor is a lot lower until the decision-making catches up with the athleticism.

TreVeyon Henderson | New England Patriots

The rookie from Ohio State ran well in New England, as highlighted by TreVeyon Hendeson’s 911 yards at a 5.06 per carry clip, and he added nine touchdowns. That was good for an RB 21 finish, but his 26th-ranked weighted opportunities and 31st-ranked target share among running backs tell you the Patriots never fully committed to making him the bell cow that his RB12 dynasty price assumes he is.

None of those concerns with squashed given that Rhamondre Stevenson is still in town and the front office has done everything they can to improve the passing game. Volume will be a massive red flag for the sophomore back in 2026.

Rashee Rice | Kansas City

Rashee Rice is a fantasy land mine, and it doesn’t matter what markets say. On one hand, he has proven to be a weapon that Patrick Mahomes enjoys throwing to, but on the other, the wideout has shown time and time again that he is not a professional, and that is enough to keep fantasy managers away. Sure, his fantasy production seems like a value given his WR 30 price tag, but last time I checked, it is hard to produce fantasy points from behind bars or in the unemployment line. And that is the reality of rostering Rice. 

Tucker Kraft | Green Bay Packers

Tucker Kraft‘s efficiency numbers are genuinely impressive. His 2.56 yards per route run (YPRR) ranked second among all 143 tight ends in the league, and his 1.063 EPA per target ranked fourth. But overvaluing tight ends is the easiest way to have a bust fantasy season. He failed to be a fantasy weapon in his first two seasons, and last year, he was injured, which derailed what would have been a great season.

Kraft is a good player, but a steep investment given his professional history and the potential competition for targets. Never go full tight end truther. 

Dynasty is a long game, and the managers who win it are the ones who understand that market price and actual value are two completely different things, especially in the offseason. When hype is at its highest, the numbers that matter most are getting quietly ignored. Move them while the room is still buying, reinvest in players whose numbers are running ahead of their market value, and let your league mates spend their capital on the names that sound better than they produce. That’s how dynasty titles get built.

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