Dario Offstein

Director of Analytics

@dariooffstein

Dario Offstein is a data expert and a lifelong sports nerd who has been PlayerProfiler’s Director of Analytics since 2022. Dario has been playing fantasy football since middle school and he’s been called a “human calculator” by Billy Muzio. He’s the mad scientist behind PlayerProfiler’s rankings, DFS projections, Injury Finder, Breakout Finder, and much more. These apps and tools are the some of the best in the fantasy football industry because of the hard work Dario puts in. All of these apps and features are designed with the user in mind and are designed to help fantasy gamers win more money, championships, and claim more bragging rights over their buddies.

You can find Dario on the Codebreaker and Man Vs Machine podcasts. On these shows, Dario puts his experience as a data expert on display for the viewers. These shows cover a bevy of players and topics. Mostly, they are geared toward helping fantasy gamers correctly identify good players at good values through an analytical process. Dario is best known for his carefully crafted, meticulous, analytics-driven takes on the Man vs Machine YouTube show and podcast. When he’s not obsessing over the NFL (rarely), Dario enjoys backpacking, soccer, and convoluted board games.

Articles

Using ADP Arbitrage to Identify Targets on FFWC and Underdog

by Dario Offstein

In an earlier article, we set out to understand the structural differences between ADP in Underdog best ball drafts and FFWC high stakes drafts. Today, we take the next step and look at players whose ADPs differ from these trends and create opportunities for arbitrage between the two sites.

ADP Comparison: Structural Differences Between Underdog and FFWC

by Dario Offstein

When it comes to drafting on sites with differing settings, the ADPs on each site reflect the strategy differences needed to succeed. Additionally, these ADP variations affect values of individual players. In this article, we’ll examine how these differences can be leveraged in order to draft structurally strong teams in high-stakes leagues on FFWC and in best ball leagues on Underdog.

Dario Offstein's Must Draft List for 2022 Fantasy Football

by Dario Offstein

The best part about playing Fantasy Football is drafting your Fantasy Football team in the fall with all of your friends. But after that, a lot of leagues tend to lose their juice because some owners draft bad players. The goal with this must-draft list series is to assure you do NOT draft "Bad Players" or values, but instead draft the "Best Players" or the best values.

Is Wide Receiver Consistency Predictable and Does It Matter?

by Dario Offstein

Consistency is highly sought after by many in the fantasy football community. Since it’s human nature to avoid risk, we feel more comfortable putting a player in our lineup if we know he’ll reliably score 12-15 points compared to a player ranging from 5-25 points. But is consistency a trait we can predict from year to year? Follow along as I use the power of statistics to better analyze the relationship between fantasy points and the consistency with which they’re scored. Mike Williams in 2021 finished as the WR14 in PPG by averaging 15.4 PPR points per game, but conversations about his outlook in 2022 are centered on his inconsistent production. His six games with more than 20 PPR points and seven games with fewer than 10 PPR points are worrying many drafters, yet his CV only checked in at 0.687, on the slightly inconsistent end of our “average” bucket. History would suggest that Williams' CV will improve and he is likely to stay productive in fantasy.