| Year Year | Games Played Games | Targets Tgts | Receptions Rec | Receiving Yards Rec Yds | Yards Per Reception YPR | Air Yards Air Yds | Receiving TDs Rec TD | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 107 | 72 | 769 | 10.7 | 912 | 3 | 10.6 (#42) |
| 2021 | 17 | 49 | 33 | 353 | 10.7 | 425 | 4 | 5.5 (#78) |
| Targets | Target Share | Target Rate | Snap Share | Slot Snaps | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 (6.7 p/g) | 17.0% (8.9% rz) | 18.4% | 81.3% | 161 (18.3% rate) | 582 (36.4 p/g) | 88.2% |
| #28 | #48 | #67 | #32 | #58 | #5 | #30 |
| Air Yards | Air Yards Share | Average Target Distance (ADOT) Target Depth (ADOT) | Deep Targets | Red Zone Targets Red Zone Tgts | Target Quality Rating | Catchable Target Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 912 (57.0 p/g) | 21.3% | 8.5 | 11 (0.7 p/g) | 8 (4 rec) | 5.29 | 79.4% (85 tgts) |
| #40 | #57 | #82 | #57 | #59 | #58 | #32 |
| Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yards | Yards After Catch YAC | Unrealized Air Yards | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 (4.5 p/g) | 769 (48.1 p/g) | 258 (2.4 p/tgt) | 401 (3.7 p/tgt) | 3 (4.1% rate) | 10.6 | 11.2 (-0.66 diff) |
| #26 | #38 | #33 | #54 | #50 | #42 | #40 |
| Target Accuracy | Yards Per Route Run | Formation Adjusted Yards Per Route Run Formation Adjusted YPRR | Yards Per Target YPT | Yards Per Reception YPR | Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Yards/Team Pass Attempt | True Catch Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | 1.32 | - | 7.2 | 10.7 | 1.17 | 84.7% (67.3% actual) |
| #71 | #76 | - | #72 | #79 | #59 | #47 |
| Target Separation | Average Cushion | Target Premium | Dominator Rating | Juke Rate | Drops | Contested Catch Rate Contested Catch % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | 4.59 | -6.4% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 5 (4.7% rate) | 50.0% (18 tgts) |
| #6 | #70 | #65 | #63 | - | #29 | #19 |
| Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) EPA | QB Rating Per Target QB Rating Per Target | Best Ball Points Added Best Ball Pts Added | Fantasy Points Per Route Run Fantasy Points Per Route | Fantasy Points Per Target Fantasy Points Per Target | Total Fantasy Points Total Fantasy Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.1 | +30.0 | 89.7 | 58.5 (3.7 p/g) | 0.29 | 1.58 | 169.30 |
| #64 | #45 | #54 | #37 | #73 | #68 | #37 |
| Total Route Wins | Route Win Rate | Routes vs Man | Win Rate vs Man | Target Rate vs Man | Target Separation vs Man Tgt Separation vs Man | Fantasy Points Per Target vs Man Fantasy Pts/Tgt vs Man |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 177 | 37.2% | 244 (336 zone) | 34.5% (37.4% zone) | 15.2% (19.9% zone) | 2.16 (2.75 zone) | 1.56 (1.54 zone) |
| #19 | #71 | #24 | #53 | #89 | #12 | #71 |
| Targets | Target Share | Target Rate | Snap Share | Slot Snaps | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 (2.9 p/g) | 7.5% (7.5% rz) | 18.1% | 39.0% | 151 (34.6% rate) | 270 (15.9 p/g) | 40.1% |
| #92 | #98 | #76 | #130 | #59 | #90 | #98 |
| Air Yards | Air Yards Share | Average Target Distance (ADOT) Target Depth (ADOT) | Deep Targets | Red Zone Targets Red Zone Tgts | Target Quality Rating | Catchable Target Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 (25.0 p/g) | 8.7% | 8.7 | 6 (0.4 p/g) | 8 (6 rec) | 5.27 | 77.6% (38 tgts) |
| #91 | #94 | #72 | #87 | #59 | #54 | #38 |
| Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yards | Yards After Catch YAC | Unrealized Air Yards | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 (1.9 p/g) | 353 (20.8 p/g) | 95 (1.9 p/tgt) | 167 (3.4 p/tgt) | 4 (11.8% rate) | 5.5 | 4.8 (+0.65 diff) |
| #83 | #95 | #109 | #110 | #48 | #78 | #103 |
| Target Accuracy | Yards Per Route Run | Formation Adjusted Yards Per Route Run Formation Adjusted YPRR | Yards Per Target YPT | Yards Per Reception YPR | Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Yards/Team Pass Attempt | True Catch Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.2 | 1.31 | 1.27 | 7.2 | 10.7 | 0.52 | 86.8% (67.3% actual) |
| #57 | #83 | #71 | #69 | #80 | #94 | #41 |
| Target Separation | Average Cushion | Target Premium | Dominator Rating | Juke Rate | Drops | Contested Catch Rate Contested Catch % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 4.34 | +4.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 1 (2.0% rate) | 100.0% (8 tgts) |
| #92 | #70 | #39 | #92 | #90 | #116 | #1 |
| Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) EPA | QB Rating Per Target QB Rating Per Target | Best Ball Points Added Best Ball Pts Added | Fantasy Points Per Route Run Fantasy Points Per Route | Fantasy Points Per Target Fantasy Points Per Target | Total Fantasy Points Total Fantasy Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.9 | +22.6 | 115.4 | 20.4 (1.2 p/g) | 0.34 | 1.90 | 92.90 |
| #55 | #64 | #22 | #82 | #61 | #30 | #76 |
| Total Route Wins | Route Win Rate | Routes vs Man | Win Rate vs Man | Target Rate vs Man | Target Separation vs Man Tgt Separation vs Man | Fantasy Points Per Target vs Man Fantasy Pts/Tgt vs Man |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 35.4% | 158 (106 zone) | 28.7% (38.8% zone) | 19.6% (12.3% zone) | 1.11 (2.00 zone) | 1.49 (2.84 zone) |
| #99 | #74 | #72 | #78 | #66 | #89 | #70 |
| Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Primary Corner Primary Corner | Snap Share Snap Share | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Receiving Yards Receiving Yards | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LV | Nate Hobbs | 81.5% | 28 (82.4% rate) | 4 (1 rz) | 3 | 5 (10 air) | 3.9 (#86) |
| 2 | KC | Jaylen Watson | 89.3% | 49 (98.0% rate) | 8 (2 rz) | 4 (1 tds) | 30 (49 air) | 13.0 (#32) |
| 3 | JAX | Tre Herndon | 94.8% | 44 (95.7% rate) | 9 | 6 | 99 (66 air) | 15.9 (#25) |
| 4 | HOU | Steven Nelson | 57.4% | 23 (57.5% rate) | 1 | 1 | 25 (23 air) | 3.5 (#80) |
| 5 | CLE | Greg Newsome | 75.4% | 31 (88.6% rate) | 6 (1 rz) | 3 | 24 (44 air) | 5.4 (#75) |
| 6 | DEN | Damarri Mathis | 90.0% | 53 (89.8% rate) | 12 (2 rz) | 9 | 57 (49 air) | 14.7 (#23) |
| 9 | ATL | Cornell Armstrong | 92.5% | 41 (95.4% rate) | 10 | 8 | 106 (90 air) | 18.6 (#10) |
| 10 | SF | Deommodore Lenoir | 100.0% | 40 (100.0% rate) | 8 | 3 | 44 (105 air) | 7.4 (#57) |
| 11 | KC | Trent McDuffie | 90.8% | 33 (94.3% rate) | 10 (1 rz) | 8 (2 tds) | 106 (111 air) | 30.6 (#3) |
| 12 | ARI | Marco Wilson | 96.9% | 43 (84.3% rate) | 7 (1 rz) | 5 | 56 (50 air) | 10.6 (#43) |
| 13 | LV | Nate Hobbs | 95.8% | 44 (84.6% rate) | 11 | 7 | 60 (82 air) | 13.0 (#29) |
| 14 | MIA | Keion Crossen | 75.6% | 43 (78.2% rate) | 6 | 4 | 53 (90 air) | 9.3 (#45) |
| 15 | TEN | Roger McCreary | 69.6% | 31 (68.9% rate) | 5 | 5 | 49 (32 air) | 9.9 (#43) |
| 16 | IND | Brandon Facyson | 59.7% | 25 (71.4% rate) | 3 | 2 | 16 (50 air) | 3.6 (#77) |
| 17 | LAR | Cobie Durant | 56.5% | 17 (54.8% rate) | 1 | 0 | 0 (31 air) | 0.0 (#109) |
| 18 | DEN | - | 77.9% | 37 (82.2% rate) | 6 | 4 | 39 (30 air) | 9.9 (#40) |
| 19 | JAX | Tyson Campbell | 97.1% | 43 (93.5% rate) | 6 (1 rz) | 2 | 31 (70 air) | 5.1 (#32) |
| Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Primary Corner Primary Corner | Snap Share Snap Share | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Receiving Yards Receiving Yards | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | Kendall Fuller | 18.7% | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 (16 air) | 2.7 (#101) |
| 2 | DAL | Anthony Brown | 25.4% | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 (9 air) | 4.1 (#83) |
| 3 | KC | Anthony Hitchens | 16.9% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 (#121) |
| 4 | LV | Amik Robertson | 9.2% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 (#119) |
| 5 | CLE | Greedy Williams | 15.9% | 7 | 3 | 2 | 12 (24 air) | 3.2 (#96) |
| 6 | BAL | Marlon Humphrey | 51.9% | 19 | 4 | 1 | 8 (31 air) | 1.8 (#96) |
| 8 | NE | Jalen Mills | 13.8% | 7 | 1 | 1 (1 tds) | 24 (24 air) | 9.4 (#45) |
| 9 | PHI | Steven Nelson | 30.8% | 13 | 2 | 2 | 22 (22 air) | 4.2 (#69) |
| 10 | MIN | Bashaud Breeland | 29.1% | 13 | 4 (1 rz) | 3 | 22 (18 air) | 5.2 (#56) |
| 11 | PIT | Arthur Maulet | 33.8% | 9 | 1 | 1 | 17 (9 air) | 3.3 (#80) |
| 12 | DEN | Kyle Fuller | 49.2% | 23 | 2 | 2 | 25 (12 air) | 4.5 (#71) |
| 13 | CIN | Mike Hilton | 24.6% | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 (#106) |
| 14 | NYG | Aaron Robinson | 89.6% | 29 | 7 (3 rz) | 5 (1 tds) | 66 (75 air) | 17.6 (#16) |
| 15 | KC | Rashad Fenton | 43.6% | 21 | 1 | 1 | 15 (13 air) | 2.5 (#90) |
| 16 | HOU | Tremon Smith | 98.3% | 37 | 6 (1 rz) | 5 (1 tds) | 43 (27 air) | 15.3 (#21) |
| 17 | DEN | Kyle Fuller | 50.0% | 15 | 5 (3 rz) | 3 | 16 (17 air) | 4.6 (#74) |
| 18 | LV | Casey Hayward | 60.7% | 43 | 9 | 4 (1 tds) | 45 (128 air) | 14.5 (#32) |
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Value Over Stream: Valuation scheme calculates a player’s fantasy pts/game over the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current season (or previous year during the offseason) and adjusts for positional bust rates. VOS rank in parenthesis spans all positions, enabling player comparisons across QB's, RB's, WR's, and TE's.
With the 77th pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, the Los Angeles Chargers have drafted Tennessee wide receiver Josh Palmer. Palmer never had a huge season for the Volunteers, topping out at 484 yards in 2018 and four touchdowns last season, but he showed promise as a deep threat in Knoxville. He's shown ...
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| Year Year | Games Games | Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yds | Target Share Tgt Share | Catch Rate Catch Rate | Receiving Touchdowns Rec TDs | Special Teams Yards Special Teams | Age Age | School School |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 9 (WR) | 9 (30 tgts) | 98 (10.9 ypr) | 9.4% | 30.0% | 0 | 0 | 18 | Tennessee |
| 2018 | 12 (WR) | 23 (46 tgts) | 484 (21.0 ypr) | 15.5% | 50.0% | 2 | 0 | 19 | Tennessee |
| 2019 | 11 (WR) | 34 (50 tgts) | 457 (13.4 ypr) | 13.9% | 68.0% | 1 | 0 | 20 | Tennessee |
| 2020 | 10 (WR) | 33 (65 tgts) | 475 (14.4 ypr) | 22.8% | 50.8% | 4 | 0 | 21 | Tennessee |
Josh Palmer struggled to produce in college, gathering 9 passes his first year. He finished with 23 receptions and 484 receiving yards his sophomore season, which was enough to rank third on the team in receptions and second in receiving yards. The anemic Tennessee offense proved difficult for him in which to prosper. In his junior season, Jauan Jennings took over the receiving core and Palmer found himself in the dust of his teammates. Following the departures of Jennings and Marquez Callaway, Palmer finally got his chance to be the teams No. 1 WR. In 9 games, he produced 475 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns.
Following his senior year, he entered the 2020 NFL draft. Already carrying a light production resume, he didn’t do himself any favors by running a 4.57 second 40 time. He possessed desirable size, checking in with a 6-1 and 210 pound frame with a 77-inch wingspan. Despite minimal college stats and glaring holes in his profile, he was selected with the 13th pick of the 3rd round. He didn’t get much playing time in 2021, with 270 routes run on a 39.0-percent snap share. He did, however, draw a 14-percent target share over the last 5 weeks, and earned 9 targets and 128 air yards in week 18 and only dropped one pass on the season. Despite poor next gens stats, Palmer showed that he can compete for time on this team by compiling over 3 yards after the catch per reception and showing a connection on deep balls from Justin Herbert. and could be a value in the second year of his contract with a late round fantasy ranking and ADP.
