Dynasty Leagues

On the season, Jalen Hurts has thrown for 1514 yards (No. 8) with 6 passing touchdowns (No. 17). With 77 carries (No. 1) for 293 rushing yards (No. 2) and 6 rushing TDs (No. 1), Hurts provides a fantasy-friendly floor.

Hurts owns career-best marks in True Passer Rating (100.3, No. 7),  True Completion Percentage (71.5-percent, No. 13), and Accuracy Rating (8.0, No. 8). Not surprising, he is producing a career-high 24.6 Fantasy Points Per Game (fppg) good for QB3.

The season hasn’t started as planned for off-season breakout candidate Elijah Moore. The sophomore receiver has earned only 30 targets on the season seeing a 13.6-percent Target Share (No. 70). Moore has steadily seen his Snap Share decline over the last four games. Moore has requested a trade but the Jets’ management maintains that it will not happen.

Looking for a running back that may be on sale? How about a wide receiver that is being discounted due to bad reviews? Maybe a quarterback or tight end whose price is about to skyrocket? This is the right place. Welcome to the Fantasy Supermarket

The players that are in the Fantasy Supermarket have indicators suggesting that their current value may increase in short order. I’ll be using advanced analytics and metrics from PlayerProfiler.com’s Data Analysis tool to highlight which players are worth buying into. But you have to act now because these current prices will not last long. 

On the season, Hall has 28 Targets (No. 2) with a 15.4-percent Target Share (No. 7). He has carried the ball 38 times (No. 31) this season, but his workload has steadily risen to peak at 17 carries (5 Red Zone) in Week 4. He earns 45.96 Lifetime Value points to jump three spots to RB2. Breece Hall is a BELL COW.  Buy the former Iowa State Cyclone where you can.

Despite a 90.9-percent Protection Rate (No. 1), Russell Wilson is producing a career-low 16.6 fppg (QB14). Through Week 4, Wilson has a True Completion Percentage of 67.8-percent (No. 22) and has only one QB1 finish (QB3 in Week 4). His Passing Touchdown Rate of 3.1-percent is also a career worst. He loses 6.07 Lifetime Value points to fall outside the Top 10 dynasty QBs (QB11).

Looking for a running back that may be on sale? How about a wide receiver that is being discounted due to bad reviews? Maybe a quarterback or tight end whose price is about to skyrocket? This is the right place. Welcome to the Fantasy Supermarket!

The players that are in the Fantasy Supermarket have indicators suggesting that their current value may increase in short order. I’ll be using advanced analytics and metrics from PlayerProfiler.com’s Data Analysis tool to highlight which players are worth buying into. But you have to act now because these current prices will not last long. 

Unfortunately, Pittsburgh Mitch has looked too much like Chicago Mitch. Heading into Week 3, he was putting up 5.1 (No. 33) Yards Per Attempt and a -11.8 (No. 40) Expected Points Added. On Thursday, he threw for 204 yards against the Browns. This was less than Cleveland had given up to both Joe Flacco and Baker Mayfield in Weeks 1 and 2. With the Steelers now 1-2, and near the bottom of all offensive categories, those of us that drafted Pickett should get excited, right?

After two games, Curtis Samuel has 15 receptions (No. 5) on 20 targets (No. 14) for 133 yards (No. 23) and 2 TDs (No. 7). This has translated to 21.1 (No. 9) fantasy points per game. The Commanders’ current target leader and co-receiving leader gains a massive 49.41 Lifetime Value points to climb 25 spots to WR46.

In two games, Justin Fields has a total of 28 pass attempts (No. 33). To put this into perspective, 26 quarterbacks surpassed this total in Week 2 alone. Fields has an Accuracy Rating of 6.3 (No. 32) and a True Passer Rating of 42.3-percent (No. 32). The former Ohio State Buckeye drops 14.99 Lifetime Value points and three spots to land at QB16 on PlayerProfiler’s dynasty rankings.

The worst part of our beloved game is the frequency of injuries. It’s an unfortunate byproduct of such a fast-paced, contact-heavy sport. It’s something that is important to remember as we approach the first full week of the preseason. Luckily for the NFL players, they have access to some of the best doctors in the world and can usually return to form at least by the next season.

Avoiding players that ultimately fall short of expectations is key to succeeding in fantasy football. Busts are like landmines and fantasy managers must proceed with caution to avoid blowing up their team. Limiting the number of busters in a single season is important but identifying players with the sustainable long-term value is paramount in dynasty leagues.

It’s time we voyage into the world of the NFL salary cap in order to make us better understand the business side of football. Why are we doing this? Well, we analyze college players in order to predict who will succeed and fail at the NFL level. We decipher advanced stats to determine which players are good and bad at our favorite pastime, fantasy football.

The 2022 Ravens Backfield Breakdown is part of an offseason series in which I take a deep dive into one NFL team’s backfield and examine the respective rushing performances of the players in it. In doing so, I hope to gain insights into key players from a talent evaluation standpoint. I want to use that evaluation as a baseline from a dynasty valuation standpoint.