In an earlier article, we set out to understand the structural differences between ADP in Underdog best ball drafts and FFWC high stakes drafts. Today, we take the next step and look at players whose ADPs differ from these trends and create opportunities for arbitrage between the two sites.
Rookie Draft Season for a lot of leagues has come and gone, but I still have several leagues of my own that have not yet drafted. This is our first look at a superflex rookie mock draft for August 2022. I will give my analysis for each round and hopefully you can start to see where fantasy players are valuing these rookies.
What we define as “player velocity” in this study is how much a player’s ADP changed from one season to the next. In 2021, Jonathan Taylor reached high speed. Fantasy gamers were selecting him in round three his rookie season (2020). He then shot up into the late first round in 2021 drafts. Taylor finished RB1 in half-PPR points per game (minimum twelve games played) in 2021.
Johnson reminds me a lot of Allen Robinson from a year ago. Remember when Andy Dalton and rookie Justin Fields were the best quarterbacks Robinson was going to play with? Mitchell Trubisky, ironically now teammates with Johnson, was hardly a world beater with the Bears, but he and Robinson definitely had a healthy connection.
Let’s talk about some regression candidates for 2022 from each position in fantasy football. Not all regression is negative. Analytical metrics can call for positive regression aka the regression fantasy managers want to see from their players. Okay, I have mentioned the word ‘regression’ enough (just did it again). Let’s check out some candidates that could be affected for the 2022 season.
We now have over one month of data from FFWC $350 Player Profiler Championship drafts. Here are some of the ADP Risers, or players that have moved up the most. (July 3rd to August 3rd)
This article will attempt to identify the WR targets fantasy gamers would need to excel after an RB heavy start. In a format like the FFWC, starting with three straight RBs and a TE or four straight running backs is possible…..as long as we select the right players.
Welcome to the Fantasy Football Shark Tank: Episode 4 where fantasy football takes thrive or die. A place where fantasy football propositions can gain validity or be thrown by the wayside. The sharks will be hearing some redraft takes. It has been a while, but it feels great to be back.
Nailing the teams who are poised to make these jumps can help fantasy gamers pinpoint values others may ignore. Five teams, in particular, can make such a leap. Targeting players in value spots on these teams can provide a spark to fantasy teams across the globe. This article covers five offenses slated to improve in 2022.
The time has come yet again for analysts, fans, and celebrities to come together and compete in THE premiere pro-am fantasy charity tournament, the Scott Fish Bowl. Founded in 2010 by devy-inventor Scott Fish, the Scott Fish Bowl is a place for community, philanthropy, and adapting to a very unique rule-set. This format pushes quarterbacks and pass-catchers (most specifically, elite tight ends) into a higher tier of value. Because of this, it’s vital to secure at least one top-10 quarterback and either a dominant tight end, or a pass-catching workhorse back.
Receivers are the most valuable in the early-middle to middle rounds because of the positional advantage that you can gain by prioritizing other positions in the first few rounds. Target hogs that are itching to explode like CeeDee Lamb and D.J. Moore are ripe for the taking in the early-middle rounds. The drop off in value is much steeper at quarterback, running back, and tight end in this range. Overall, the objective of this draft was to capitalize on value discounts while putting together a diverse build catered to the unique scoring format.
