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Summer Heat Index: Decoding Preseason NFL News for Fantasy Football

by Kyle Dvorchak, September 3, 2019

Reggie Bonnafon’s athleticism indicated that he could have been a productive player in college if he wasn’t living in the shadow of Jackson at Louisville. His 89th-percentile Burst Score and 70th-percentile Agility Score give him a clear advantage over anyone behind Christian McCaffrey in Carolina’s backfield. 

Damion Willis is drawing some attention because he finished his college career strong at Troy. He recorded a 42.1-percent College Dominator Rating while maintaining 15.6 yards per catch. One good season of beating Sun Belt corners doesn’t make Willis an interesting option, even late in drafts.

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Let’s all agree to stop drafting possession receivers in best ball leagues

by Mark Leipold, September 3, 2019

Marquez Valdes-Scantling will return several big weeks and several duds, which works out well because the computer sets your lineup for you retroactively. His 117.6 (97th-percentile among qualified receivers) Speed Score alone warrants taking him over Geronimo Allison, who has an 84.7 (23rd-percentile) Speed Score.

The most telling sign that Courtland Sutton is the proper best ball pick over Emmanuel Sanders is that he posted a 14.6 (No. 19) Average Target Distance compared to 10.0 (No. 72) for Sanders. If the target quality evens out between the two, Sutton should return better value in best ball formats.

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Is Donte Moncrief a discount Mike Williams?

by Josh Crocker, August 30, 2019

If we compare Mike Williams to someone like Dez Bryant, who actually made a career of being a TD scorer, Williams falls further behind. Dez Bryant, in college, was an absolute red zone destroyer. He had a year wherein he scored 76 percent of his team’s receiving touchdowns.

Mike Williams is not what he’s being sold to be. He’s not the next Dez Bryant. He had one season of  incredible TD variance. Rounds and rounds later Donte Monciref is a bargain. He showed potential to be a red zone weapon on the college field.

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Why Miami must play Ryan Fitzpatrick to unlock skill position talent

by Matthew M. Stevens, August 29, 2019

Ryan Fitzpatrick holds the key that can unlock the potential of Miami’s WRs in fantasy football: the deep ball. And with two speedsters who can stretch the field in Kenny Stills and Albert Wilson, plus the addition of rookie Preston Williams, Fitzpatrick has options.

The Dolphins deep threats are a match made in heaven for Fitzpatrick. He appeared in eight games for Tampa Bay in 2018 and his play elevated the Bucs receiving corps and produced massive fantasy performances. His 51.5 Deep Ball Completion Percentage and 6.2 air yards per attempt led the NFL, and his 8.3 adjusted yards per attempt ranked No. 3.

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3 players you cannot leave your fantasy football draft without

by Jesse Reeves, August 28, 2019

Without projecting for a 16-game pace, Dalvin Cook still put up incredible efficiency numbers as a runner and receiver. His 66 (No. 9) Evaded Tackles and 38.2-percent (No. 2) Juke Rate amounted to 273 (No. 22) Yards Created with a 1.58 (No. 17) Yards Created Per Touch. Bundling efficiency, production, and volume, Cook is a player you can’t afford to leave your draft without in 2019.

Hunter Henry’s 2017 season suggests that he became a large part of the Chargers receiving gameplan and he ascended with the increase in opportunity. Contrary to the thought that his TD efficiency was due to lack of usage in the red zone, he managed a 19.7-percent (No. 14) Red Zone Target Share as well as a 21.6-percent (No. 16) End Zone Target Share in 2017.

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Andrew Luck is retired, but all is not lost in Indianapolis

by Taylor Smith, August 27, 2019

While his 2017 season didn’t inspire confidence, new Colts starting QB Jacoby Brissett has a lot more to work with this season. His Protection Rate should skyrocket from the No. 25 rank that he saw in 2017, up to the No. 4 rank that Andrew Luck saw last season. His improved weapons should also boost his Supporting Cast Efficiency from No. 32 to the No. 13 that Luck enjoyed last season.

With multiple offseasons under his belt, Brissett’s connection with WR T.Y. Hilton should improve. Hilton only saw a 67 percent Catchable Target Rate in 2017, which ranked No. 90. When his efficiency rises with his typical volume, he’ll return value on his falling ADP. The same goes for RB Marlon Mack, who is primed to see bell-cow work this season.

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Kenny Golladay: Breakout or Bust?

by Josh Crocker, August 26, 2019

With a price tag at around the 50th overall pick, as the 18th receiver off the board on average, fantasy gamers have to answer the question of whether Kenny Golladay will be a breakout or a bust in 2019. In this range of drafts, we need to pick players with the upside to finish in the top 12 at their position.

Golladay is a size-speed specimen at 6-4, 218-pounds, with a 110.7 (93rd-percentile) Speed Score that draws comparison to the great Calvin Johnson. He has been productive at every opportunity and was consistently productive from an early age. He is a precocious producer with athleticism to match. 

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Why THIS is the year for Zero Wide Receiver

by Taylor Smith, August 23, 2019

The Zero-WR draft strategy will prove to be fruitful in 2019. The largest edge in fantasy last season was premium tight ends and bell-cow running backs. Fantasy gamers need to target these guys in the first few rounds before switching their attention to receivers.

The breakout wide receivers available after round four highlight the need for Zero-WR drafts. Tyler Lockett and his other-worldly efficiency step into a high-volume role as Russell Wilson’s No.1 target. Don’t forget about Christian Kirk, who finished No. 5 in Target Premium with Josh Rosen as his QB. Now with Kyler Murray slinging passes, he’s primed for a breakout in 2019.

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