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Marquez Callaway Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Taylor Smith, April 18, 2020

While Marquez Callaway doesn’t have the gaudy counting stats of Jerry Jeudy or CeeDee Lamb, he does have impressive market share numbers. He posted a 33.1-percent (61st-percentile among qualified wide receivers) College Dominator Rating at Tennessee with a 19.4 (80th-percentile) Breakout Age. In his career, he totaled 629 punt return yards with three touchdowns. While it doesn’t show up in most boxscores, this skill should be recognized.

Despite plenty of positives on his resume, Callaway still looks like a late-round option for many NFL teams. He’s not entirely polished and doesn’t have that freak-level athleticism. That will cause most teams to view him as a developmental pick instead of an instant contributor. If he catches fire as a returner, he’ll command more opportunities on offense. That will be his key to being a fantasy asset sooner rather than later.

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Zack Moss Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Edward DeLauter, April 18, 2020

Zack Moss entered the predraft the process as the tape grinder’s darling. He broke out at age 19.7 when he amassed over 1,400 yards from scrimmage. Moss has the sixth-highest College Dominator Rating in the 2020 rookie running back class at 35.7-percent, 82nd-percentile among qualified running backs. He also is more than adequate in the passing game with a 9.0-percent (68th-percentile) College Target Share.

Unfortunately, excitement around Moss dissipated after an atrocious Combine performance. He posted a sluggish 4.65 (31st-percentile) 40-Yard Dash. Further, his lateral agility and explosiveness are legitimate questions after failing to perform the drills required to register a Burst Score, and Agility Score. Tape grinders may pound the table to draft him in the latter half of the first round. However, he looks eerily similar to Montee Ball, a player that lasted only two years in the NFL.

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Players to Buy and Sell in Dynasty Leagues Before the NFL Draft – Part 2

by Ron Stewart, April 18, 2020

Derrius Guice is still a special talent at only 22 years old. With second round draft capital and a 110.2 (91st-percentile) Speed Score, he is most comparable to Ezekiel Elliott. Between the tackles, Guice is a Nick Chubb-level talent, we just haven’t seen it yet. Even 14 games of Guice would be a spectacle, even if Washington’s offense underperforms in 2020. He has the chance to be this year’s Dalvin Cook.

Despite his monstrous 2019, Derrick Henry is a risky long term asset due to his age. The running back Age Apex is around age 25. After this mark, production tends to fall off a cliff. Todd Gurley, Le’Veon Bell, and Melvin Gordon provide a window into Henry’s future as a dynasty asset. Since his value can only tumble from here, he’s a sell candidate. His long term outlook is especially concerning considering that the Titans have been hesitant to extend him.

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Kalija Lipscomb Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Matthew M. Stevens, April 17, 2020

Kalija Lipscomb is regarded as a refined route runner by scouts, who view him negatively for his lack of size, failure to win contested catches and running at a one-dimensional speed. His lack of a second gear caps his ability to gain yards after the catch and burn DBs on deep balls. However, he has the potential to carve out a niche as a possession receiver who thrives on short yardage. That his Best Comparable Player, Jermaine Kearse, averaged 12.9 YPR for his pro career makes perfect sense.

Lipscomb projects to be a Day 3 wide receiver at best and he may slip into undrafted territory. Given his size, college YPR and lack of athleticism, he profiles as a WR3 or reserve role-player. His SEC pedigree, 92nd-percentile Breakout Age and demonstrated versatility give him a shot to become an outlier and ascend to elite status, but a niche role appears much more probable.

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Chase Claypool Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Edward DeLauter, April 17, 2020

Chase Claypool emerged from the 2020 NFL Combine a surprise performer. At 6-4 and weighing 238-pounds, he ran an impressive 4.42 (89th-percentile among qualified wide receivers) 40-Yard dash, good for an otherworldly 129.8 (99th-percentile) Speed Score. He also impressed in the Broad Jump and Vertical Jump, resulting in a 131.9 (92nd-percentile) Burst Score. Simply put, he is a size-speed freak athlete.

The advanced metrics and data clearly indicate that Claypool’s NFL success is contingent on transferring to the tight end position. Unfortunately, he doesn’t seem interested in making the change. For this reason, he is a fade in upcoming dynasty rookie drafts unless a team decides to transfer him over the tight end position. If a team does select him as a tight end, he becomes the TE1 of the 2020 rookie class and should be drafted accordingly.

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Rico Dowdle Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Matthew Gajewski, April 17, 2020

While Rico Dowdle’s 23.1-percent (45th-percentile among qualified running backs) College Dominator Rating and 5.2 (38th-percentile) College YPC leave room for improvement, injury and poor offensive line play surely influenced these numbers. South Carolina’s offense as a whole ranked No. 114 in rushing yards per game (118.5), with a 5.23-percent (No. 41) sack rate. Positively, he managed 22 receptions as a senior, showing the ability to play on third down.

Like most Day 3 running backs, Dowdle’s fantasy viability comes down to draft capital and landing spot. Plenty of Day 3 success stories exist, but most prospects of this caliber fail to make an impact at the next level. Unlike most late-round prospects, Dowdle possesses size, athleticism, and pass catching ability. At the moment, he warrants a late-round flier in dynasty unless a team shows significant interest come draft day.

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D.J. Moore is about to have a Michael Thomas-level season

by Taylor Smith, April 17, 2020

D.J. Moore is the only player on this Carolina Panthers team that profiles as an alpha receiver. We always knew he would be a talented NFL receiver with his 53.3-percent (97th-percentile among qualified wide receivers) College Dominator Rating and his 18.4 (98th-percentile) Breakout Age, but his real attraction is his athleticism. With a 108.5 (89th-percentile) Speed Score, a 133.2 (94th-percentile) Burst Score, and an 11.02 (73th-percentile) Agility Score, he possesses elite athleticism relative to his size across the board.

Moore is locked in for WR1 numbers this season. At 23 years old with upgrades at quarterback and head coach, he is primed to be an elite fantasy receiver for years to come. That makes him a priority asset to target in dynasty leagues regardless of how expensive he is. Moore is the No. 3 wide receiver in our dynasty rankings. After this 2020 we are about to witness, that rank will rise.

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Jalen Reagor Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Ray Marzarella, April 16, 2020

There are a few wide receivers in the 2020 NFL Draft class who are the poster children for raw statistics not telling the full story of a player’s college production. We can add Jalen Reagor to that list. Despite TCU’s passing offense ranking No. 52, No. 87 and No. 90 in descending order in his time there, Reagor still balled out. He recorded an average College Dominator Rating of 32.0-percent over his three college seasons, while averaging an impressive 26.7-percent average receiving yardage market share.

If Percy Harvin were 20-pounds heavier without migraine issues and came into the NFL 10 years later, he would be Jalen Reagor. That’s a player I want to make sure I leave my rookie drafts with if I’m picking near the back half of the first round. He’s a locked-in Top 5 wide receiver on PlayerProfiler’s rookie rankings who recorded an elite 18.7 (95th-percentile among qualified wide receivers) Breakout Age and is a threat to score from anywhere on any play.

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Van Jefferson Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Neil Dutton, April 16, 2020

Van Jefferson’s inability to take part in the athletic drills at the Combine means that we have only his college production to judge him by. To be frank, it’s not great. Film grinders have long been a fan, complimenting him on his many pro worthy traits. His route-running ability chief among them. He may well be a route-running savant, but the fact remains that he will be 24 years old when the 2020 season begins and spent four years in college.

The 2020 wide receiver draft class is, as has been mentioned on countless occasions across countless platforms, historically deep. Therefore, there’s a strong likelihood that teams that miss out early may look to correct this in the later rounds. Jefferson’s route running skills, allied to NFL pedigree, should certainly see him taken. Though an awful lot would have to go right for him, and wrong for other players, for him to emerge as a fantasy-relevant contributor at the NFL level.

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Justin Jefferson Rookie Profile and Fantasy Football Outlook

by Marc Mathyk, April 16, 2020

Many viewed Justin Jefferson as an average to above-average athlete before the Combine. He ran a 4.43 40-Yard Dash, which is in the 86th-percentile among qualified wide receivers. This translate to a 104.9 (83rd-percentile) Speed Score. Not only that, but his 37.5-inch Vertical Jump and 126-inch Broad Jump give him a 126.8 (80th-percentile) Burst Score. This enables him to get a quick release before using his impressive speed to gain separation and get open.

Jefferson’s size and crisp route running remind many people of Keenan Allen and Tyler Boyd. Fortunately, Jefferson is a much faster and more explosive version of both. His Best Comparable Player is a best-case scenario in the legendary Reggie Wayne. Like Wayne before him, Jefferson is a projected first round NFL Draft pick. As such, he finds himself locked into the Top 3 on PlayerProfiler’s rookie wide receiver rankings. 

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