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The Pareto Principals Week 9: Fighting FOMO

by Jakob Sanderson, November 6, 2021

Based on the flurry of injury news it is difficult to grasp where ownership will ultimately settle at a game level. One priority spot – if ownership remains under control – will be the Miami passing game against Houston. Tua Tagovailoa has been a strong fantasy option in every good matchup thus far and Houston presents the best there is. I love prioritizing pass-heavy offenses as heavy favourites as they are less prone to Game Script.

Is Amari Cooper underpriced this week at $5,700? absolutely. Will he be in my cash lineup? Certainly. But his inefficient salary does not make him any more likely to post 30-plus points. Fading a 20-percent (or higher?) rostered Cooper could eliminate a high percentage of the field should be bust, and even if he hits above his median, it’s unlikely to truly bury you.

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NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks for Week 9

by Dookie Hogue, November 5, 2021

With the news that Aaron Rodgers will miss Sunday’s game after testing positive for COVID-19, Jordan Love becomes our Upside Finder’s top play at quarterback. Love checks all the boxes we love in an upside-streamer: he’s bargain-priced, has a great matchup, and has a solid supporting cast. Near the minimum price, his $4400 tag only requires him to score around 18 DKPt for tournament viability. This value also opens up pricey spend-ups at other positions as well.

Having the Broncos stack not pan out last week would dissuade some from chasing matchups but I love pain. The Dolphins rank dead last in Passing Yards Allowed and Sack Percentage (304 Passing Yards Per Game/ 3.58-percent Sack Rate). Brandin Cooks gets one of the best matchups on the slate yet projects under 2-percent ownership. His 41.9-percent Air Yards Share leads the league at the position and his 29.2-percent Target Share is also good for No. 6. My stack preference here is a Texans skinny stack with a Mike Gesicki runback.

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Three DFS Quarterback-Wide Receiver Stacks for Week 9

by Taylor Williams, November 5, 2021

Since returning from injury, Tua Tagovailoa is on pace to throw the second most passes per game. In a dream matchup against the Texans this week, pair him with Jaylen Waddle for maximum upside in GPP tournaments. Also explore a leverage option by paying up for the Cowboys to avoid Amari Cooper chalk.

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Week 9 TNF Showdown: New York Jets At Indianapolis Colts

by Matt Babich, November 4, 2021

The Jets pulled off a miracle last week, but are not a good team. Mike White looks to be serviceable, but will rely on Michael Carter and Ty Johnson heavily to move the chains. Jamison Crowder is the only Jets receiver who will see enough opportunity to be relevant.

The Colts are going to handily win this game, and Jonathan Taylor is going to put the offense on his back yet again. He’s totaled over 200 yards in 5 straight games. Carson Wentz remains a middle-of-the-road option, and Michael Pittman is the Colts’ alpha.

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The Fantasy Supermarket: Trade Targets Going Into Week 9

by Matt Babich, November 3, 2021

Justin Jefferson and Mike Williams are two receivers who have nuclear upside and significant opportunity shares, but have had somewhat of a slump the past few weeks. Both of their teams throw at a high rate and perform better in games where they’re heavily featured. This is the time to take advantage of the value dip.

Jerry Jeudy came off of IR last week and had a solid first outing. He led the team in receptions and logged over 70-percent of the snaps. Jeudy is a dynamic play-maker that suits Teddy Bridgewater’s style of play. You can aquire him now at his near-lowest value.

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Matchup Monitor: Week 9

by Aditya Fuldeore, November 2, 2021

Raven safeties and linebackers have struggled in coverage and the defense overall has not been great at tackling. Tyler Conklin is the fourth-highest targeted receiver in a Vikings offense that entered Week 8 with the fifth-most team pass plays in the league. Conklin is a good gamble to take against a struggling defense on a pass-favorable team.

Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, and Tim Patrick combined for nine receptions last week. Heading into Week 8, Sutton led the league with 928 (No. 1) Air Yards, but subsequently had 480 (No. 1) Unrealized Air Yards. Both Patrick’s and Sutton’s Target Accuracies and yards per target ranked outside the top 25 receivers entering Week 8. Meanwhile, Jeudy has just returned from injury. The Broncos receivers are victims of mediocre QB play and will struggle to put up fantasy numbers against a solid Dallas secondary.

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Week 9 Waiver Wire Watchlist

by Theo Gremminger, November 2, 2021

Jeremy McNichols has a leg up on Adrian Peterson (for now) as the incumbent back, and is a capable pass-catcher. He should see a good deal of work this week, but predicting the usage starting in Week 10 is difficult. If I could roster one of the two, I would take McNichols, but you want exposure to both backs. This could end up being an ugly committee backfield, but one of the two has a shot at RB2 production the rest of the way. 

If Kyle Pitts were not Kyle Pitts, Pat Freiermuth would have a lot more buzz right now. He is flashing and looks like a potential future top-five fantasy TE. Right now, he should be viewed as a streamer/bye-week fill-in, but he could be a locked-in fantasy starter by playoff time if his role stays the same.

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Lessons Learned – Week 8

by Al Scherer, November 1, 2021

Enjoy Mike White’s performance. Don’t expect it to continue, but today showed us that in an emergency, go ahead and break the glass that is any starting NFL QB. Even in really bad matchups, when you have to take a chance, you have to take a chance.

Like the Jets, lean on Michael Carter. He fits today’s NFL. He’s agile, quick enough, and a solid pass catcher. Receiving backs will always put up stats. He has now proven himself a high-floor, high-ceiling rookie. Winning or losing, the Jets will give him the ball.

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Week 8 MNF Showdown: New York Giants At Kansas City Chiefs

by Matt Babich, November 1, 2021

Daniel Jones and the Giants have been up and down, but have shown the ability to hang around and produce close games. Sterling Shepard and Kadarius Toney have gobbled up targets and have been solid WR2’s. Devontae Booker has been quietly effective as the temporary lead back, but looks to improve on a stretch of RB3 performances.

There’s not much to say about the Chiefs. While the offense has struggled recently, this is the perfect get-right spot. They elite playmakers weren’t leaving lineups regardless. Other players like Darrel Williams and Mecole Hardman are high risk/high reward.

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