Elijah Mitchell To Share The Rushing Load In SF?
San Francisco 49ers' second-year running back Elijah ...
Year Year | Games Played Games | Rush Attempts Atts | Rush Yards Rush Yds | Yards Per Carry YPC | Receptions Rec | Receiving Yards Rec Yds | Total Touchdowns TD | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 11 | 207 | 963 | 4.7 | 19 | 137 | 6 | 15.0 (#14) |
Snap Share | Opportunity Share | Weighted Opportunities | Team Run Plays Per Game Team Run Plays/Gm | Carries | Targets | Red Zone Touches |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64.2% | 80.8% | 155.6 (14.1 p/g) | 27.4 (1.92 pace) | 207 (18.8 p/g) | 20 (1.8 p/g) | 23 (3 gl) |
#13 | #3 | #31 | #9 | #13 | #63 | #41 |
Rushing Yards | Receiving Yards | Receptions | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Opportunity Fantasy Pts/Opportunity | Fantasy Points Per Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Gm |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
963 (87.5 p/g) | 137 (12.5 p/g) | 19 (1.7 p/g) | 6 (2.7% rate) | 0.73 | 15.0 (-1.90) | 16.9 (-1.90diff) |
#8 | #57 | #56 | #27 | #54 | #14 | #9 |
Target Share | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % | Yards Per Reception | Yards Per Route Run | Catch Rate Catch Rate | Drops |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7.0% | 124 (11.3 p/g) | 39.9% | 7.2 (6.9 ypt) | 1.10 | 95.0% | 0 (0.0% rate) |
- | #51 | #25 | - | - | - | - |
True Yards Per Carry | Yards Per Touch | Juke Rate | Evaded Tackles | Breakaway Run Rate | Breakaway Runs | Best Ball Points Added |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.5 (4.7 ypc) | 4.9 | 21.7% | 49 (4.5 p/g) | 3.9% | 8 (0.7 p/g) | 77.2 (7.02 p/g) |
#16 | #22 | #36 | #29 | #30 | #17 | #24 |
Yards Created | Yards Created Per Touch Yards Created/Touch | Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) Expected Pts Added | Dominator Rating | Game Script | Run Blocking Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
537 (48.8 p/g) | 2.38 | +2.6 | -19.4 | 23.7% | +1.23 | 65.9 |
#27 | #34 | #21 | #142 | #17 | #10 | #25 |
Average Defenders In The Box Defenders In The Box | Stacked Front Carry Rate Stacked Front Carry % | Base Front Carry Rate Base Front Carry % | Light Front Carry Rate Light Front Carry % | Shotgun Carry Rate Shotgun Carry % | Under Center Carry Rate Under Center Carry % | Stuffed Runs |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.7 | 13.0% (2.4 ypc) | 56.0% (4.7 ypc) | 30.0% (5.2 ypc) | 25.6% (1.0 ypc) | 74.4% (1.0 ypc) | 34 (16.4% rate) |
#12 | #29 | #2 | #49 | #37 | #20 | #10 |
Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Snap Share Snap Share | Carries Carries | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Total Yards Total Yards | Total TDs Total TDs | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | DET | 63.0% | 19 (2 rz) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 104 | 1 | 16.4 (#15) |
2 | PHI | 60.3% | 17 (1 rz) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 0 | 7.3 (#37) |
5 | ARI | 66.1% | 9 (1 rz) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 62 | 0 | 8.2 (#39) |
7 | IND | 64.8% | 18 (1 rz) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 1 | 16.7 (#12) |
8 | CHI | 69.2% | 18 (5 rz) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 137 | 1 | 19.7 (#8) |
9 | ARI | 64.9% | 8 (0 rz) | 26 | 5 | 5 | 79 | 0 | 12.9 (#19) |
10 | LAR | 52.3% | 27 (2 rz) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 0 | 9.1 (#29) |
12 | MIN | 69.2% | 27 (2 rz) | 13 | 6 | 5 | 168 | 1 | 27.8 (#3) |
13 | SEA | 87.3% | 22 (4 rz) | 16 | 3 | 3 | 84 | 1 | 17.4 (#13) |
17 | HOU | 60.7% | 21 (1 rz) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 130 | 1 | 21.0 (#9) |
18 | LAR | 53.7% | 21 (2 rz) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 0 | 8.5 (#34) |
19 | DAL | 71.4% | 27 (1 rz) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 85 | 1 | 15.5 (#6) |
20 | GB | 71.2% | 17 (2 rz) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 0 | 10.1 (#7) |
21 | LAR | 48.0% | 11 (1 rz) | 10 | 3 | 3 | 70 | 0 | 10.0 (#4) |
Value Over Stream: Valuation scheme calculates a player’s fantasy pts/game over the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current season (or previous year during the offseason) and adjusts for positional bust rates. VOS rank in parenthesis spans all positions, enabling player comparisons across QB's, RB's, WR's, and TE's.
San Francisco 49ers' second-year running back Elijah ...
San Francisco 49ers running back Elijah Mitchell set a ...
San Francisco 49ers running back Elijah Mitchell (knee) was...
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Year Year | Games Games | Rush Attempts Rush Atts | Rushing Yards Rush Yrds | Total Touchdowns TDs | Receptions Rec | Receiving Yards Rec Yrds | Target Share Tgt Share | Age Age | School School |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 | 5 (RB) | 42 | 257 (4 tds) | 5 | 3 (4 tgts) | 25 | 1.1% | 19 | Louisiana Lafayette |
2018 | 13 (RB) | 146 | 985 (13 tds) | 16 | 20 (21 tgts) | 349 | 6.0% | 20 | Louisiana Lafayette |
2019 | 14 (RB) | 198 | 1,147 (16 tds) | 17 | 10 (14 tgts) | 70 | 3.4% | 21 | Louisiana Lafayette |
2020 | 10 (RB) | 141 | 878 (8 tds) | 8 | 16 (19 tgts) | 153 | 6.1% | 22 | Louisiana Lafayette |
Despite facing long odds for playing time early in his career, Elijah Mitchell made it very apparent early on that he was the best rookie in San Francisco’s backfield, when he rushed for 19-106-1 his his Week 1 debut against the Detroit Lions, and followed that up with four more 100-yard rushing games over the year. Mitchell would finish his rookie season with a rushing line of 207-963-5 in just 11 games played. Stretched over a 17-game season, Mitchell’s per game totals projected him for an absurd 320-1488-8. He missed six games due to a myriad of injuries that included a shoulder strain, fractured finger, knee injury and concussion, which makes for some decent wear and tear on a first year running back.
Possessing a 4.40 40 time and an upper echelon speed score (107.3) and burst score (127.8), Mitchell has the tools to be one of the more explosive backs in the NFL. He ranked 17th amongst running backs with eight breakaway runs, but had a breakaway run rate of ust 3.9% (RB35). The 49ers clearly saw the value in having Mitchell in their lineup, giving him an 80.3% opportunity share, which ranked third-highest amongst running backs in 2021. His 207 carries on the season ranked 13th in the league, and came on an offense that prioritized the run to the tune of 33.2 rush attempts per game, the second most team rush attempts in the league.
Mitchell finished eighth in rushing yards last season (963), and had a fantasy ranking of a high-end RB2 in fantasy points per game (15.0). With veteran running back Raheem Mostert likely out of the way heading into 2022, there’s no reason to believe that at the very least Mitchell can’t return to a fringe-RB1 in 2022. With that being said, his ceiling looks like that of a future RB1, although that ceiling could be a bit capped with second-year quarterback Trey Lance expected to be named the team’s starter, as Lance brings his own rushing upside that could dial back Mitchell’s opportunities.
Mitchell saw no shortage of snaps last season, and finished the year with a 64.2% snap share. As a receiver he averaged 11.3 routes run per game and had no drops on the season, but saw just a 7.0% target share. He had 49 broken tackles on the year and was ranked 27th in total yards created at 537. Mitchell could carry a high ADP heading into next season after a promising rookie year.