Broncos Restructure Courtland Sutton's Contract
The Denver Broncos converted $10.5 million of wide receiver ...
Year Year | Games Played Games | Targets Tgts | Receptions Rec | Receiving Yards Rec Yds | Yards Per Reception YPR | Air Yards Air Yds | Receiving TDs Rec TD | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 17 | 98 | 58 | 776 | 13.4 | 1534 | 2 | 8.8 (#51) |
2020 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 66 | 22.0 | 102 | 0 | 9.6 |
2019 | 16 | 126 | 72 | 1112 | 15.4 | 1560 | 6 | 13.9 (#27) |
2018 | 16 | 84 | 42 | 704 | 16.8 | 1229 | 4 | 8.5 (#63) |
Targets | Target Share | Target Rate | Snap Share | Slot Snaps | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
98 (5.8 p/g) | 18.9% (16.2% rz) | 19.8% | 85.5% | 92 (10.4% rate) | 495 (29.1 p/g) | 91.5% |
#36 | #42 | #62 | #15 | #104 | #22 | #19 |
Air Yards | Air Yards Share | Average Target Distance (ADOT) Target Depth (ADOT) | Deep Targets | Red Zone Targets Red Zone Tgts | Target Quality Rating | Catchable Target Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1534 (90.2 p/g) | 34.5% | 15.7 | 29 (1.7 p/g) | 11 (8 rec) | 7.84 | 81.6% (80 tgts) |
#8 | #16 | #2 | #6 | #38 | #1 | #16 |
Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yards | Yards After Catch YAC | Unrealized Air Yards | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Game |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
58 (3.4 p/g) | 776 (45.6 p/g) | 134 (1.4 p/tgt) | 892 (9.1 p/tgt) | 2 (3.4% rate) | 8.8 | 10.0 (-1.14 diff) |
#39 | #38 | #77 | #5 | #79 | #51 | #51 |
Target Accuracy | Yards Per Route Run | Formation Adjusted Yards Per Route Run Formation Adjusted YPRR | Yards Per Target YPT | Yards Per Reception YPR | Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Yards/Team Pass Attempt | True Catch Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7.2 | 1.57 | 1.38 | 7.9 | 13.4 | 1.43 | 72.5% (59.2% actual) |
#54 | #64 | #64 | #52 | #37 | #36 | #93 |
Target Separation | Average Cushion | Target Premium | Dominator Rating | Juke Rate | Drops | Contested Catch Rate Contested Catch % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.60 | 4.21 | -8.9% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 6 (6.1% rate) | 30.0% (20 tgts) |
#55 | #80 | #70 | #62 | #35 | #22 | #64 |
Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) EPA | QB Rating Per Target QB Rating Per Target | Best Ball Points Added Best Ball Pts Added | Fantasy Points Per Route Run Fantasy Points Per Route | Fantasy Points Per Target Fantasy Points Per Target | Total Fantasy Points Total Fantasy Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-0.9 | +30.0 | 86.9 | 48.7 (2.9 p/g) | 0.30 | 1.53 | 150.24 |
#55 | #48 | #82 | #47 | #75 | #73 | #44 |
Total Route Wins | Route Win Rate | Routes vs Man | Win Rate vs Man | Target Rate vs Man | Target Separation vs Man Tgt Separation vs Man | Fantasy Points Per Target vs Man Fantasy Pts/Tgt vs Man |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
166 | 32.9% | 300 (191 zone) | 31.3% (34.0% zone) | 20.3% (17.8% zone) | 1.62 (1.70 zone) | 1.63 (1.36 zone) |
#38 | #83 | #13 | #65 | #64 | #43 | #57 |
Targets | Target Share | Target Rate | Snap Share | Slot Snaps | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 (6.0 p/g) | 15.8% (0.0% rz) | 40.0% | 41.7% | 2 (6.7% rate) | 15 (15.0 p/g) | 38.5% |
#180 | - | - | #116 | #219 | #206 | - |
Air Yards | Air Yards Share | Average Target Distance (ADOT) Target Depth (ADOT) | Deep Targets | Red Zone Targets Red Zone Tgts | Target Quality Rating | Catchable Target Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
102 (102.0 p/g) | 20.4% | 17.0 | 3 (3.0 p/g) | 0 (0 rec) | 3.00 | 50.0% (3 tgts) |
- | - | - | #117 | #181 | - | - |
Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yards | Yards After Catch YAC | Unrealized Air Yards | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Game |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 (3.0 p/g) | 66 (66.0 p/g) | 8 (1.3 p/tgt) | 44 (7.3 p/tgt) | 0 (0.0% rate) | 9.6 | 11.5 (-1.89 diff) |
#185 | #166 | #189 | #171 | #143 | - | - |
Target Accuracy | Yards Per Route Run | Formation Adjusted Yards Per Route Run Formation Adjusted YPRR | Yards Per Target YPT | Yards Per Reception YPR | Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Yards/Team Pass Attempt | True Catch Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18.0 | 4.40 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 0.92 | 100.0% (50.0% actual) |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Target Separation | Average Cushion | Target Premium | Dominator Rating | Juke Rate | Drops | Contested Catch Rate Contested Catch % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0.67 | 6.93 | -0.2% | 0.0% | - | 1 (16.7% rate) | 0.0% (2 tgts) |
- | - | #98 | - | - | #113 | - |
Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) EPA | QB Rating Per Target QB Rating Per Target | Best Ball Points Added Best Ball Pts Added | Fantasy Points Per Route Run Fantasy Points Per Route | Fantasy Points Per Target Fantasy Points Per Target | Total Fantasy Points Total Fantasy Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+10.3 | -5.4 | 20.1 | 0.2 (0.2 p/g) | 0.64 | 1.60 | 9.60 |
#27 | #238 | - | #150 | - | - | #181 |
Targets | Target Share | Target Rate | Snap Share | Slot Snaps | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
126 (7.9 p/g) | 26.1% (28.2% rz) | 28.1% | 95.5% | 97 (11.1% rate) | 448 (28.0 p/g) | 88.9% |
#15 | #7 | #13 | #10 | #85 | #24 | #11 |
Air Yards | Air Yards Share | Average Target Distance (ADOT) Target Depth (ADOT) | Deep Targets | Red Zone Targets Red Zone Tgts | Target Quality Rating | Catchable Target Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1560 (97.5 p/g) | 42.9% | 12.4 | 26 (1.6 p/g) | 20 (11 rec) | 5.42 | 73.0% (92 tgts) |
#10 | #1 | #38 | #11 | #7 | #66 | #79 |
Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yards | Yards After Catch YAC | Unrealized Air Yards | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Game |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 (4.5 p/g) | 1112 (69.5 p/g) | 325 (2.6 p/tgt) | 773 (6.1 p/tgt) | 6 (8.0% rate) | 13.9 | - |
#20 | #17 | #17 | #13 | #23 | #27 | - |
Target Accuracy | Yards Per Route Run | Formation Adjusted Yards Per Route Run Formation Adjusted YPRR | Yards Per Target YPT | Yards Per Reception YPR | Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Yards/Team Pass Attempt | True Catch Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.4 | 2.48 | - | 8.8 | 15.4 | 2.21 | 78.3% (57.1% actual) |
#90 | #12 | - | #33 | #20 | #10 | #73 |
Target Separation | Average Cushion | Target Premium | Dominator Rating | Juke Rate | Drops | Contested Catch Rate Contested Catch % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.58 | 4.04 | +23.7% | 35.1% | - | 3 (2.4% rate) | 37.5% (24 tgts) |
#41 | #54 | #16 | #6 | - | #61 | #51 |
Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) EPA | QB Rating Per Target QB Rating Per Target | Best Ball Points Added Best Ball Pts Added | Fantasy Points Per Route Run Fantasy Points Per Route | Fantasy Points Per Target Fantasy Points Per Target | Total Fantasy Points Total Fantasy Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-1.3 | +76.0 | 92.4 | 84.0 (5.3 p/g) | 0.50 | 1.77 | 222.42 |
#48 | #9 | #53 | #28 | #23 | #47 | #19 |
Targets | Target Share | Target Rate | Snap Share | Slot Snaps | Routes Run | Route Participation Route % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
84 (5.2 p/g) | 14.9% (11.9% rz) | 18.4% | 79.5% | 120 (15.4% rate) | 456 (28.5 p/g) | 77.6% |
#44 | #72 | #94 | #56 | #68 | #21 | #53 |
Air Yards | Air Yards Share | Average Target Distance (ADOT) Target Depth (ADOT) | Deep Targets | Red Zone Targets Red Zone Tgts | Target Quality Rating | Catchable Target Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1229 (76.8 p/g) | 27.1% | 14.6 | - (0.0 p/g) | 8 (2 rec) | 5.98 | 72.6% (61 tgts) |
#21 | #34 | #19 | - | #60 | #38 | #75 |
Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yards | Yards After Catch YAC | Unrealized Air Yards | Total TDs | Fantasy Points Per Game Fantasy Pts/Game | Expected Fantasy Points Per Game Expected Fantasy Pts/Game |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
42 (2.6 p/g) | 704 (44.0 p/g) | 164 (2.0 p/tgt) | 689 (8.2 p/tgt) | 4 | 8.5 | - |
#57 | #41 | #63 | #21 | #52 | #63 | - |
Target Accuracy | Yards Per Route Run | Formation Adjusted Yards Per Route Run Formation Adjusted YPRR | Yards Per Target YPT | Yards Per Reception YPR | Yards Per Team Pass Attempt Yards/Team Pass Attempt | True Catch Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6.7 | 1.54 | - | 8.4 | 16.8 | 1.20 | 68.9% (50.0% actual) |
#75 | #77 | - | #43 | #11 | #66 | #103 |
Target Separation | Average Cushion | Target Premium | Dominator Rating | Juke Rate | Drops | Contested Catch Rate Contested Catch % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.12 | 4.05 | +6.2% | 19.5% | - | 6 (7.1% rate) | 34.8% (23 tgts) |
#94 | #55 | #39 | #53 | - | #18 | #78 |
Production Premium | Expected Points Added (EPA) EPA | QB Rating Per Target QB Rating Per Target | Best Ball Points Added Best Ball Pts Added | Fantasy Points Per Route Run Fantasy Points Per Route | Fantasy Points Per Target Fantasy Points Per Target | Total Fantasy Points Total Fantasy Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
-3.3 | - | 79.7 | 15.8 (1.0 p/g) | 0.30 | 1.62 | 136.30 |
#53 | - | #84 | #155 | #90 | #71 | #51 |
Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Primary Corner Primary Corner | Snap Share Snap Share | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Receiving Yards Receiving Yards | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | NYG | James Bradberry | 81.8% | 31 | 3 | 1 | 14 (52 air) | 2.4 (#104) |
2 | JAX | Shaquill Griffin | 79.1% | 31 | 12 | 9 | 159 (261 air) | 24.9 (#4) |
3 | NYJ | Bryce Hall | 77.8% | 23 | 5 (3 rz) | 5 | 37 (30 air) | 8.7 (#55) |
4 | BAL | Anthony Averett | 94.9% | 42 | 8 | 3 | 47 (153 air) | 7.7 (#63) |
5 | PIT | James Pierre | 89.7% | 35 | 11 | 7 (1 tds) | 120 (130 air) | 25.0 (#10) |
6 | LV | Casey Hayward | 87.0% | 42 | 14 (4 rz) | 8 (1 tds) | 94 (246 air) | 23.4 (#8) |
7 | CLE | Greg Newsome | 95.9% | 32 | 5 | 5 | 68 (56 air) | 11.8 (#31) |
8 | WAS | Kendall Fuller | 88.2% | 24 | 4 | 2 | 40 (54 air) | 6.0 (#63) |
9 | DAL | Trevon Diggs | 81.2% | 24 | 2 (1 rz) | 1 | 9 (25 air) | 3.9 (#71) |
10 | PHI | Darius Slay | 90.9% | 35 | 3 (2 rz) | 2 | 29 (41 air) | 4.9 (#62) |
12 | LAC | Tevaughn Campbell | 72.9% | 21 | 3 (1 rz) | 2 | 17 (21 air) | 3.7 (#81) |
13 | KC | Deandre Baker | 86.3% | 36 | 6 | 2 | 15 (107 air) | 3.5 (#69) |
14 | DET | Amani Oruwariye | 87.7% | 22 | 2 | 1 | 9 (31 air) | 1.9 (#89) |
15 | CIN | Trae Waynes | 97.1% | 31 | 7 | 2 | 12 (119 air) | 3.2 (#84) |
16 | LV | Casey Hayward | 78.0% | 19 | 5 | 4 | 33 (64 air) | 7.3 (#61) |
17 | LAC | Michael Davis | 87.7% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 60 (126 air) | 9.0 (#46) |
18 | KC | Charvarius Ward | 75.9% | 21 | 3 | 1 | 13 (18 air) | 2.9 (#89) |
Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Primary Corner Primary Corner | Snap Share Snap Share | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Receiving Yards Receiving Yards | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | PIT | Steven Nelson | 41.7% | 15 | 6 | 3 | 66 (102 air) | 9.6 (#49) |
Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Primary Corner Primary Corner | Snap Share Snap Share | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Receiving Yards Receiving Yards | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | OAK | Daryl Worley | 96.3% | 29 | 8 (2 rz) | 7 | 120 | 19.0 (##22) |
2 | CHI | Prince Amukamara | 95.9% | 49 | 7 (2 rz) | 4 | 40 | 8.0 (##60) |
3 | GB | Kevin King | 98.5% | 25 | 8 (2 rz) | 5 | 87 | 13.7 (##29) |
4 | JAC | Tre Herndon | 90.7% | 30 | 9 (2 rz) | 6 (2 tds) | 62 | 24.2 (##7) |
5 | LAC | Casey Hayward | 86.5% | 18 | 7 | 4 (1 tds) | 92 | 19.2 (##14) |
6 | TEN | Malcolm Butler | 93.1% | 25 | 8 (1 rz) | 4 | 76 | 11.6 (##27) |
7 | KC | Charvarius Ward | 100.0% | 33 | 8 (1 rz) | 6 | 87 | 14.7 (##19) |
8 | IND | Rock Ya-Sin | 96.7% | 27 | 6 | 3 | 72 | 10.2 (##41) |
9 | CLE | Greedy Williams | 100.0% | 17 | 8 | 5 (1 tds) | 56 | 17.3 (##15) |
11 | MIN | Xavier Rhodes | 90.4% | 33 | 9 (2 rz) | 5 | 113 | 18.8 (##12) |
12 | BUF | Tre'Davious White | 100.0% | 24 | 8 | 1 | 27 | 3.7 (##76) |
13 | LAC | Casey Hayward | 98.1% | 25 | 5 (1 rz) | 4 (2 tds) | 74 | 23.4 (##6) |
14 | HOU | Bradley Roby | 96.3% | 26 | 7 (3 rz) | 5 | 34 | 8.4 (##51) |
15 | KC | Charvarius Ward | 92.7% | 35 | 10 (1 rz) | 4 | 79 | 11.9 (##37) |
16 | DET | Darius Slay | 94.0% | 32 | 10 (3 rz) | 5 | 41 | 9.1 (##50) |
17 | OAK | Daryl Worley | 80.0% | 20 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 9.2 (##43) |
Week Wk | Opponent Opp | Primary Corner Primary Corner | Snap Share Snap Share | Routes Routes | Targets Targets | Receptions Receptions | Receiving Yards Receiving Yards | Fantasy Points Fantasy Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | SEA | Tre Flowers | 54.9% | 19 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 6.5 (##61) |
2 | OAK | Rashaan Melvin | 79.4% | 25 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 1.9 (##106) |
3 | BAL | Brandon Carr | 86.2% | 29 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 5.7 (##73) |
4 | KC | Steven Nelson | 74.5% | 27 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 8.1 (##66) |
5 | NYJ | Morris Claiborne | 82.4% | 42 | 6 (4 rz) | 2 (1 tds) | 18 | 9.8 (##45) |
6 | LA | Sam Shields | 62.1% | 24 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 8.8 (##54) |
7 | ARI | - | 71.7% | 17 | 3 | 1 (1 tds) | 28 | 9.8 (##43) |
8 | KC | Steven Nelson | 75.0% | 23 | 4 | 3 | 78 | 10.8 (##40) |
9 | HOU | Kareem Jackson | 85.5% | 31 | 5 | 3 | 57 | 8.7 (##39) |
11 | LAC | Casey Hayward | 86.5% | 28 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 10.8 (##34) |
12 | PIT | Coty Sensabaugh | 80.4% | 22 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 2.4 (##85) |
13 | CIN | William Jackson | 76.4% | 17 | 7 | 4 (1 tds) | 85 | 18.5 (##12) |
14 | SF | Ahkello Witherspoon | 71.0% | 26 | 6 (3 rz) | 2 | 14 | 3.3 (##84) |
15 | CLE | T.J. Carrie | 89.7% | 44 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 9.2 (##39) |
16 | OAK | Rashaan Melvin | 100.0% | 36 | 10 (1 rz) | 6 (1 tds) | 65 | 18.5 (##14) |
17 | LAC | Casey Hayward | 95.9% | 46 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 3.5 (##86) |
Value Over Stream: Valuation scheme calculates a player’s fantasy pts/game over the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current season (or previous year during the offseason) and adjusts for positional bust rates. VOS rank in parenthesis spans all positions, enabling player comparisons across QB's, RB's, WR's, and TE's.
The Denver Broncos converted $10.5 million of wide receiver ...
Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton continued his...
Denver Broncos wide receiver Courtland Sutton was the ...
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Year Year | Games Games | Receptions Recs | Receiving Yards Rec Yds | Target Share Tgt Share | Catch Rate Catch Rate | Special Teams Yards Special Teams | Age Age | School School |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2014 | 3 (DB) | 2 (2 tgts) | 27 (13.5 ypr) | 0.5% | 100.0% | 0 | 18 | SMU |
2015 | 12 (WR) | 49 (90 tgts) | 862 (17.6 ypr) | 24.6% | 54.4% | 0 | 19 | SMU |
2016 | 12 (WR) | 76 (130 tgts) | 1,246 (16.4 ypr) | 28.5% | 58.5% | 0 | 20 | SMU |
2017 | 13 (WR) | 68 (129 tgts) | 1,085 (16.0 ypr) | 26.5% | 52.7% | 0 | 21 | SMU |
Sutton had a solid start to his career, and went for 1,112 yards in his second season. Sutton’s 2020 was a lost season due to a torn ACL, but he came back in 2021 to post a receiving line of 58-776-2. Denver liked what they saw from Sutton in his return and granted him a four-year contract extension in November worth $60.8 million and $34.9 million in guaranteed money. Regardless of how the public may view him, Denver liked him enough to give him the 13th highest paid contract at the time this profile was written according to Spotrac.com.
Sutton’s 2021 opportunity metrics are that of a receiver who should have been one of the best in the league. Last season, he ranked eighth in total air yards (1,534), second in average target distance (15.7) and sixth in deep balls (29). He ranked fifth in unrealized air yards with 892. He was the No. 1 receiver in target quality rating (7.84), which combines catchable targets with average target depth to put a premium on deep, catchable targets. The fact that Sutton finished with the 38th most receiving yards among wide receivers, and had a fantasy ranking of WR56 in fantasy points per game (8.8) feels like a gross misrepresentation of how his season should have gone. Sutton totaled six drops on the season and ranked 22nd in the league in total routes run with 495. He was also tops in the leagues in snaps, ranking 15th amongst receivers in total snap share (85.5%).
Courtland Sutton didn’t wow many people last season, and was likely limited by Denver’s underwhelming quarterback play. The latter won't be a factor now that the Broncos traded for Russell Wilson in the offseason. Sutton’s ADP could present a tremendous value for this season as a result.